IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/tefoso/v165y2021ics0040162520312567.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Price of climate risk hedging under uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Rubtsov, Alexey
  • Xu, Wei
  • Šević, Aleksandar
  • Šević, Željko

Abstract

In this manuscript, we examine the welfare benefits of climate risk hedges and the effects of climate uncertainty on optimal portfolios with different investment horizons. We consider the case when an investor who trades in a stock market also holds a claim that pays off when an adverse climate scenario materializes. The optimal investment strategy, the price of the claim, and the cost of climate change uncertainty are derived. It is shown that climate uncertainty reduces stock investment. Furthermore, an increase in climate uncertainty decreases investor’s welfare, even when climate risk hedging instruments are available.

Suggested Citation

  • Rubtsov, Alexey & Xu, Wei & Šević, Aleksandar & Šević, Željko, 2021. "Price of climate risk hedging under uncertainty," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:165:y:2021:i:c:s0040162520312567
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120430
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162520312567
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120430?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Raman Uppal & Tan Wang, 2003. "Model Misspecification and Underdiversification," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(6), pages 2465-2486, December.
    2. Robert F Engle & Stefano Giglio & Bryan Kelly & Heebum Lee & Johannes Stroebel, 2020. "Hedging Climate Change News," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(3), pages 1184-1216.
    3. Rubtsov, Alexey, 2016. "Model misspecification and pricing of illiquid claims," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 242-249.
    4. Maenhout, Pascal J., 2006. "Robust portfolio rules and detection-error probabilities for a mean-reverting risk premium," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 128(1), pages 136-163, May.
    5. Stefano Giglio & Matteo Maggiori & Krishna Rao & Johannes Stroebel & Andreas Weber & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Climate Change and Long-Run Discount Rates: Evidence from Real Estate [Abrupt climate change]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(8), pages 3527-3571.
    6. Pascal J. Maenhout, 2004. "Robust Portfolio Rules and Asset Pricing," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 17(4), pages 951-983.
    7. Vicky Henderson, 2002. "Valuation Of Claims On Nontraded Assets Using Utility Maximization," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(4), pages 351-373, October.
    8. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J Sargent, 2014. "A Quartet of Semigroups for Model Specification, Robustness, Prices of Risk, and Model Detection," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, chapter 4, pages 83-143, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    9. Lucie Teplå, 2000. "Optimal Hedging and Valuation of Nontraded Assets," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 4(3), pages 231-251.
    10. Kent D. Daniel & Robert B. Litterman & Gernot Wagner, 2019. "Declining CO 2 price paths," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 116(42), pages 20886-20891, October.
    11. Thaleia Zariphopoulou, 2001. "A solution approach to valuation with unhedgeable risks," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 61-82.
    12. Christian Flor & Linda Larsen, 2014. "Robust portfolio choice with stochastic interest rates," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 243-265, May.
    13. Pineiro-Chousa, Juan & Vizcaíno-González, Marcos, 2016. "A quantum derivation of a reputational risk premium," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 304-309.
    14. Marek Musiela & Thaleia Zariphopoulou, 2004. "A valuation algorithm for indifference prices in incomplete markets," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 8(3), pages 399-414, August.
    15. Henderson, Vicky & Hobson, David G., 2002. "Real options with constant relative risk aversion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 329-355, December.
    16. Hong, Harrison & Li, Frank Weikai & Xu, Jiangmin, 2019. "Climate risks and market efficiency," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 265-281.
    17. Tehranchi, Michael, 2004. "Explicit solutions of some utility maximization problems in incomplete markets," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 114(1), pages 109-125, November.
    18. Claus Munk & Alexey Rubtsov, 2014. "Portfolio management with stochastic interest rates and inflation ambiguity," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 10(3), pages 419-455, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Dongna & Zhao, Zuoxiang & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Sovereign ESG and corporate investment: New insights from the United Kingdom," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    2. Gong, Xu & Fu, Chengbo & Huang, Qiping & Lin, Meimei, 2022. "International political uncertainty and climate risk in the stock market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    3. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Viviani, Jean-Laurent & Ben Jabeur, Sami & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Lucey, Brian M., 2022. "How do climate risk and clean energy spillovers, and uncertainty affect U.S. stock markets?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    4. Billio, Monica & Costola, Michele & Hristova, Iva & Latino, Carmelo & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2022. "Sustainable finance: A journey toward ESG and climate risk," SAFE Working Paper Series 349, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    5. Ren, Xiaohang & Li, Jingyao & He, Feng & Lucey, Brian, 2023. "Impact of climate policy uncertainty on traditional energy and green markets: Evidence from time-varying granger tests," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    6. Ren, Xiaohang & Li, Yiying & yan, Cheng & Wen, Fenghua & Lu, Zudi, 2022. "The interrelationship between the carbon market and the green bonds market: Evidence from wavelet quantile-on-quantile method," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    7. Ye, Liping, 2022. "The effect of climate news risk on uncertainties," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rubtsov, Alexey, 2016. "Model misspecification and pricing of illiquid claims," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 242-249.
    2. Escobar, Marcos & Ferrando, Sebastian & Rubtsov, Alexey, 2015. "Robust portfolio choice with derivative trading under stochastic volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 142-157.
    3. Escobar, Marcos & Ferrando, Sebastian & Rubtsov, Alexey, 2018. "Dynamic derivative strategies with stochastic interest rates and model uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 49-71.
    4. Horváth, Ferenc, 2017. "Essays on robust asset pricing," Other publications TiSEM e54d7b33-1f27-4b0e-9f84-f, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    5. Zeng, Yan & Li, Danping & Chen, Zheng & Yang, Zhou, 2018. "Ambiguity aversion and optimal derivative-based pension investment with stochastic income and volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 70-103.
    6. Gu, Ailing & Viens, Frederi G. & Yi, Bo, 2017. "Optimal reinsurance and investment strategies for insurers with mispricing and model ambiguity," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 235-249.
    7. Xing Jin & Dan Luo & Xudong Zeng, 2021. "Tail Risk and Robust Portfolio Decisions," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(5), pages 3254-3275, May.
    8. Yumo Zhang, 2023. "Robust Optimal Investment Strategies for Mean-Variance Asset-Liability Management Under 4/2 Stochastic Volatility Models," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 1-32, March.
    9. Li, Danping & Young, Virginia R., 2019. "Optimal reinsurance to minimize the discounted probability of ruin under ambiguity," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 143-152.
    10. Wang, Pei & Li, Zhongfei, 2018. "Robust optimal investment strategy for an AAM of DC pension plans with stochastic interest rate and stochastic volatility," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 67-83.
    11. Zeng, Yan & Li, Danping & Gu, Ailing, 2016. "Robust equilibrium reinsurance-investment strategy for a mean–variance insurer in a model with jumps," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 138-152.
    12. Peng, Xingchun & Chen, Fenge & Wang, Wenyuan, 2021. "Robust optimal investment and reinsurance for an insurer with inside information," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 15-30.
    13. Zheng, Xiaoxiao & Zhou, Jieming & Sun, Zhongyang, 2016. "Robust optimal portfolio and proportional reinsurance for an insurer under a CEV model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 77-87.
    14. Ulrich, Maxim, 2013. "Inflation ambiguity and the term structure of U.S. Government bonds," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(2), pages 295-309.
    15. Christian Flor & Linda Larsen, 2014. "Robust portfolio choice with stochastic interest rates," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 243-265, May.
    16. Luo, Yulei, 2014. "Strategic Consumption-Portfolio Rules and Precautionary Savings with Informational Frictions," MPRA Paper 58077, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Guan, Guohui & Hu, Jiaqi & Liang, Zongxia, 2022. "Robust equilibrium strategies in a defined benefit pension plan game," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 193-217.
    18. Hening Liu, 2010. "Robust consumption and portfolio choice for time varying investment opportunities," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 6(4), pages 435-454, October.
    19. Escobar, Marcos & Ferrando, Sebastian & Rubtsov, Alexey, 2016. "Portfolio choice with stochastic interest rates and learning about stock return predictability," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 347-370.
    20. Luo, Yulei, 2015. "Robustly Strategic Consumption-Portfolio Rules with Informational Frictions," MPRA Paper 64312, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:165:y:2021:i:c:s0040162520312567. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00401625 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.