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Is the Middle Class Worse Off Than It Used to Be?

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  • Emily Dohrman
  • Bruce Fallick

Abstract

We analyze how median real incomes in the United States have changed since 1980 under a definition of the middle class that adjusts for changes in demographics. We find that failing to adjust for demographic shifts in the population relating to age, race, and education can indicate a more positive outlook than is truly the case. We also find that the real median incomes of today’s middle class are somewhat higher than they used to be, particularly for households headed by two adults. We find, as in prior research, that prices for housing, healthcare, and education have risen more than middle-class incomes, while prices for transportation, food, and recreation have risen less than middle-class incomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Emily Dohrman & Bruce Fallick, 2020. "Is the Middle Class Worse Off Than It Used to Be?," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2020(03), pages 1-6, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedcec:87457
    DOI: 10.26509/frbc-ec-202003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jeremy Greenwood & Nezih Guner & Georgi Kocharkov & Cezar Santos, 2016. "Technology and the Changing Family: A Unified Model of Marriage, Divorce, Educational Attainment, and Married Female Labor-Force Participation," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 1-41, January.
    2. William R. Emmons & Bryan J. Noeth, 2015. "The Middle Class May Be Under More Pressure Than You Think," In the Balance, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 11, pages 1-4.
    3. Lynne Casper & Philip Cohen, 2000. "How does POSSLQ measure up? Historical estimates of cohabitation," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 37(2), pages 237-245, May.
    4. Emmanuel Saez & Gabriel Zucman, 2016. "Editor's Choice Wealth Inequality in the United States since 1913: Evidence from Capitalized Income Tax Data," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(2), pages 519-578.
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    Cited by:

    1. Oghenovo A. Obrimah, 2023. "Policy-speak evidence that each of Pareto efficient competition and transfer payments are necessary conditions for first-best progressions to welfare," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(8), pages 1-30, August.
    2. Melissa Haller & Jeffrey B. Wenger & Melanie A. Zaber & George W. Zuo, 2022. "A Consumption-Based Definition of the Middle Class," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1249-1270, December.

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