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Horizon problems and extreme events in financial risk management Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Peter F. Christoffersen
Francis X. Diebold
Til Schuermann
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This paper was presented at the conference "Financial services at the crossroads: capital regulation in the twenty-first century" as part of session 3, "Issues in value-at-risk modeling and evaluation." The conference, held at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on February 26-27, 1998, was designed to encourage a consensus between the public and private sectors on an agenda for capital regulation in the new century.
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Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its journal Economic Policy Review .
Volume (Year): (1998)
Issue (Month): Oct ()
Pages: 109-118
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fednep:y:1998:i:oct:p:109-118:n:v.4no.3Contact details of provider: Postal: 33 Liberty Street, New York, NY 10045-0001 Email: Web page: http://www.newyorkfed.org/ More information through EDIRC
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For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Diane Rosenberger).
Keywords: Risk ; Forecasting ; Other versions of this item:
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Francis X. Diebold & Til Schuermann & John D. Stroughair, 1998.
"Pitfalls and Opportunities in the Use of Extreme Value Theory in Risk Management ,"
New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires
98-081, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
Other versions: Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1997.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management? ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
97-45, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1998.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management? ,"
New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires
98-080, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
[Downloadable!] Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 1998.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management? ,"
NBER Working Papers
6844, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2000.
"How Relevant is Volatility Forecasting for Financial Risk Management? ,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics ,
MIT Press, vol. 82(1), pages 12-22, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Drost, Feike C & Nijman, Theo E, 1993.
"Temporal Aggregation of GARCH Processes ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 909-27, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Drost, F.C. & Nijman, T.E., 1992.
"Temporal Aggregation of Garch Processes ,"
Papers
9240, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research.
Drost, F.C. & Nijman, T.E., 1990.
"Temporal Aggregation Of Garch Processes ,"
Papers
9066, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research.
Bollerslev, Tim & Chou, Ray Y. & Kroner, Kenneth F., 1992.
"ARCH modeling in finance : A review of the theory and empirical evidence ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 5-59.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Christoffersen, Peter F, 1998.
"Evaluating Interval Forecasts ,"
International Economic Review ,
Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 841-62, November.
Francis X. Diebold & Jose A. Lopez, 1995.
"Modeling volatility dynamics ,"
Research Paper
9522, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Shorrocks, A F, 1978.
"The Measurement of Mobility ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 46(5), pages 1013-24, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Francis X. Diebold & Andrew Hickman & Atsushi Inoue & Til Schuermann, 1997.
"Converting 1-Day Volatility to h-Day Volatitlity: Scaling by Root-h is Worse Than You Think ,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
97-34, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
[Downloadable!]
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Antonio Rubia & Trino-Manuel Ñíguez, 2003.
"Forecasting The Conditional Covariance Matrix Of A Portfolio Under Long-Run Temporal Dependence ,"
Working Papers. Serie AD
2003-34, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Bams, Dennis & Lehnert, Thorsten & Wolff, Christian C, 2002.
"An Evaluation Framework for Alternative VaR Models ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
3403, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Beverly J. Hirtle, 2003.
"What market risk capital reporting tells us about bank risk ,"
Economic Policy Review ,
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Sep, pages 37-54.
[Downloadable!]
Dominique Guegan & Cyril Caillault, 2008.
"Forecasting VaR and Expected shortfall using dynamical Systems : a risk Management Strategy ,"
Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers)
halshs-00185374_v1, HAL.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Cyril Caillault & Dominique Guegan, 2009.
"Forecasting VaR and Expected Shortfall using Dynamical Systems: A Risk Management Strategy ,"
Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers)
halshs-00375765_v1, HAL.
[Downloadable!] Cyril Caillault, Dominique Guégan, 2009.
"Forecasting VaR and Expected Shortfall Using Dynamical Systems: A Risk Management Strategy ,"
Frontiers in Finance and Economics ,
Lille Graduate School of Management, vol. 6(1), pages 26-50, April.
[Downloadable!] A. Marchi & Luisa Mich, 1998.
"Un modello per l'analisi e valutazione dei siti web: applicazione al sito del consorzio Dolomiti Superski ,"
Quaderni DISA
011, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy.
Luca Erzegovesi, 2002.
"VaR and Liquidity Risk.Impact on Market Behaviour and Measurement Issues ,"
Alea Tech Reports
014, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy, revised 14 Jun 2008.
[Downloadable!]
Stefano Benati & M. Tavernini, 1998.
"A new lagrangean heuristic for the generalized assignment problem ,"
Quaderni DISA
014, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy.
Douglas D. Evanoff & Larry D. Wall, 2000.
"Subordinated debt and bank capital reform ,"
Working Paper
2000-24, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmerman, 2005.
"Term structure of risk under alternative econometric specifications ,"
Working Papers
2005-001, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan G, 2004.
"Term Structure of Risk Under Alternative Econometric Specifications ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
4645, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan, 2006.
"Term structure of risk under alternative econometric specifications ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 285-308.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Flavio Bazzana, 2001.
"I modelli interni per la valutazione del rischio di mercato secondo l'approccio del Value at Risk ,"
Alea Tech Reports
011, Department of Computer and Management Sciences, University of Trento, Italy, revised 14 Jun 2008.
[Downloadable!]
Andreas Lehnert & Wayne Passmore, 1999.
"Pricing systemic crises: monetary and fiscal policy when savers are uncertain ,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
1999-33, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
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