IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v14y2021i8p2310-d539327.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Hourly Variation of Wind Speeds in the Philippines and Its Potential Impact on the Stability of the Power System

Author

Listed:
  • Kevin Ray Español Lucas

    (Graduate School of Environmental Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo 060-0808, Japan
    Current address: Shizen Energy Inc., Tokyo 810-0062, Japan.)

  • Tomonori Sato

    (Faculty of Environmental Earth Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo 060-0808, Japan)

  • Masamichi Ohba

    (Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry (CRIEPI), Abiko 270-1194, Japan)

Abstract

Wind energy development has been limited by concerns associated to the varying features in wind speed which tends to destabilize the power system. This study aims to clarify the variability of winds within a day in the Philippines, specifically the hourly changes of onshore horizontal winds at 100-m hub-heights. A whole one-year experiment using the Weather Research and Forecasting model shows that onshore wind speeds decrease during the transitional hours between land breeze and sea breeze. The decreases in wind speed are most significant over coastal regions with high sloping topography. The extreme decreases in wind speed during morning hours, due to the natural processes, are found to often occur at the same time as the extreme electricity undersupply caused by the morning increase in energy demand. This result warns that the power system stability in the Philippines may become more sensitive to the variability of wind as the share of wind energy generation increases in the future. The findings of this study can contribute to promote sustainability in the operation of existing wind-reliant power systems and planning of future wind energy developments.

Suggested Citation

  • Kevin Ray Español Lucas & Tomonori Sato & Masamichi Ohba, 2021. "Hourly Variation of Wind Speeds in the Philippines and Its Potential Impact on the Stability of the Power System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-14, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:8:p:2310-:d:539327
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/8/2310/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/8/2310/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peña, Alfredo & Réthoré, Pierre-Elouan & Rathmann, Ole, 2014. "Modeling large offshore wind farms under different atmospheric stability regimes with the Park wake model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 164-171.
    2. Cannon, D.J. & Brayshaw, D.J. & Methven, J. & Coker, P.J. & Lenaghan, D., 2015. "Using reanalysis data to quantify extreme wind power generation statistics: A 33 year case study in Great Britain," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 767-778.
    3. Ohba, Masamichi & Kadokura, Shinji & Nohara, Daisuke, 2016. "Impacts of synoptic circulation patterns on wind power ramp events in East Japan," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA), pages 591-602.
    4. Mondal, Md Alam Hossain & Rosegrant, Mark & Ringler, Claudia & Pradesha, Angga & Valmonte-Santos, Rowena, 2018. "The Philippines energy future and low-carbon development strategies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 142-154.
    5. Carvalho, D. & Rocha, A. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & Silva Santos, C., 2014. "Sensitivity of the WRF model wind simulation and wind energy production estimates to planetary boundary layer parameterizations for onshore and offshore areas in the Iberian Peninsula," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 234-246.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ohba, Masamichi & Kanno, Yuki & Bando, Shigeru, 2023. "Effects of meteorological and climatological factors on extremely high residual load and possible future changes," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chancham, Chana & Waewsak, Jompob & Gagnon, Yves, 2017. "Offshore wind resource assessment and wind power plant optimization in the Gulf of Thailand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 706-731.
    2. Vassilis M. Charitopoulos & Mathilde Fajardy & Chi Kong Chyong & David M. Reiner, 2022. "The case of 100% electrification of domestic heat in Great Britain," Working Papers EPRG2206, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    3. Hayes, Liam & Stocks, Matthew & Blakers, Andrew, 2021. "Accurate long-term power generation model for offshore wind farms in Europe using ERA5 reanalysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    4. Li, Muyuan & Yao, Jinfeng & Shen, Yanbo & Yuan, Bin & Simmonds, Ian & Liu, Yunyun, 2023. "Impact of synoptic circulation patterns on renewable energy-related variables over China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    5. Ramirez Camargo, Luis & Gruber, Katharina & Nitsch, Felix, 2019. "Assessing variables of regional reanalysis data sets relevant for modelling small-scale renewable energy systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 1468-1478.
    6. Alain Ulazia & Ander Nafarrate & Gabriel Ibarra-Berastegi & Jon Sáenz & Sheila Carreno-Madinabeitia, 2019. "The Consequences of Air Density Variations over Northeastern Scotland for Offshore Wind Energy Potential," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-18, July.
    7. Göçmen, Tuhfe & Laan, Paul van der & Réthoré, Pierre-Elouan & Diaz, Alfredo Peña & Larsen, Gunner Chr. & Ott, Søren, 2016. "Wind turbine wake models developed at the technical university of Denmark: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 752-769.
    8. Ren, Guorui & Wan, Jie & Liu, Jinfu & Yu, Daren, 2019. "Characterization of wind resource in China from a new perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 994-1010.
    9. Mondal, Md. Alam Hossain & Ringler, Claudia & Al-Riffai, Perrihan & Eldidi, Hagar & Breisinger, Clemens & Wiebelt, Manfred, 2019. "Long-term optimization of Egypt’s power sector: Policy implications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 1063-1073.
    10. Rubert, T. & Zorzi, G. & Fusiek, G. & Niewczas, P. & McMillan, D. & McAlorum, J. & Perry, M., 2019. "Wind turbine lifetime extension decision-making based on structural health monitoring," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 611-621.
    11. González-Aparicio, I. & Monforti, F. & Volker, P. & Zucker, A. & Careri, F. & Huld, T. & Badger, J., 2017. "Simulating European wind power generation applying statistical downscaling to reanalysis data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 155-168.
    12. Deakin, Matthew & Bloomfield, Hannah & Greenwood, David & Sheehy, Sarah & Walker, Sara & Taylor, Phil C., 2021. "Impacts of heat decarbonization on system adequacy considering increased meteorological sensitivity," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    13. Olauson, Jon & Bergström, Hans & Bergkvist, Mikael, 2016. "Restoring the missing high-frequency fluctuations in a wind power model based on reanalysis data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA), pages 784-791.
    14. Ulazia, Alain & Sáenz, Jon & Ibarra-Berastegi, Gabriel & González-Rojí, Santos J. & Carreno-Madinabeitia, Sheila, 2019. "Global estimations of wind energy potential considering seasonal air density changes," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    15. Carvalho, D. & Rocha, A. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & Silva Santos, C., 2017. "Offshore winds and wind energy production estimates derived from ASCAT, OSCAT, numerical weather prediction models and buoys – A comparative study for the Iberian Peninsula Atlantic coast," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(PB), pages 433-444.
    16. Ohba, Masamichi & Kadokura, Shinji & Nohara, Daisuke, 2016. "Impacts of synoptic circulation patterns on wind power ramp events in East Japan," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA), pages 591-602.
    17. Matti Koivisto & Kaushik Das & Feng Guo & Poul Sørensen & Edgar Nuño & Nicolaos Cutululis & Petr Maule, 2019. "Using time series simulation tools for assessing the effects of variable renewable energy generation on power and energy systems," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(3), May.
    18. Coker, Phil J. & Bloomfield, Hannah C. & Drew, Daniel R. & Brayshaw, David J., 2020. "Interannual weather variability and the challenges for Great Britain’s electricity market design," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 509-522.
    19. Ulazia, Alain & Saenz, Jon & Ibarra-Berastegui, Gabriel, 2016. "Sensitivity to the use of 3DVAR data assimilation in a mesoscale model for estimating offshore wind energy potential. A case study of the Iberian northern coastline," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 617-627.
    20. Santos, F. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & deCastro, M. & Añel, J.A. & Carvalho, D. & Costoya, Xurxo & Dias, J.M., 2018. "On the accuracy of CORDEX RCMs to project future winds over the Iberian Peninsula and surrounding ocean," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 289-300.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:8:p:2310-:d:539327. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.