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The impact of sovereign risk on bond duration: Evidence from Asian sovereign bond markets

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  • Lee, Hei Wai
  • Xie, Yan Alice
  • Yau, Jot

Abstract

This paper examines the effect of sovereign risk on bond duration. We compare the sovereign risk-adjusted duration for U.S. dollar-denominated Asian sovereign bonds with their Macaulay duration for both investment grade bonds and speculative grade bonds. We find that the sovereign risk-adjusted duration is significantly shorter than its Macaulay counterpart for all bonds, regardless of their bond rating and their maturity. Further, the "shortening" effect of sovereign risk on duration gets stronger as bond rating deteriorates and in recessionary conditions. Our findings provide strong support for the importance of adjusting for sovereign risk when bond portfolio managers apply the popular duration measure to hedge interest rate risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Hei Wai & Xie, Yan Alice & Yau, Jot, 2011. "The impact of sovereign risk on bond duration: Evidence from Asian sovereign bond markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 441-451, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:20:y:2011:i:3:p:441-451
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    3. Sri Hari NAIDU. A & Phanindra GOYARI & Bandi KAMAIAH, 2016. "Determinants of sovereign bond yields in emerging economies: Some panel inferences," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(608), A), pages 101-118, Autumn.
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    5. Javier J. Pérez & Rocío Prieto, 2014. "The structure of sub-natural public debt: Liquidity vs credit risk," Working Papers 1403, Banco de España.
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    7. Marcos González-Fernández & Carmen González-Velasco, 2018. "Bond Yields, Sovereign Risk and Maturity Structure," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-25, September.
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    9. MacDonald, Ronald & Sogiakas, Vasilios & Tsopanakis, Andreas, 2018. "Volatility co-movements and spillover effects within the Eurozone economies: A multivariate GARCH approach using the financial stress index," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 17-36.
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