IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jagris/v9y2019i7p159-d250142.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Economic Analysis of Corn Grain Optimization and Price Variation for Cattle on Feed in Texas

Author

Listed:
  • Braelyn Moltz

    (Department of Agricultural & Consumer Science, Tarleton State University, Stephenville, TX 76401, USA)

  • Mark Yu

    (Department of Agricultural & Consumer Science, Tarleton State University, Stephenville, TX 76401, USA)

  • Edward Osei

    (Department of Agricultural & Consumer Science, Tarleton State University, Stephenville, TX 76401, USA)

  • W. Brandon Smith

    (Department of Animal Science, Tarleton State University, Stephenville, TX 76401, USA)

  • Brant Poe

    (Department of Agricultural & Consumer Science, Tarleton State University, Stephenville, TX 76401, USA)

Abstract

Cattle placed on feed is a practice to maximize the amount of meat produced before being sent to slaughter, which has become a major agricultural industry. The optimization of input quantities, especially corn, is crucial to maximize production efficiency and ultimately profit. The objective of this research is to determine the optimal corn grain production rate for cattle on feed in Texas and estimated profit maximization under various price ratios for corn grain and live cattle. Utilizing data from various United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) sources, various different input production levels and prices were collected. Statistical Analysis System (SAS), procedures were used to estimate the different production functions. Sensitivity analysis were performed for the optimal production of corn grain rate, and consequent profit under various combinations of corn and live cattle prices for the four different functions. Additionally, a continuous form curve for optimal corn grain production rates under various price ratios was developed. Results indicated that the cubic model was the most accurate based upon the R 2 value. However, the continuous form model created for the sensitivity analysis concluded that the quadratic was the most accurate model under the different price ratios. The results of the study can be a useful tool for the decision-making process for producers and policymakers.

Suggested Citation

  • Braelyn Moltz & Mark Yu & Edward Osei & W. Brandon Smith & Brant Poe, 2019. "The Economic Analysis of Corn Grain Optimization and Price Variation for Cattle on Feed in Texas," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-12, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:9:y:2019:i:7:p:159-:d:250142
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/9/7/159/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/9/7/159/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lawrence, John & Wang, Zhi & Loy, Dan, 1999. "Elements of Cattle Feeding Profitability in Midwest Feedlots," ISU General Staff Papers 199901010800001486, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    2. Mark, Darrell R. & Schroeder, Ted C. & Jones, Rodney D., 2000. "Identifying Economic Risk In Cattle Feeding," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 18(3), pages 1-14.
    3. Langemeier, Michael & Schroeder, Ted & Mintert, James, 1992. "Determinants of Cattle Finishing Profitability," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(2), pages 41-47, December.
    4. Belasco, Eric J. & Taylor, Mykel R. & Goodwin, Barry K. & Schroeder, Ted C., 2009. "Probabilistic Models of Yield, Price, and Revenue Risks for Fed Cattle Production," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 1-15, April.
    5. Lawrence, John D. & Wang, Zhi & Loy, Dan, 1999. "Elements of Cattle Feeding Profitability in Midwest Feedlots," Staff General Research Papers Archive 2039, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    6. Lawrence, John D. & Wang, Zhi & Loy, Dan, 1999. "Elements of Cattle Feeding Profitability in Midwest Feedlots," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(2), pages 349-357, August.
    7. Kastens, Terry L. & Schroeder, Ted C., 1994. "Cattle Feeder Behavior And Feeder Cattle Placements," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(2), pages 1-12, December.
    8. Lawrence, John D. & Wang, Zhi & Loy, Daniel D., 1999. "Elements Of Cattle Feeding Profitability In Midwest Feedlots," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(2), pages 1-9, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Forristall, Cody & May, Gary J. & Lawrence, John D., 2002. "Assessing The Cost Of Beef Quality," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19060, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Belasco, Eric J. & Taylor, Mykel R. & Goodwin, Barry K. & Schroeder, Ted C., 2009. "Probabilistic Models of Yield, Price, and Revenue Risks for Fed Cattle Production," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 1-15, April.
    3. Maples, Joshua G. & Coatney, Kalyn T. & Riley, John M. & Karisch, Brandi B. & Parish, Jane A. & Vann, Rhonda C., 2015. "Comparing Carcass End-Point And Profit Maximization Decision Rules Using Dynamic Nonlinear Growth Functions," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(1), pages 1-25, February.
    4. Lewis, Karen & Griffith, Andrew & Boyer, Christopher & Rhinehart, Justin, 2015. "Returns to Retained Ownership through Finishing for Beef Cattle Originating from Tennessee," 2015 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia 196620, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    5. Maples, Joshua G. & Harri, Ardian & Riley, John Michael & Tack, Jesse B., 2013. "Marketing Margins and Input Price Uncertainty," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150604, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Perry, William R. & Marsh, Thomas & Jones, Rodney & Sanderson, M.W. & Sargeant, J.M. & Griffin, D.D. & Smith, R.A., 2007. "Joint product management strategies for E. coli O157 and feedlot profits," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(5-6), pages 544-565.
    7. Tang, Minfeng & Lewis, Karen E. & Griffith, Andrew P. & Boyer, Christopher N., 2016. "Identifying Factors that Impact Returns to Retained Ownership of Cattle," 2016 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2016, San Antonio, Texas 229766, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    8. Avent, R. Keith & Ward, Clement E. & Lalman, David L., 2002. "Asymmetric Value Of Preconditioning Programs For Feeder Cattle," 2002 Annual Meeting, July 28-31, 2002, Long Beach, California 36559, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    9. Janzen, Matthew & Coatney, Kalyn T. & Rivera, Daniel & Harri, Ardian & Riley, John Michael & Busby, Darrell & Groves, Matt, "undated". "Fed Cattle Marketing: A Field Experiment," 2017 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2017, Mobile, Alabama 252844, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    10. Blank, Steven C. & Saitone, Tina L. & Sexton, Richard J., 2014. "Seller-Offered Forward Contracts: An Additional Benefit to Cattle Producers from Satellite Video Auctions," 2014 Annual Meeting, February 1-4, 2014, Dallas, Texas 162323, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    11. May, Gary J. & Lawrence, John D., 2002. "A Decision Model To Assess Cattle Feeding Price Risk," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19067, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    12. Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur, 2006. "Optimal Incentive Structure in Cattle Feeding Contracts Under Alternative Fed Cattle Pricing Methods," Working Papers 28549, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    13. Mathews, Kenneth H., Jr. & Arnade, Carlos Anthony & Jones, Keithly G., 2008. "Derived Demand for Cattle Feeding Inputs," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 26(1), pages 1-20.
    14. Tejeda, Hernan A. & Goodwin, Barry K., 2009. "Price Volatility, Nonlinearity, and Asymmetric Adjustments in Corn, Soybean, and Cattle Markets: Implications of Ethanol-Driven (Market) Shocks," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53039, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    15. Nicolás Acevedo Vélez, 2007. "The cattle crush strategy: trading opportunities for cattle producers," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, October.
    16. McKendree, Melissa G.S. & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Schulz, Lee, 2017. "Feedlot operators’ decision making regarding price and animal health risk," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258462, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    17. Belasco, Eric J., 2008. "The Role of Price Risk Management in Mitigating Fed Cattle Profit Exposure," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 33(3), pages 1-17.
    18. Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur, 2006. "Optimal Incentive Structure in Cattle Feeding Contracts under Alternative Fed Cattle Pricing Methods," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21404, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    19. Taylor, Mykel & Tonsor, Glynn & Dhuyvetter, Kevin, 2014. "Structural Change in Forward Contracting Costs for Kansas Wheat," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(2), pages 1-13.
    20. McBride, William D., 1997. "Change in U.S. Livestock Production, 1969-92," Agricultural Economic Reports 262047, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:9:y:2019:i:7:p:159-:d:250142. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.