IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/tefoso/v138y2019icp127-138.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Technology Roadmapping (TRM): a systematic review of the literature focusing on models

Author

Listed:
  • de Alcantara, Douglas Pedro
  • Martens, Mauro Luiz

Abstract

The Technology Roadmapping (TRM) approach has been applied and disseminated among organizations of diverse sizes, from small enterprises to major government policy projects, to achieve an effective alignment of an organization's strategic objectives with technologies related to the products and considered key elements for the success of several businesses. Research has been done to contribute to new models of the TRM approach that can result in improved results for diverse applications. This work aims to carry out a systematic review of the literature, by mixing a bibliometric study with the analysis of networks and content on the connection between TRM and strategy, and to present a set of models associated to the theme. We highlight the bibliometric mapping of the article sample as the main contribution. In addition, analysis of clusters of citations and co-citations was carried out in order to present reviews of articles and authors identified to the models of TRM, with application comments.

Suggested Citation

  • de Alcantara, Douglas Pedro & Martens, Mauro Luiz, 2019. "Technology Roadmapping (TRM): a systematic review of the literature focusing on models," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 127-138.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:138:y:2019:i:c:p:127-138
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2018.08.014
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162518304529
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.techfore.2018.08.014?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marion A. Weissenberger-Eibl & Stephan Speith, 2008. "An Integrative Approach to Disruptive Technology Forecasting in Companies," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Mostafa Hashem Sherif & Tarek M Khalil (ed.), Management Of Technology Innovation And Value Creation Selected Papers from the 16th International Conference on Management of Technology, chapter 24, pages 401-414, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Margherita Pagani, 2009. "Roadmapping 3G mobile TV : Strategic thinking and scenario planning through repeated cross-impact handling," Post-Print hal-02313094, HAL.
    3. Lee, Changyong & Song, Bomi & Park, Yongtae, 2015. "An instrument for scenario-based technology roadmapping: How to assess the impacts of future changes on organisational plans," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 285-301.
    4. Siebelink, Remco & Halman, Johannes I.M. & Hofman, Erwin, 2016. "Scenario-Driven Roadmapping to cope with uncertainty: Its application in the construction industry," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 226-238.
    5. Carvalho, M.M. & Fleury, André & Lopes, Ana Paula, 2013. "An overview of the literature on technology roadmapping (TRM): Contributions and trends," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(7), pages 1418-1437.
    6. Vishnevskiy, Konstantin & Karasev, Oleg & Meissner, Dirk, 2016. "Integrated roadmaps for strategic management and planning," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 153-166.
    7. Toni Ahlqvist & Ville Valovirta & Torsti Loikkanen, 2012. "Innovation policy roadmapping as a systemic instrument for forward-looking policy design," Science and Public Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 39(2), pages 178-190, March.
    8. McDowall, William & Eames, Malcolm, 2006. "Forecasts, scenarios, visions, backcasts and roadmaps to the hydrogen economy: A review of the hydrogen futures literature," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 1236-1250, July.
    9. Nees Jan Eck & Ludo Waltman, 2010. "Software survey: VOSviewer, a computer program for bibliometric mapping," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 84(2), pages 523-538, August.
    10. Geum, Youngjung & Lee, HyeonJeong & Lee, Youngjo & Park, Yongtae, 2015. "Development of data-driven technology roadmap considering dependency: An ARM-based technology roadmapping," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 264-279.
    11. Cheng, M.N. & Wong, Jane W.K. & Cheung, C.F. & Leung, K.H., 2016. "A scenario-based roadmapping method for strategic planning and forecasting: A case study in a testing, inspection and certification company," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 44-62.
    12. Gonzalez-Salazar, Miguel Angel & Venturini, Mauro & Poganietz, Witold-Roger & Finkenrath, Matthias & Kirsten, Trevor & Acevedo, Helmer & Spina, Pier Ruggero, 2016. "Development of a technology roadmap for bioenergy exploitation including biofuels, waste-to-energy and power generation & CHP," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 338-352.
    13. Youngjung Geum & Sungjoo Lee & Daekook Kang & Yongtae Park, 2011. "The customisation framework for roadmapping product-service integration," Service Business, Springer;Pan-Pacific Business Association, vol. 5(3), pages 213-236, September.
    14. Zhang, Yi & Robinson, Douglas K.R. & Porter, Alan L. & Zhu, Donghua & Zhang, Guangquan & Lu, Jie, 2016. "Technology roadmapping for competitive technical intelligence," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 175-186.
    15. N. Gerdsri, 2007. "An Analytical Approach To Building A Technology Development Envelope (Tde) For Roadmapping Of Emerging Technologies," International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management (IJITM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(02), pages 121-135.
    16. Lee, Hakyeon & Geum, Youngjung, 2017. "Development of the scenario-based technology roadmap considering layer heterogeneity: An approach using CIA and AHP," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 12-24.
    17. Ghazinoory, Sepehr & Dastranj, Nasrin & Saghafi, Fatemeh & Kulshreshtha, Arun & Hasanzadeh, Alireza, 2017. "Technology roadmapping architecture based on technological learning: Case study of social banking in Iran," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 231-242.
    18. Ronald S. Vatananan & Nathasit Gerdsri, 2012. "The Current State Of Technology Roadmapping (Trm) Research And Practice," International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management (IJITM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(04), pages 1-20.
    19. Tierney, Robert & Hermina, Wahid & Walsh, Steven, 2013. "The pharmaceutical technology landscape: A new form of technology roadmapping," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 194-211.
    20. Lee, Jung Hoon & Phaal, Robert & Lee, Sang-Ho, 2013. "An integrated service-device-technology roadmap for smart city development," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 286-306.
    21. Featherston, Charles R. & Ho, Jae-Yun & Brévignon-Dodin, Laure & O'Sullivan, Eoin, 2016. "Mediating and catalysing innovation: A framework for anticipating the standardisation needs of emerging technologies," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 48, pages 25-40.
    22. Scalice, Régis Kovacs & da Silva, José Oliveira & Ostetto, Jaqueline Nazario & de Paula, Gabriele Aguiar, 2015. "Modular deployment using TRM and function analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1-11.
    23. Carayannis, Elias & Grebeniuk, Anna & Meissner, Dirk, 2016. "Smart roadmapping for STI policy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 109-116.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mas-Tur, Alicia & Roig-Tierno, Norat & Sarin, Shikhar & Haon, Christophe & Sego, Trina & Belkhouja, Mustapha & Porter, Alan & Merigó, José M., 2021. "Co-citation, bibliographic coupling and leading authors, institutions and countries in the 50 years of Technological Forecasting and Social Change," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    2. Kerr, Clive & Phaal, Robert, 2020. "Technology roadmapping: Industrial roots, forgotten history and unknown origins," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    3. Wu, Qiang & He, Qile, 2020. "DIY Laboratories and business innovation ecosystems: The case of pharmaceutical industry," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    4. Kim, Junhan & Geum, Youngjung, 2021. "How to develop data-driven technology roadmaps:The integration of topic modeling and link prediction," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    5. Gomes, Leonardo Augusto de Vasconcelos & Fleury, André Leme & Oliveira, Maicon Gouvêa de & Facin, Ana Lucia Figueiredo, 2021. "Ecosystem policy roadmapping," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    6. Yuskevich, Ilya & Hein, Andreas Makoto & Amokrane-Ferka, Kahina & Doufene, Abdelkrim & Jankovic, Marija, 2021. "A metamodel of an informational structure for model-based technology roadmapping," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    7. Valor, Carmen & Antonetti, Paolo & Crisafulli, Benedetta, 2022. "Emotions and consumers’ adoption of innovations: An integrative review and research agenda," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    8. Marinković, Milan & Al-Tabbaa, Omar & Khan, Zaheer & Wu, Jie, 2022. "Corporate foresight: A systematic literature review and future research trajectories," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 289-311.
    9. Chakraborty, Swagata & Nijssen, Edwin J. & Valkenburg, Rianne, 2022. "A systematic review of industry-level applications of technology roadmapping: Evaluation and design propositions for roadmapping practitioners," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    10. Carlos E. Barbosa & Yuri Lima & Matheus Emerick & Fabio Ferman & Fernanda C. Ribeiro & Jano Moreira de Souza, 2023. "Supporting distributed and integrated execution of future‐oriented technology analysis," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(1), March.
    11. Alizadeh, Reza & Lund, Peter D. & Soltanisehat, Leili, 2020. "Outlook on biofuels in future studies: A systematic literature review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    12. Jugend, Daniel & Fiorini, Paula De Camargo & Armellini, Fabiano & Ferrari, Aline Gabriela, 2020. "Public support for innovation: A systematic review of the literature and implications for open innovation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    13. Kajikawa, Yuya & Mejia, Cristian & Wu, Mengjia & Zhang, Yi, 2022. "Academic landscape of Technological Forecasting and Social Change through citation network and topic analyses," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    14. Marek Jemala, 2019. "Problematic Roadmapping for Companies in Less Developed Regions of Slovakia," International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management (IJITM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(08), pages 1-26, December.
    15. Aristotelis Mavidis & Dimitris Folinas, 2022. "From Public E-Procurement 3.0 to E-Procurement 4.0; A Critical Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-23, September.
    16. Pietronudo, Maria Cristina & Croidieu, Grégoire & Schiavone, Francesco, 2022. "A solution looking for problems? A systematic literature review of the rationalizing influence of artificial intelligence on decision-making in innovation management," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    17. Raphael Cobra & Paula Sanvezzo & Marcia Branciforti & Janaina Mascarenhas, 2021. "Circular Technology Roadmapping (TRM): Fostering Sustainable Material Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-13, June.
    18. Park, Hyunkyu & Phaal, Rob & Ho, Jae-Yun & O'Sullivan, Eoin, 2020. "Twenty years of technology and strategic roadmapping research: A school of thought perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    19. Yuya Mitake & Kenshiro Hiramitsu & Yusuke Tsutsui & Mar’atus Sholihah & Yoshiki Shimomura, 2020. "A Strategic Planning Method to Guide Product—Service System Development and Implementation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-23, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Park, Hyunkyu & Phaal, Rob & Ho, Jae-Yun & O'Sullivan, Eoin, 2020. "Twenty years of technology and strategic roadmapping research: A school of thought perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    2. Yuya Mitake & Kenshiro Hiramitsu & Yusuke Tsutsui & Mar’atus Sholihah & Yoshiki Shimomura, 2020. "A Strategic Planning Method to Guide Product—Service System Development and Implementation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-23, September.
    3. Saba Sareminia & Alireza Hasanzadeh & Shaaban Elahi & Gholamali Montazer, 2019. "Developing Technology Roadmapping Combinational Framework by Meta Synthesis Technique," International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management (IJITM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(02), pages 1-36, April.
    4. Marek Jemala, 2019. "Problematic Roadmapping for Companies in Less Developed Regions of Slovakia," International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management (IJITM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(08), pages 1-26, December.
    5. Yuskevich, Ilya & Hein, Andreas Makoto & Amokrane-Ferka, Kahina & Doufene, Abdelkrim & Jankovic, Marija, 2021. "A metamodel of an informational structure for model-based technology roadmapping," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    6. Yu, Xiang & Zhang, Ben, 2019. "Obtaining advantages from technology revolution: A patent roadmap for competition analysis and strategy planning," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 273-283.
    7. Kim, Junhan & Geum, Youngjung, 2021. "How to develop data-driven technology roadmaps:The integration of topic modeling and link prediction," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    8. Cho, Yonghee & Yoon, Seong-Pil & Kim, Karp-Soo, 2016. "An industrial technology roadmap for supporting public R&D planning," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-12.
    9. Cheng, M.N. & Wong, Jane W.K. & Cheung, C.F. & Leung, K.H., 2016. "A scenario-based roadmapping method for strategic planning and forecasting: A case study in a testing, inspection and certification company," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 44-62.
    10. Daim, Tugrul U. & Yoon, Byung-Sung & Lindenberg, John & Grizzi, Robert & Estep, Judith & Oliver, Terry, 2018. "Strategic roadmapping of robotics technologies for the power industry: A multicriteria technology assessment," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 49-66.
    11. Sebastián Escobar & Margareth Santander & Pilar Useche & Carlos Contreras & Jader Rodríguez, 2020. "Aligning Strategic Objectives with Research and Development Activities in a Soft Commodity Sector: A Technological Plan for Colombian Cocoa Producers," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-32, April.
    12. Chakraborty, Swagata & Nijssen, Edwin J. & Valkenburg, Rianne, 2022. "A systematic review of industry-level applications of technology roadmapping: Evaluation and design propositions for roadmapping practitioners," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    13. Zhang, Hao & Daim, Tugrul & Zhang, Yunqiu (Peggy), 2021. "Integrating patent analysis into technology roadmapping: A latent dirichlet allocation based technology assessment and roadmapping in the field of Blockchain," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    14. Yujin Jeong & Hyejin Jang & Byungun Yoon, 2021. "Developing a risk-adaptive technology roadmap using a Bayesian network and topic modeling under deep uncertainty," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(5), pages 3697-3722, May.
    15. Hansen, Christoph & Daim, Tugrul & Ernst, Horst & Herstatt, Cornelius, 2016. "The future of rail automation: A scenario-based technology roadmap for the rail automation market," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 196-212.
    16. Siebelink, Remco & Hofman, Erwin & Halman, Johannes I.M. & Nee, Ingo, 2021. "Roadmapping: (Missed) opportunities to overcome strategic challenges," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 64(4), pages 501-512.
    17. Noh, Heeyong & Kim, Kyuwoong & Song, Young-Keun & Lee, Sungjoo, 2021. "Opportunity-driven technology roadmapping: The case of 5G mobile services," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    18. Spaniol, Matthew J. & Rowland, Nicholas J., 2022. "Business ecosystems and the view from the future: The use of corporate foresight by stakeholders of the Ro-Ro shipping ecosystem in the Baltic Sea Region," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    19. Chi-Yo Huang & Jih-Jeng Huang & You-Ning Chang & Yen-Chu Lin, 2021. "A Fuzzy-MOP-Based Competence Set Expansion Method for Technology Roadmap Definitions," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-26, January.
    20. Bloem da Silveira Junior, Luiz A. & Vasconcellos, Eduardo & Vasconcellos Guedes, Liliana & Guedes, Luis Fernando A. & Costa, Renato Machado, 2018. "Technology roadmapping: A methodological proposition to refine Delphi results," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 194-206.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:138:y:2019:i:c:p:127-138. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00401625 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.