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Il lavoro irregolare nelle regioni italiane: un?analisi econometrica dal 1995 al 2008

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  • Maria Felice Arezzo

Abstract

Il tasso di irregolarit? del lavoro nelle regioni italiane presenta caratteristiche di forte persistenza nel corso del tempo, nonostante i numerosi interventi legislativi che si sono succeduti nel tempo. L?obiettivo del lavoro ? identificare quali sono le caratteristiche economico-sociali delle regioni in grado di spiegare il fenomeno dell?impiego di lavoro irregolare. Dopo avere analizzato la principale letteratura nazionale e internazionale sull?economia sommersa e il lavoro irregolare, sono state identificate le principali determinanti del fenomeno. I dati utilizzati sono quelli resi disponibili dall?ISTAT in serie storica. Dall?analisi esplorativa dei dati, appare che la specificazione preferibile del modello sia di tipo dinamico e cio? esso deve includere il tasso di irregolarit? ritardato tra le covariate. Attraverso uno stimatore GMM di Arellano-Bond si ? stimato il modello panel dinamico. L?analisi empirica conferma l?ipotesi che il modello ? di tipo autoregressivo. In linea con quanto trovato da altri autori, risultano rilevanti anche il tasso di disoccupazione, la tax morale (colta attraverso il capitale sociale), il capitale umano e la capacit? di innovare. L?evasione fiscale e contributiva ? una delle principali piaghe dell?Italia che, in questo momento di crisi, ? particolarmente difficile da tollerare. Ecco perch? comprendere le ragioni che spiegano il lavoro irregolare ? molto importante, soprattutto per i policy maker. Il presente articolo va in questa direzione, contribuendo a dare indicazioni su quali sono gli aspetti che, a livello regionale, vanno potenziati oppure ridotti al fine di contrastare il sommerso.

Suggested Citation

  • Maria Felice Arezzo, 2014. "Il lavoro irregolare nelle regioni italiane: un?analisi econometrica dal 1995 al 2008," RIVISTA DI ECONOMIA E STATISTICA DEL TERRITORIO, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2014(1), pages 60-77.
    • Handle: RePEc:fan:restre:v:html10.3280/rest2014-001003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Lavoro irregolare; panel dinamici; stimatore GMM two-step di Arellano-Bond;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • O17 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
    • J46 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Informal Labor Market

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