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Bayesian Based Diagnostic Model for Condition Based Maintenance of Offshore Wind Farms

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  • Masoud Asgarpour

    (Department of Civil Engineering, Aalborg University, DK-9220 Aalborg, Denmark
    Vattenfall, Business Area Wind, Analytics & Asset Integrity Management, Hoekenrode 8, 1102 BR Amsterdam, The Netherlands)

  • John Dalsgaard Sørensen

    (Department of Civil Engineering, Aalborg University, DK-9220 Aalborg, Denmark)

Abstract

Operation and maintenance costs are a major contributor to the Levelized Cost of Energy for electricity produced by offshore wind and can be significantly reduced if existing corrective actions are performed as efficiently as possible and if future corrective actions are avoided by performing sufficient preventive actions. This paper presents an applied and generic diagnostic model for fault detection and condition based maintenance of offshore wind components. The diagnostic model is based on two probabilistic matrices; first, a confidence matrix, representing the probability of detection using each fault detection method, and second, a diagnosis matrix, representing the individual outcome of each fault detection method. Once the confidence and diagnosis matrices of a component are defined, the individual diagnoses of each fault detection method are combined into a final verdict on the fault state of that component. Furthermore, this paper introduces a Bayesian updating model based on observations collected by inspections to decrease the uncertainty of initial confidence matrix. The framework and implementation of the presented diagnostic model are further explained within a case study for a wind turbine component based on vibration, temperature, and oil particle fault detection methods. The last part of the paper will have a discussion of the case study results and present conclusions.

Suggested Citation

  • Masoud Asgarpour & John Dalsgaard Sørensen, 2018. "Bayesian Based Diagnostic Model for Condition Based Maintenance of Offshore Wind Farms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-17, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:2:p:300-:d:129199
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    4. Izquierdo, J. & Márquez, A. Crespo & Uribetxebarria, J. & Erguido, A., 2020. "On the importance of assessing the operational context impact on maintenance management for life cycle cost of wind energy projects," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 1100-1110.
    5. Zhang, Chen & Gao, Wei & Yang, Tao & Guo, Sheng, 2019. "Opportunistic maintenance strategy for wind turbines considering weather conditions and spare parts inventory management," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 703-711.
    6. Rommel, D.P. & Di Maio, D. & Tinga, T., 2020. "Calculating wind turbine component loads for improved life prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 223-241.
    7. Juan Izquierdo & Adolfo Crespo Márquez & Jone Uribetxebarria & Asier Erguido, 2019. "Framework for Managing Maintenance of Wind Farms Based on a Clustering Approach and Dynamic Opportunistic Maintenance," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-17, May.
    8. Christian Tutivén & Yolanda Vidal & Andres Insuasty & Lorena Campoverde-Vilela & Wilson Achicanoy, 2022. "Early Fault Diagnosis Strategy for WT Main Bearings Based on SCADA Data and One-Class SVM," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-16, June.
    9. Nguyen, Thi-Anh-Tuyet & Chou, Shuo-Yan & Yu, Tiffany Hui-Kuang, 2022. "Developing an exhaustive optimal maintenance schedule for offshore wind turbines based on risk-assessment, technical factors and cost-effective evaluation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).

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