IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v10y2018i9p3119-d166930.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Electric Power Investment Risk Assessment for Belt and Road Initiative Nations

Author

Listed:
  • Jiahai Yuan

    (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
    Beijing Key Laboratory of New Energy and Low-Carbon Development, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

  • Yurong Zeng

    (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

  • Xiaoxuan Guo

    (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

  • Yu Ai

    (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

  • Minpeng Xiong

    (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

Abstract

In recent years, Chinese companies’ investment in overseas electric power has grown rapidly. Chinese enterprises with matured technology and abundant talent in the field of electric power and electric power investment are becoming the focus of Chinese enterprise investment. However, just like any other energy investment, electric power investment has various potential risks, including economic risk, financial risk, social risk, political risk, electric power foreground risk, resource risk, and environmental risk. To specifically measure electric power investment risk, this article proposed a nine-dimensional indicator system for countries along China’s ‘Belt and Road Initiative’. Moreover, a fuzzy integrated evaluation model ground on the entropy weight was established to evaluate the electric power investment risk of 21 countries along China’s Belt and Road Initiative. The result of research shows that electric power foreground and Chinese factors have become the major underlying determinants of electric power investment risk, while coal power economy, renewable power economy, and political risk should also be attached enough attention when making investing decisions. In conclusion, the optimal choices for China’s electricity investment are determined after balancing electric power foreground and basic factors. After analyzing investment risks of various countries, this paper puts forward policy suggestions, which can help Chinese enterprises avoid electric power investment risks and improve investment efficiency.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiahai Yuan & Yurong Zeng & Xiaoxuan Guo & Yu Ai & Minpeng Xiong, 2018. "Electric Power Investment Risk Assessment for Belt and Road Initiative Nations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-21, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:9:p:3119-:d:166930
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/10/9/3119/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/10/9/3119/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jiahai Yuan & Mengya Wu & Weirong Zhang & Yu Guo & Minpeng Xiong, 2018. "Coal Power Environmental Stress Testing in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-19, June.
    2. Changhong Zhao & Yu Guo & Jiahai Yuan & Mengya Wu & Daiyu Li & Yiou Zhou & Jiangang Kang, 2018. "ESG and Corporate Financial Performance: Empirical Evidence from China’s Listed Power Generation Companies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-18, July.
    3. Tietjen, Oliver & Pahle, Michael & Fuss, Sabine, 2016. "Investment risks in power generation: A comparison of fossil fuel and renewable energy dominated markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 174-185.
    4. Zhang, M.M. & Zhou, P. & Zhou, D.Q., 2016. "A real options model for renewable energy investment with application to solar photovoltaic power generation in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 213-226.
    5. Yuan, Jiahai & Lei, Qi & Xiong, Minpeng & Guo, Jingsheng & Hu, Zheng, 2016. "The prospective of coal power in China: Will it reach a plateau in the coming decade?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 495-504.
    6. Dockner, Engelbert J. & Kucsera, Dénes & Rammerstorfer, Margarethe, 2013. "Investment, firm value, and risk for a system operator balancing energy grids," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 182-192.
    7. Gal, Nurit & Milstein, Irena & Tishler, Asher & Woo, C.K., 2017. "Fuel cost uncertainty, capacity investment and price in a competitive electricity market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 233-240.
    8. Yuan, Jiahai & Li, Peng & Wang, Yang & Liu, Qian & Shen, Xinyi & Zhang, Kai & Dong, Liansai, 2016. "Coal power overcapacity and investment bubble in China during 2015–2020," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 136-144.
    9. Jean-Claude Cosset & Jean-Marc Suret, 1995. "Political Risk and the Benefits of International Portfolio Diversification," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 26(2), pages 301-318, June.
    10. Yuan, Jiahai & Zhao, Changhong & Yu, Shunkun & Hu, Zhaoguang, 2007. "Electricity consumption and economic growth in China: Cointegration and co-feature analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 1179-1191, November.
    11. Yuan, Jiahai & Xu, Yan & Hu, Zheng & Zhao, Changhong & Xiong, Minpeng & Guo, Jingsheng, 2014. "Peak energy consumption and CO2 emissions in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 508-523.
    12. Shakouri G., H. & Eghlimi, M. & Manzoor, D., 2009. "Economically optimized electricity trade modeling: Iran-Turkey case," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 472-483, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Huang, Jianbai & Liu, Jia & Zhang, Hongwei & Guo, Yaoqi, 2020. "Sustainable risk analysis of China's overseas investment in iron ore," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    2. Wei Yang & Feihuang Xue & Jinfeng Shi & Yanmin Shao & Di Wang, 2021. "Factors Affecting the Trade Dependence Relationship of Asian Countries with China: Implications for China’s Belt and Road Initiative," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-23, September.
    3. Peng, Benhong & Zhao, Yinyin & Elahi, Ehsan & Wan, Anxia, 2022. "Pathway and key factor identification of third-party market cooperation of China's overseas energy investment projects," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    4. Qian Luo & Guohua Fang & Jian Ye & Min Yan & Chengxuan Lu, 2020. "Country Evaluation for China’s Hydropower Investment in the Belt and Road Initiative Nations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-19, October.
    5. Yuan, Jiahai & Li, Xinying & Xu, Chuanbo & Zhao, Changhong & Liu, Yuanxin, 2019. "Investment risk assessment of coal-fired power plants in countries along the Belt and Road initiative based on ANP-Entropy-TODIM method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 623-640.
    6. Zhiheng Wu & Guisheng Hou & Baogui Xin, 2020. "Has the Belt and Road Initiative Brought New Opportunities to Countries Along the Routes to Participate in Global Value Chains?," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(1), pages 21582440209, January.
    7. Bowen Tang & Yuanzhang Sun & Nan Zhou & Bo Shen, 2019. "Sustainable Development of Power Retailers and Industrial Parks in China’s Belt and Road Initiative," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-19, September.
    8. Yana Duan & Yang Sun & Yu Zhang & Xiaoqi Fan & Qinghuan Dong & Sen Guo, 2021. "Risk Evaluation of Electric Power Grid Investment in China Employing a Hybrid Novel MCDM Method," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-22, February.
    9. Jelena M. Andrić & Jiayuan Wang & Ruoyu Zhong, 2019. "Identifying the Critical Risks in Railway Projects Based on Fuzzy and Sensitivity Analysis: A Case Study of Belt and Road Projects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-18, March.
    10. Qiyong Chen & Shiyu Chen & Changfeng Shi & Qinghua Pang & Ang Li, 2021. "Evaluation of agricultural investment environment in countries around the Black Sea under the background of The Belt and Road," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(4), pages 464-483, November.
    11. Kodad Rajaa & Jingfeng Yuan & Lei Zhang & Junwei Ma & Lei Zhang, 2021. "External Factors Affecting Investment in Overseas Electric Power Projects," Springer Books, in: Gui Ye & Hongping Yuan & Jian Zuo (ed.), Proceedings of the 24th International Symposium on Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate, pages 1455-1472, Springer.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Minpeng Xiong & Xiaowen Yang & Sisi Chen & Fulian Shi & Jiahai Yuan, 2019. "Environmental Stress Testing for China’s Overseas Coal Power Investment Project," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-27, October.
    2. Zhao, Changhong & Zhang, Weirong & Wang, Yang & Liu, Qilin & Guo, Jingsheng & Xiong, Minpeng & Yuan, Jiahai, 2017. "The economics of coal power generation in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 1-9.
    3. Yuan, Jiahai & Wang, Yang & Zhang, Weirong & Zhao, Changhong & Liu, Qian & Shen, Xinyi & Zhang, Kai & Dong, Liansai, 2017. "Will recent boom in coal power lead to a bust in China? A micro-economic analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 645-656.
    4. Yan Xu & Junjie Kang & Jiahai Yuan, 2018. "The Prospective of Nuclear Power in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-21, June.
    5. Yuan, Jiahai & Li, Xinying & Xu, Chuanbo & Zhao, Changhong & Liu, Yuanxin, 2019. "Investment risk assessment of coal-fired power plants in countries along the Belt and Road initiative based on ANP-Entropy-TODIM method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 623-640.
    6. Wang, Delu & Wan, Kaidi & Song, Xuefeng, 2020. "Understanding coal miners’ livelihood vulnerability to declining coal demand: Negative impact and coping strategies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    7. Chang, Kai & Zeng, Yonghong & Wang, Weihong & Wu, Xin, 2019. "The effects of credit policy and financial constraints on tangible and research & development investment: Firm-level evidence from China's renewable energy industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 438-447.
    8. Jiahai Yuan & Mengya Wu & Weirong Zhang & Yu Guo & Minpeng Xiong, 2018. "Coal Power Environmental Stress Testing in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-19, June.
    9. Liu, Yuanxin & Zheng, Ruijin & Chen, Sisi & Yuan, Jiahai, 2019. "The economy of wind-integrated-energy-storage projects in China's upcoming power market: A real options approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
    10. Haonan Zhang & Xingping Zhang & Jiahai Yuan, 2020. "Coal power in China: A multi‐level perspective review," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(6), November.
    11. Casper Agaton, 2017. "Coal, Renewable, or Nuclear? A Real Options Approach to Energy Investments in the Philippines," International Journal of Sustainable Energy and Environmental Research, Conscientia Beam, vol. 6(2), pages 50-62.
    12. Lin, Jiang & Xu Liu, & Gang He,, 2020. "Regional electricity demand and economic transition in China," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    13. Xie, Pinjie & Li, Han & Sun, Feihu & Tian, Huizhen, 2021. "Analysis of the dependence of economic growth on electric power input and its influencing factors in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    14. Dong, Xiao-Ying & Hao, Yu, 2018. "Would income inequality affect electricity consumption? Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 215-227.
    15. Kodad Rajaa & Jingfeng Yuan & Lei Zhang & Junwei Ma & Lei Zhang, 2021. "External Factors Affecting Investment in Overseas Electric Power Projects," Springer Books, in: Gui Ye & Hongping Yuan & Jian Zuo (ed.), Proceedings of the 24th International Symposium on Advancement of Construction Management and Real Estate, pages 1455-1472, Springer.
    16. Zhang, Boling & Wang, Qian & Wang, Sixia & Tong, Ruipeng, 2023. "Coal power demand and paths to peak carbon emissions in China: A provincial scenario analysis oriented by CO2-related health co-benefits," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    17. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S., 2018. "State-of-the-art generation expansion planning: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 563-589.
    18. Yu, Shiwei & Lu, Tingwei & Hu, Xing & Liu, Lancui & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2021. "Determinants of overcapacity in China’s renewable energy industry: Evidence from wind, photovoltaic, and biomass energy enterprises," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    19. Zhang, Weirong & Ren, Mengjia & Kang, Junjie & Zhou, Yiou & Yuan, Jiahai, 2022. "Estimating stranded coal assets in China's power sector," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    20. Liu, Qilin & Zhang, Wenhua & Yao, Mingtao & Yuan, Jiahai, 2017. "Carbon emissions performance regulation for China’s top generation groups by 2020: Too challenging to realize?," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 326-334.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:9:p:3119-:d:166930. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.