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Direct Effect of TC on the LME Copper Prices

Author

Listed:
  • Byungkwon Lim

    (Korea Housing Finance Corporation, Pusan 48400, Korea)

  • Hyeon Sook Kim

    (Public Procurement Service, Daejeon 35208, Korea)

  • Jaehwan Park

    (Public Procurement Service, Daejeon 35208, Korea)

Abstract

The motivation of this paper is to identify the effect of treatment charge (TC) on LME (London Metal Exchange) copper prices. It is a fundamental variable as a supply side factor, because it is related to the smelting process and reflects the level of concentrates market tightness. To examine this question carefully, the regression model is applied. This paper finds a statistically significant negative link between TC and LME copper prices. It is found that a 10% increase in TC of copper decreases in copper return by 1.8%. Subsequently, the vector autoregression (VAR) model is introduced to consider the impact of TC to copper prices as a permanent effect. It is found that the negative impact of the TC to copper returns dies out quickly. The statistical estimation in this article will provide a good reference for future study.

Suggested Citation

  • Byungkwon Lim & Hyeon Sook Kim & Jaehwan Park, 2020. "Direct Effect of TC on the LME Copper Prices," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-9, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:8:y:2020:i:2:p:36-:d:354984
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ing-Haw Cheng & Wei Xiong, 2014. "Financialization of Commodity Markets," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 6(1), pages 419-441, December.
    2. Jaehwan Park, 2019. "The Role of Canceled Warrants in the LME Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, February.
    3. Juan Ignacio Guzmán & Enrique Silva, 2018. "Copper price determination: fundamentals versus non-fundamentals," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 31(3), pages 283-300, October.
    4. Isabel Figuerola‐Ferretti & Christopher L. Gilbert, 2008. "Commonality in the LME aluminum and copper volatility processes through a FIGARCH lens," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(10), pages 935-962, October.
    5. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2012. "Testing the Masters Hypothesis in commodity futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 256-269.
    6. Kegomoditswe Koitsiwe & Tsuyoshi Adachi, 2018. "The Role of Financial Speculation in Copper Prices," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(4), pages 87-94, July.
    7. MacDonald, Ronald & Taylor, Mark P, 1988. "Metals Prices, Efficiency and Cointegration: Some Evidence from the London Metal Exchange," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(3), pages 235-239, June.
    8. Jaehwan Park, 2018. "Volatility Transmission between Oil and LME Futures," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(2), pages 65-72, March.
    9. Jaehwan Park & Byungkwon Lim, 2018. "Testing Efficiency of the London Metal Exchange: New Evidence," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-10, March.
    10. Jaehwan Park, 2019. "Effect of Speculators’ Position Changes on the LME Futures Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-9, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Byungkwon Lim & Hyeon Sook Kim & Jaehwan Park, 2021. "Implicit Interpretation of Indonesian Export Bans on LME Nickel Prices: Evidence from the Announcement Effect," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-7, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ; copper spot price; treatment charge; impulse response; speculation; ; C3; G1;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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