IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/retrec/v90y2021ics0739885921001025.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Transport infrastructure, accessibility, and spillover effects: An empirical analysis of the Portuguese real estate market from 2000 to 2018

Author

Listed:
  • Fragoso Januário, João
  • Costa, Álvaro
  • Oliveira Cruz, Carlos
  • Miranda Sarmento, Joaquim
  • Faria e Sousa, Vítor

Abstract

Modelling real estate valuation has for long been established as a central research area within urban and regional economics. Several studies have identified the main factors that model real estate value. Accessibility is one of those factors. This article describes the influence of transportation infrastructure on property valuations, using the mean value of real estate transactions in NUTS-III administrative regions of mainland Portugal as a proxy for valuation, based on an analysis of the period between 2000 and 2018. This study expands the existing body of knowledge by explicitly considering spillover effects from investing in infrastructure. A cross-regressive spatial model is developed with typical investment and infrastructure stock variables and more complex accessibility indicators. These indicators express different levels of accessibility within regions and are influenced by the development of both road and railway infrastructure. The results show evidence of spatial autocorrelation between real estate values, confirming that the positioning of each region is crucial for the development of the market. However, the results yielded by the cross-regression model are not consistent across all 23 regions, showing both positive and negative impacts of road infrastructure investment on real estate values.

Suggested Citation

  • Fragoso Januário, João & Costa, Álvaro & Oliveira Cruz, Carlos & Miranda Sarmento, Joaquim & Faria e Sousa, Vítor, 2021. "Transport infrastructure, accessibility, and spillover effects: An empirical analysis of the Portuguese real estate market from 2000 to 2018," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:90:y:2021:i:c:s0739885921001025
    DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2021.101130
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0739885921001025
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.retrec.2021.101130?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ibeas, Ángel & Cordera, Ruben & dell’Olio, Luigi & Coppola, Pierluigi & Dominguez, Alberto, 2012. "Modelling transport and real-estate values interactions in urban systems," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 370-382.
    2. He, Sylvia Y., 2020. "Regional impact of rail network accessibility on residential property price: Modelling spatial heterogeneous capitalisation effects in Hong Kong," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 244-263.
    3. Brooks,Chris & Tsolacos,Sotiris, 2010. "Real Estate Modelling and Forecasting," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521873390.
    4. Adelheid Holl, 2004. "Transport Infrastructure, Agglomeration Economies, and Firm Birth: Empirical Evidence from Portugal," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(4), pages 693-712, November.
    5. Catherine Baumont & Cem Ertur & Julie Le Gallo, 2000. "Geographic spillover and growth (a spatial econometric analysis for european regions)," Working Papers hal-01526987, HAL.
    6. Alfredo Marvão Pereira and Rui Manuel Pereira, 2020. "Infrastructure Investment, Labor Productivity, and International Competitiveness: The Case of Portugal," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 45(2), pages 1-29, June.
    7. Charles F. Manski, 1993. "Identification of Endogenous Social Effects: The Reflection Problem," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 60(3), pages 531-542.
    8. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    9. Plosser, Charles I. & Schwert, G. William, 1977. "Estimation of a non-invertible moving average process : The case of overdifferencing," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 199-224, September.
    10. Bohman, Helena & Nilsson, Désirée, 2016. "The impact of regional commuter trains on property values: Price segments and income," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 102-109.
    11. Melser, Daniel, 2020. "Estimating the housing capitalization effects of new infrastructure: Should we be using rents instead of prices?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 402-421.
    12. Cordera, Ruben & Coppola, Pierluigi & dell'Olio, Luigi & Ibeas, Ángel, 2019. "The impact of accessibility by public transport on real estate values: A comparison between the cities of Rome and Santander," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 308-319.
    13. Sharma, Rohit & Newman, Peter, 2018. "Does urban rail increase land value in emerging cities? Value uplift from Bangalore Metro," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 70-86.
    14. Zhang, Min & Yen, Barbara T.H. & Mulley, Corinne & Sipe, Neil, 2020. "An investigation of the open-system Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) network and property values: The case of Brisbane, Australia," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 16-34.
    15. Dubé, Jean & Legros, Diègo & Thériault, Marius & Des Rosiers, François, 2014. "A spatial Difference-in-Differences estimator to evaluate the effect of change in public mass transit systems on house prices," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 24-40.
    16. Cervero, Robert & Kang, Chang Deok, 2011. "Bus rapid transit impacts on land uses and land values in Seoul, Korea," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 102-116, January.
    17. Bowes, David R. & Ihlanfeldt, Keith R., 2001. "Identifying the Impacts of Rail Transit Stations on Residential Property Values," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 1-25, July.
    18. Diao, Mi & Leonard, Delon & Sing, Tien Foo, 2017. "Spatial-difference-in-differences models for impact of new mass rapid transit line on private housing values," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 64-77.
    19. Herzog, Ian, 2021. "National transportation networks, market access, and regional economic growth," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    20. Rosik, Piotr & Stępniak, Marcin & Komornicki, Tomasz, 2015. "The decade of the big push to roads in Poland: Impact on improvement in accessibility and territorial cohesion from a policy perspective," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 134-146.
    21. Luc Anselin & Daniel Arribas-Bel, 2013. "Spatial fixed effects and spatial dependence in a single cross-section," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 92(1), pages 3-17, March.
    22. Kenneth A. Small & Seiji S.C. Steimetz, 2012. "Spatial Hedonics And The Willingness To Pay For Residential Amenities," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(4), pages 635-647, October.
    23. Páez, Antonio & Scott, Darren M. & Morency, Catherine, 2012. "Measuring accessibility: positive and normative implementations of various accessibility indicators," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 141-153.
    24. Jeffrey P. Cohen & Catherine Morrison Paul, 2007. "The Impacts Of Transportation Infrastructure On Property Values: A Higher‐Order Spatial Econometrics Approach," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3), pages 457-478, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hou, Weilu & Shi, Qin & Guo, Liquan, 2022. "Impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on foreign trade intermodal transport accessibility: Evidence from the Yangtze River Delta region of mainland China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 419-438.
    2. Xinhai Lu & Zhoumi Li & Hongzheng Wang & Yifeng Tang & Bixia Hu & Mingyue Gong & Yulong Li, 2022. "Evaluating Impact of Farmland Recessive Morphology Transition on High-Quality Agricultural Development in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-19, March.
    3. Scotti, Francesco & Flori, Andrea & Pammolli, Fabio, 2022. "The economic impact of structural and Cohesion Funds across sectors: Immediate, medium-to-long term effects and spillovers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    4. Yuting Bai & Shuo Wang & Hongxu Zhang, 2023. "Does Transport Infrastructure Benefit Gdp Growth?," Working Papers 389127674, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rennert, Lindiwe, 2022. "A meta-analysis of the impact of rail stations on property values: Applying a transit planning lens," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 165-180.
    2. Yang, Linchuan & Chu, Xiaoling & Gou, Zhonghua & Yang, Hongtai & Lu, Yi & Huang, Wencheng, 2020. "Accessibility and proximity effects of bus rapid transit on housing prices: Heterogeneity across price quantiles and space," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    3. Paliska, Dejan & Drobne, Samo, 2020. "Impact of new motorway on housing prices in rural North-East Slovenia," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    4. He, Sylvia Y., 2020. "Regional impact of rail network accessibility on residential property price: Modelling spatial heterogeneous capitalisation effects in Hong Kong," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 244-263.
    5. Tian, Chuanhao & Peng, Ying & Wen, Haizhen & Yue, Wenze & Fang, Li, 2021. "Subway boosts housing values, for whom: A quasi-experimental analysis," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    6. Piotr Rosik & Julia Wójcik, 2022. "Transport Infrastructure and Regional Development: A Survey of Literature on Wider Economic and Spatial Impacts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-19, December.
    7. Zhong, Haotian & Li, Wei, 2016. "Rail transit investment and property values: An old tale retold," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 33-48.
    8. Julie Bulteau & Thierry Feuillet & Rémy Le Boennec, 2018. "Spatial Heterogeneity of Sustainable Transportation Offer Values: A Comparative Analysis of Nantes Urban and Periurban/Rural Areas (France)," Post-Print halshs-01706911, HAL.
    9. Diao, Mi & Leonard, Delon & Sing, Tien Foo, 2017. "Spatial-difference-in-differences models for impact of new mass rapid transit line on private housing values," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 64-77.
    10. Helen XH Bao & Johan P Larsson & Vivien Wong, 2021. "Light at the end of the tunnel:The impacts of expected major transport improvements on residential property prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(14), pages 2971-2990, November.
    11. Guzman, Luis A. & Enríquez, Hernán Darío & Hessel, Phillip, 2021. "BRT system in Bogotá and urban effects: More residential land premiums?," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    12. Jonas Eliasson & Fredrik Kopsch & Svante Mandell & Mats Wilhelmsson, 2020. "Transport Mode and the Value of Accessibility–A Potential Input for Sustainable Investment Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-14, March.
    13. Jin, Tanhua & Cheng, Long & Liu, Zhicheng & Cao, Jun & Huang, Haosheng & Witlox, Frank, 2022. "Nonlinear public transit accessibility effects on housing prices: Heterogeneity across price segments," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 48-59.
    14. Higgins, Christopher D. & Adams, Matthew D. & Réquia, Weeberb J. & Mohamed, Moataz, 2019. "Accessibility, air pollution, and congestion: Capturing spatial trade-offs from agglomeration in the property market," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 177-191.
    15. Zhang, Min, 2023. "Value uplift from transit investment-Property value or land value? A case study of the Gold Coast light rail system in Australia," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 88-98.
    16. Chinmoy Ghosh & Venkatesh Panchapagesan & Madalasa Venkataraman, 2024. "On the Impact of Infrastructure Improvement on Real Estate Property Values: Evidence from a Quasi-natural Experiment in an Emerging Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 68(1), pages 103-137, January.
    17. Laura Gabrielli & Aurora Greta Ruggeri & Massimiliano Scarpa, 2023. "“Location, Location, Location”: Fluctuations in Real Estate Market Values after COVID-19 and the War in Ukraine Based on Econometric and Spatial Analysis, Random Forest, and Multivariate Regression," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-23, June.
    18. AlQuhtani, Saad & Anjomani, Ardeshir, 2019. "Do rail transit stations affect housing value changes? The Dallas Fort-Worth metropolitan area case and implications," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1-1.
    19. Jian Liang & Kang Mo Koo & Chyi Lin Lee, 2021. "Transportation infrastructure improvement and real estate value: impact of level crossing removal project on housing prices," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(6), pages 2969-3011, December.
    20. Rémy Le Boennec & Julie Bulteau & Thierry Feuillet, 2022. "The role of commuter rail accessibility in the formation of residential land values: exploring spatial heterogeneity in peri-urban and remote areas," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 69(1), pages 163-186, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:90:y:2021:i:c:s0739885921001025. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/620614/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.