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Crecimiento económico en México: restricción por la balanza de pagos

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  • Ana Lourdes Morones Carrillo

    (Universidad Autónoma de Baja California (UABC) (Estudiante de Doctorado en Ciencias Económicas). Tijuana Baja California. México.)

Abstract

El presente documento analiza el cumplimiento de la Ley de Thirlwall para México en el periodo 1993-2014. Se incluyen pruebas de raíz unitaria y cointegración que incorporan choques estructurales endógenos. El vector de cointegración en el contexto teórico sugiere una restricción al crecimiento de México por la balanza de pagos. La tasa de crecimiento del país en el periodo es mayor a la consistente con el equilibrio de balanza de pagos, lo que implica déficit comercial. Los resultados sugieren un cambio estructural de tal forma que se desincentiven las importaciones y se agregue mayor valor a las exportaciones.

Suggested Citation

  • Ana Lourdes Morones Carrillo, 2016. "Crecimiento económico en México: restricción por la balanza de pagos," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 39-58, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:xxxv:y:2016:i:1:p:39-58
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    File URL: http://www.economia.uanl.mx/revistaensayos/xxxv/1/2_Crecimiento_economico_en_Mexico_restriccion_por_la_balanza_de_pagos.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crecimiento económico; Exportaciones; Ley de Thirlwall; México; Cointegración;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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