IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transb/v45y2011i10p1641-1659.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multi-class percentile user equilibrium with flow-dependent stochasticity

Author

Listed:
  • Nie, Yu (Marco)

Abstract

Travelers often reserve a buffer time for trips sensitive to arrival time in order to hedge against the uncertainties in a transportation system. To model the effects of such behavior, travelers are assumed to choose routes to minimize the percentile travel time, i.e. the travel time budget that ensures their preferred probability of on-time arrival; in doing so, they drive the system to a percentile user equilibrium (UE), which can be viewed as an extension of the classic Wardrop equilibrium. The stochasticity in the supply of transportation are incorporated by modeling the service flow rate of each road segment as a random variable. Such stochasticity is flow-dependent in the sense that the probability density functions of these random variables, from which the distribution of link travel time are constructed, are specified endogenously with flow-dependent parameters. The percentile route travel time, obtained by directly convolving the link travel time distributions in this paper, is not available in closed form in general and has to be numerically evaluated. To reveal their structural properties, percentile UE solutions are examined in special cases and verified with numerical results. For the general multi-class percentile UE traffic assignment problem, a variational inequality formulation is given and solved using a route-based algorithm. The algorithm makes use of the diagonal elements in the Jacobian of percentile route travel time, which is approximated through recursive convolution. Preliminary numerical experiments indicate that the algorithm is able to achieve highly precise equilibrium solutions.

Suggested Citation

  • Nie, Yu (Marco), 2011. "Multi-class percentile user equilibrium with flow-dependent stochasticity," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(10), pages 1641-1659.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:45:y:2011:i:10:p:1641-1659
    DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2011.06.001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0191261511000889
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.trb.2011.06.001?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fisk, Caroline, 1980. "Some developments in equilibrium traffic assignment," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 243-255, September.
    2. Lam, William H.K. & Shao, Hu & Sumalee, Agachai, 2008. "Modeling impacts of adverse weather conditions on a road network with uncertainties in demand and supply," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(10), pages 890-910, December.
    3. Carlos F. Daganzo, 1983. "Stochastic Network Equilibrium with Multiple Vehicle Types and Asymmetric, Indefinite Link Cost Jacobians," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 17(3), pages 282-300, August.
    4. Jayakrishnan, R. & Tsai, Wei T. & Prashker, Joseph N. & Rajadhyaksha, Subodh, 1994. "A Faster Path-Based Algorithm for Traffic Assignment," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt2hf4541x, University of California Transportation Center.
    5. Hall, Randolph W., 1983. "Travel outcome and performance: The effect of uncertainty on accessibility," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 275-290, August.
    6. Anthony Chen & Zhong Zhou, 2009. "A Stochastic α-reliable Mean-excess Traffic Equilibrium Model with Probabilistic Travel Times and Perception Errors," Springer Books, in: William H. K. Lam & S. C. Wong & Hong K. Lo (ed.), Transportation and Traffic Theory 2009: Golden Jubilee, chapter 0, pages 117-145, Springer.
    7. Fernando Ordóñez & Nicolás E. Stier-Moses, 2010. "Wardrop Equilibria with Risk-Averse Users," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(1), pages 63-86, February.
    8. Evans, Jodie L. & Elefteriadou, Lily & Gautam, Natarajan, 2001. "Probability of breakdown at freeway merges using Markov chains," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 237-254, March.
    9. Carlos F. Daganzo & Yosef Sheffi, 1977. "On Stochastic Models of Traffic Assignment," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 11(3), pages 253-274, August.
    10. Hu Shao & William Lam & Mei Tam, 2006. "A Reliability-Based Stochastic Traffic Assignment Model for Network with Multiple User Classes under Uncertainty in Demand," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 173-204, September.
    11. Pitu Mirchandani & Hossein Soroush, 1987. "Generalized Traffic Equilibrium with Probabilistic Travel Times and Perceptions," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 21(3), pages 133-152, August.
    12. Watling, David, 2006. "User equilibrium traffic network assignment with stochastic travel times and late arrival penalty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 175(3), pages 1539-1556, December.
    13. Lo, Hong K. & Luo, X.W. & Siu, Barbara W.Y., 2006. "Degradable transport network: Travel time budget of travelers with heterogeneous risk aversion," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 40(9), pages 792-806, November.
    14. Bell, Michael G. H. & Cassir, Chris, 2002. "Risk-averse user equilibrium traffic assignment: an application of game theory," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 671-681, September.
    15. W. Szeto & L. O'Brien & M. O'Mahony, 2006. "Risk-Averse Traffic Assignment with Elastic Demands: NCP Formulation and Solution Method for Assessing Performance Reliability," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 313-332, September.
    16. Maher, Mike, 1998. "Algorithms for logit-based stochastic user equilibrium assignment," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 32(8), pages 539-549, November.
    17. Lo, Hong K. & Tung, Yeou-Koung, 2003. "Network with degradable links: capacity analysis and design," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 345-363, May.
    18. Chen, Anthony & Zhou, Zhong, 2010. "The [alpha]-reliable mean-excess traffic equilibrium model with stochastic travel times," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(4), pages 493-513, May.
    19. Nie, Yu (Marco) & Wu, Xing, 2009. "Shortest path problem considering on-time arrival probability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 43(6), pages 597-613, July.
    20. Maher, M. J. & Hughes, P. C., 1997. "A probit-based stochastic user equilibrium assignment model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 341-355, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhaoqi Zang & Richard Batley & Xiangdong Xu & David Z. W. Wang, 2022. "On the value of distribution tail in the valuation of travel time variability," Papers 2207.06293, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    2. Zhu, Zheng & Mardan, Atabak & Zhu, Shanjiang & Yang, Hai, 2021. "Capturing the interaction between travel time reliability and route choice behavior based on the generalized Bayesian traffic model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 48-64.
    3. Wu, Xing, 2015. "Study on mean-standard deviation shortest path problem in stochastic and time-dependent networks: A stochastic dominance based approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 275-290.
    4. Nakayama, Shoichiro & Watling, David, 2014. "Consistent formulation of network equilibrium with stochastic flows," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 50-69.
    5. Ahipaşaoğlu, Selin Damla & Meskarian, Rudabeh & Magnanti, Thomas L. & Natarajan, Karthik, 2015. "Beyond normality: A cross moment-stochastic user equilibrium model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 333-354.
    6. Zhaoqi Zang & Xiangdong Xu & Kai Qu & Ruiya Chen & Anthony Chen, 2022. "Travel time reliability in transportation networks: A review of methodological developments," Papers 2206.12696, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    7. Amirgholy, Mahyar & Gonzales, Eric J., 2017. "Efficient frontier of route choice for modeling the equilibrium under travel time variability with heterogeneous traveler preferences," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 11, pages 1-14.
    8. Roberto Cominetti & Alfredo Torrico, 2016. "Additive Consistency of Risk Measures and Its Application to Risk-Averse Routing in Networks," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 41(4), pages 1510-1521, November.
    9. E. Nikolova & N. E. Stier-Moses, 2014. "A Mean-Risk Model for the Traffic Assignment Problem with Stochastic Travel Times," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 62(2), pages 366-382, April.
    10. Thanasis Lianeas & Evdokia Nikolova & Nicolas E. Stier-Moses, 2019. "Risk-Averse Selfish Routing," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(1), pages 38-57, February.
    11. Boyles, Stephen D. & Tang, Shoupeng & Unnikrishnan, Avinash, 2015. "Parking search equilibrium on a network," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 390-409.
    12. Jian Li & Kaan Ozbay, 2015. "Evacuation Planning with Endogenous Transportation Network Degradations: A Stochastic Cell-Based Model and Solution Procedure," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 677-696, September.
    13. Liu, Qiumin & Jiang, Rui & Liu, Ronghui & Zhao, Hui & Gao, Ziyou, 2020. "Travel cost budget based user equilibrium in a bottleneck model with stochastic capacity," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1-37.
    14. Teppei Kato & Kenetsu Uchida & William H. K. Lam & Agachai Sumalee, 2021. "Estimation of the value of travel time and of travel time reliability for heterogeneous drivers in a road network," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 1639-1670, August.
    15. Prakash, A. Arun & Seshadri, Ravi & Srinivasan, Karthik K., 2018. "A consistent reliability-based user-equilibrium problem with risk-averse users and endogenous travel time correlations: Formulation and solution algorithm," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 171-198.
    16. Michael W. Levin & Melissa Duell & S. Travis Waller, 2020. "Arrival Time Reliability in Strategic User Equilibrium," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 803-831, September.
    17. Xu, Xiangdong & Chen, Anthony & Cheng, Lin & Yang, Chao, 2017. "A link-based mean-excess traffic equilibrium model under uncertainty," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 53-75.
    18. Wang, Judith Y.T. & Ehrgott, Matthias & Chen, Anthony, 2014. "A bi-objective user equilibrium model of travel time reliability in a road network," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 4-15.
    19. Tan, Zhijia & Yang, Hai & Guo, Renyong, 2014. "Pareto efficiency of reliability-based traffic equilibria and risk-taking behavior of travelers," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 16-31.
    20. Zang, Zhaoqi & Xu, Xiangdong & Yang, Chao & Chen, Anthony, 2018. "A closed-form estimation of the travel time percentile function for characterizing travel time reliability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 228-247.
    21. Xiangfeng Ji & Xuegang (Jeff) Ban & Mengtian Li & Jian Zhang & Bin Ran, 2017. "Non-expected Route Choice Model under Risk on Stochastic Traffic Networks," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 777-807, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Prakash, A. Arun & Seshadri, Ravi & Srinivasan, Karthik K., 2018. "A consistent reliability-based user-equilibrium problem with risk-averse users and endogenous travel time correlations: Formulation and solution algorithm," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 171-198.
    2. Zhaoqi Zang & Xiangdong Xu & Kai Qu & Ruiya Chen & Anthony Chen, 2022. "Travel time reliability in transportation networks: A review of methodological developments," Papers 2206.12696, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    3. Chen, Anthony & Zhou, Zhong & Lam, William H.K., 2011. "Modeling stochastic perception error in the mean-excess traffic equilibrium model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(10), pages 1619-1640.
    4. Xu, Xiangdong & Chen, Anthony & Cheng, Lin & Yang, Chao, 2017. "A link-based mean-excess traffic equilibrium model under uncertainty," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 53-75.
    5. Wang, Judith Y.T. & Ehrgott, Matthias & Chen, Anthony, 2014. "A bi-objective user equilibrium model of travel time reliability in a road network," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 4-15.
    6. Chen, Anthony & Zhou, Zhong, 2010. "The [alpha]-reliable mean-excess traffic equilibrium model with stochastic travel times," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(4), pages 493-513, May.
    7. Wu, Xing & (Marco) Nie, Yu, 2011. "Modeling heterogeneous risk-taking behavior in route choice: A stochastic dominance approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(9), pages 896-915, November.
    8. Xiangfeng Ji & Xuegang (Jeff) Ban & Mengtian Li & Jian Zhang & Bin Ran, 2017. "Non-expected Route Choice Model under Risk on Stochastic Traffic Networks," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 777-807, September.
    9. Connors, Richard D. & Sumalee, Agachai, 2009. "A network equilibrium model with travellers' perception of stochastic travel times," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 43(6), pages 614-624, July.
    10. E. Nikolova & N. E. Stier-Moses, 2014. "A Mean-Risk Model for the Traffic Assignment Problem with Stochastic Travel Times," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 62(2), pages 366-382, April.
    11. Michael W. Levin & Melissa Duell & S. Travis Waller, 2020. "Arrival Time Reliability in Strategic User Equilibrium," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 803-831, September.
    12. Shen, Liang & Shao, Hu & Wu, Ting & Fainman, Emily Zhu & Lam, William H.K., 2020. "Finding the reliable shortest path with correlated link travel times in signalized traffic networks under uncertainty," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    13. Li-Jun Tian & Hai-Jun Huang & Zi-You Gao, 2012. "A Cumulative Perceived Value-Based Dynamic User Equilibrium Model Considering the Travelers’ Risk Evaluation on Arrival Time," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 12(4), pages 589-608, December.
    14. Xie, Chi & Liu, Zugang, 2014. "On the stochastic network equilibrium with heterogeneous choice inertia," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 90-109.
    15. Tan, Zhijia & Yang, Hai & Guo, Renyong, 2014. "Pareto efficiency of reliability-based traffic equilibria and risk-taking behavior of travelers," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 16-31.
    16. Xiangdong Xu & Anthony Chen & Lin Cheng, 2013. "Assessing the effects of stochastic perception error under travel time variability," Transportation, Springer, vol. 40(3), pages 525-548, May.
    17. Nakayama, Shoichiro & Watling, David, 2014. "Consistent formulation of network equilibrium with stochastic flows," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 50-69.
    18. Ahipaşaoğlu, Selin Damla & Meskarian, Rudabeh & Magnanti, Thomas L. & Natarajan, Karthik, 2015. "Beyond normality: A cross moment-stochastic user equilibrium model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 333-354.
    19. Lam, William H.K. & Shao, Hu & Sumalee, Agachai, 2008. "Modeling impacts of adverse weather conditions on a road network with uncertainties in demand and supply," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(10), pages 890-910, December.
    20. Zhu, Zheng & Mardan, Atabak & Zhu, Shanjiang & Yang, Hai, 2021. "Capturing the interaction between travel time reliability and route choice behavior based on the generalized Bayesian traffic model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 48-64.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:45:y:2011:i:10:p:1641-1659. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/548/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.