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Quadratic Hedging of Basis Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Hardy Hulley

    (University of Technology Sydney, Finance Discipline Group, P.O. Box 123, Broadway, NSW 2007, Australia)

  • Thomas A. McWalter

    (Department of Actuarial Science and the African Collaboration for Quantitative & Risk Research, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, 7701, South Africa
    Faculty of Economic and Financial Sciences, Department of Finance and Investment Management, University of Johannesburg, P.O. Box 524, Auckland Park, 2006, South Africa)

Abstract

This paper examines a simple basis risk model based on correlated geometric Brownian motions. We apply quadratic criteria to minimize basis risk and hedge in an optimal manner. Initially, we derive the Föllmer–Schweizer decomposition for a European claim. This allows pricing and hedging under the minimal martingale measure, corresponding to the local risk-minimizing strategy. Furthermore, since the mean-variance tradeoff process is deterministic in our setup, the minimal martingale- and variance-optimal martingale measures coincide. Consequently, the mean-variance optimal strategy is easily constructed. Simple pricing and hedging formulae for put and call options are derived in terms of the Black–Scholes formula. Due to market incompleteness, these formulae depend on the drift parameters of the processes. By making a further equilibrium assumption, we derive an approximate hedging formula, which does not require knowledge of these parameters. The hedging strategies are tested using Monte Carlo experiments, and are compared with results achieved using a utility maximization approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Hardy Hulley & Thomas A. McWalter, 2015. "Quadratic Hedging of Basis Risk," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-20, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:8:y:2015:i:1:p:83-102:d:45402
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Harrison, J. Michael & Pliska, Stanley R., 1983. "A stochastic calculus model of continuous trading: Complete markets," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 313-316, August.
    2. Michael Monoyios, 2010. "Utility-Based Valuation and Hedging of Basis Risk With Partial Information," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(6), pages 519-551.
    3. Harrison, J. Michael & Pliska, Stanley R., 1981. "Martingales and stochastic integrals in the theory of continuous trading," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 215-260, August.
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    5. Huyên Pham, 2000. "On quadratic hedging in continuous time," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 51(2), pages 315-339, April.
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    7. Thaleia Zariphopoulou, 2001. "A solution approach to valuation with unhedgeable risks," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 61-82.
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    9. L.C.G. Rogers, 2001. "The relaxed investor and parameter uncertainty," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 131-154.
    10. Schweizer, Martin, 1991. "Option hedging for semimartingales," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 339-363, April.
    11. David Heath & Eckhard Platen & Martin Schweizer, 2001. "A Comparison of Two Quadratic Approaches to Hedging in Incomplete Markets," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(4), pages 385-413, October.
    12. Michael Monoyios, 2004. "Performance of utility-based strategies for hedging basis risk," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(3), pages 245-255.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Stefan Ankirchner & Gregor Heyne, 2012. "Cross hedging with stochastic correlation," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 17-43, January.
    2. Ismail Laachir & Francesco Russo, 2016. "BSDEs, càdlàg martingale problems and orthogonalisation under basis risk," Working Papers hal-01086227, HAL.
    3. Ankirchner, Stefan & Dimitroff, Georgi & Heyne, Gregor & Pigorsch, Christian, 2012. "Futures Cross-Hedging with a Stationary Basis," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(6), pages 1361-1395, December.
    4. Michael Monoyios, 2010. "Utility-Based Valuation and Hedging of Basis Risk With Partial Information," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(6), pages 519-551.
    5. Bauer Jan, 2020. "Hedging of Variable Annuities under Basis Risk," Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 1-34, July.
    6. Stefan Ankirchner & Christian Pigorsch & Nikolaus Schweizer, 2014. "Estimating Residual Hedging Risk With Least-Squares Monte Carlo," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(07), pages 1-29.
    7. Ismail Laachir & Francesco Russo, 2016. "BSDEs, càdlàg martingale problems and orthogonalisation under basis risk," Post-Print hal-01086227, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    option hedging; incomplete markets; basis risk; local risk minimization; mean-variance hedging;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods
    • E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
    • F2 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G - Financial Economics

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