IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v507y2018icp89-98.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The pre-history of econophysics and the history of economics: Boltzmann versus the marginalists

Author

Listed:
  • Poitras, Geoffrey

Abstract

This paper contrasts developments in the pre-history of econophysics with the history of economics. The influence of classical physics on contributions of 19th century marginalists is identified and connections to the subsequent development of neoclassical economics discussed. The pre-history of econophysics is traced to a seminal contribution in the history of statistical mechanics: the classical ergodicity hypothesis introduced by L. Boltzmann. The subsequent role of the ergodicity hypothesis in empirical testing of the deterministic theories of neoclassical economics is identified. The stochastic models used in modern economics are compared with the more stochastically complex models of statistical mechanics used in econophysics. The influence of phenomenology in econophysics is identified and discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Poitras, Geoffrey, 2018. "The pre-history of econophysics and the history of economics: Boltzmann versus the marginalists," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 507(C), pages 89-98.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:507:y:2018:i:c:p:89-98
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.05.058
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437118306022
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2018.05.058?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Meitz, Mika & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2008. "Ergodicity, Mixing, And Existence Of Moments Of A Class Of Markov Models With Applications To Garch And Acd Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(5), pages 1291-1320, October.
    2. De Vroey Michel & Duarte Pedro Garcia, 2013. "In search of lost time: the neoclassical synthesis," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 1-31, January.
    3. Jevons, William Stanley, 1866. "Brief Account of a General Mathematical Theory of Political Economy," History of Economic Thought Articles, McMaster University Archive for the History of Economic Thought, vol. 29, pages 282-287.
    4. Schinckus, Christophe, 2010. "Is econophysics a new discipline? The neopositivist argument," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(18), pages 3814-3821.
    5. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1980. "Methods and Problems in Business Cycle Theory," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(4), pages 696-715, November.
    6. Anirban Chakraborti & Ioane Muni Toke & Marco Patriarca & Frederic Abergel, 2011. "Econophysics review: I. Empirical facts," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(7), pages 991-1012.
    7. Vilfredo Pareto, 1897. "The New Theories of Economics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 5, pages 485-485.
    8. Roehner,Bertrand M., 2002. "Patterns of Speculation," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521802635.
    9. Walker, D A, 1991. "Economics as Social Physics: Review Article," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 101(406), pages 615-631, May.
    10. Michel De Vroey, 2012. "Marshall and Walras: Incompatible bedfellows?," The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(5), pages 765-783, October.
    11. Robert C. Merton, 2005. "Theory of rational option pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 8, pages 229-288, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    12. Chiarella, Carl & He, Xue-Zhong & Wang, Duo & Zheng, Min, 2008. "The stochastic bifurcation behaviour of speculative financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(15), pages 3837-3846.
    13. Henry Schultz, 1925. "The Statistical Law of Demand as Illustrated by the Demand for Sugar," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 33, pages 481-481.
    14. Philip Mirowski, 1988. "Energy and Energetics in Economic Theory: A Review Essay," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(3), pages 811-830, September.
    15. Mark Blaug, 1972. "Was There a Marginal Revolution?," History of Political Economy, Duke University Press, vol. 4(2), pages 269-280, Fall.
    16. D. Sornette, 2014. "Physics and Financial Economics (1776-2014): Puzzles, Ising and Agent-Based models," Papers 1404.0243, arXiv.org.
    17. Stavros Drakopoulos & Ioannis Katselidis, 2015. "From Edgeworth to econophysics: a methodological perspective," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 77-95, March.
    18. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    19. Lima, L.S., 2017. "Modeling of the financial market using the two-dimensional anisotropic Ising model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 544-551.
    20. Ma, Chao & Ma, Qinghua & Yao, Haixiang & Hou, Tiancheng, 2018. "An accurate European option pricing model under Fractional Stable Process based on Feynman Path Integral," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 494(C), pages 87-117.
    21. Henry Schultz, 1925. "The Statistical Law of Demand as Illustrated by the Demand for Sugar," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 33, pages 577-577.
    22. George Kapetanios & Yongcheol Shin, 2011. "Testing the Null Hypothesis of Nonstationary Long Memory Against the Alternative Hypothesis of a Nonlinear Ergodic Model," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 620-645.
    23. Mirowski, Philip, 1984. "Physics and the 'Marginalist Revolution.'," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 8(4), pages 361-379, December.
    24. Ausloos, Marcel & Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2016. "On the “usual” misunderstandings between econophysics and finance: Some clarifications on modelling approaches and efficient market hypothesis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 7-14.
    25. Irving Fisher, 1898. "Cournot and Mathematical Economics," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 12(2), pages 119-138.
    26. Christophe Schinckus & Franck Jovanovic, 2013. "Towards a transdisciplinary econophysics," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(2), pages 164-183, June.
    27. Hendry, David F., 1995. "Dynamic Econometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198283164, Decembrie.
    28. Didier SORNETTE, 2014. "Physics and Financial Economics (1776-2014): Puzzles, Ising and Agent-Based Models," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 14-25, Swiss Finance Institute.
    29. Ramos-Requena, J.P. & Trinidad-Segovia, J.E. & Sánchez-Granero, M.A., 2017. "Introducing Hurst exponent in pair trading," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 488(C), pages 39-45.
    30. Anirban Chakraborti & Ioane Muni Toke & Marco Patriarca & Frédéric Abergel, 2011. "Econophysics review: II. Agent-based models," Post-Print hal-00621059, HAL.
    31. David Card, 2011. "Origins of the Unemployment Rate: The Lasting Legacy of Measurement without Theory," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 552-557, May.
    32. Kumar, A. & Wyłomańska, A. & Gajda, J., 2017. "Stable Lévy motion with inverse Gaussian subordinator," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 486-500.
    33. Mathieu J. Carlson, 1997. "Mirowski’s Thesis and the “Integrability Problem” in Neoclassical Economics," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 741-760, September.
    34. Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2017. "Econophysics and Financial Economics: An Emerging Dialogue," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780190205034, Decembrie.
    35. Mirowski, Philip, 1989. "The Probabilistic Counter-Revolution, or How Stochastic Concepts Came to Neoclassical Economic Theory," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 41(1), pages 217-235, January.
    36. Ian Steedman, 1997. "Jevons's Theory of Political Economy and the 'Marginalist Revolution'," The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 43-64.
    37. William T. Ganley, 1995. "Institutional Economics and Neoclassicism in the Early Twentieth Century: The Role of Physics," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 397-406, June.
    38. Pareto, Vilfredo, 1897. "The New Theories of Economics," History of Economic Thought Articles, McMaster University Archive for the History of Economic Thought, vol. 5.
    39. Wold, Herman O, 1969. "Econometrics as Pioneering in Nonexperimental Model Building," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 369-381, July.
    40. Arthur F. Burns & Wesley C. Mitchell, 1946. "Measuring Business Cycles," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number burn46-1, March.
    41. Samadi, Ali Hussein & Montakhab, Afshin & Marzban, Hussein & Owjimehr, Sakine, 2018. "Quantum Barro–Gordon game in monetary economics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 489(C), pages 94-101.
    42. A. W. Coats, 1972. "The Economic and Social Context of the Marginal Revolution of the 1870's," History of Political Economy, Duke University Press, vol. 4(2), pages 303-324, Fall.
    43. Poitras, Geoffrey & Heaney, John, 2015. "Classical Ergodicity and Modern Portfolio Theory," MPRA Paper 113952, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    44. Anirban Chakraborti & Ioane Muni Toke & Marco Patriarca & Frederic Abergel, 2011. "Econophysics review: II. Agent-based models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(7), pages 1013-1041.
    45. Franck Jovanovic & Christophe Schinckus, 2017. "Econophysics and Financial Economics," Post-Print hal-03541391, HAL.
    46. Anirban Chakraborti & Ioane Muni Toke & Marco Patriarca & Frédéric Abergel, 2011. "Econophysics review: I. Empirical facts," Post-Print hal-00621058, HAL.
    47. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    48. Stanley, H. Eugene & Plerou, Vasiliki & Gabaix, Xavier, 2008. "A statistical physics view of financial fluctuations: Evidence for scaling and universality," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(15), pages 3967-3981.
    49. T. W. Hutchison, 1972. "The “Marginal Revolution” Decline and Fall of English Political Economy," History of Political Economy, Duke University Press, vol. 4(2), pages 442-468, Fall.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jovanovic, Franck & Schinckus, Christophe, 2017. "Econophysics and Financial Economics: An Emerging Dialogue," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780190205034, Decembrie.
    2. Jovanovic, Franck & Mantegna, Rosario N. & Schinckus, Christophe, 2019. "When financial economics influences physics: The role of Econophysics," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    3. Geoffrey Poitras & John Heaney, 2015. "Classical Ergodicity and Modern Portfolio Theory," Post-Print hal-03680380, HAL.
    4. Restocchi, Valerio & McGroarty, Frank & Gerding, Enrico, 2019. "Statistical properties of volume and calendar effects in prediction markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1150-1160.
    5. Kononovicius, Aleksejus & Ruseckas, Julius, 2019. "Order book model with herd behavior exhibiting long-range memory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 171-191.
    6. Seemann, Lars & Hua, Jia-Chen & McCauley, Joseph L. & Gunaratne, Gemunu H., 2012. "Ensemble vs. time averages in financial time series analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(23), pages 6024-6032.
    7. Stein, Julian Alexander Cornelius & Braun, Dieter, 2019. "Stability of a time-homogeneous system of money and antimoney in an agent-based random economy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 520(C), pages 232-249.
    8. Hua, Jia-Chen & Chen, Lijian & Falcon, Liberty & McCauley, Joseph L. & Gunaratne, Gemunu H., 2015. "Variable diffusion in stock market fluctuations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 221-233.
    9. Moura, N.J. & Ribeiro, Marcelo B., 2013. "Testing the Goodwin growth-cycle macroeconomic dynamics in Brazil," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(9), pages 2088-2103.
    10. Schinckus, Christophe, 2018. "Ising model, econophysics and analogies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 95-103.
    11. Tu, Chengyi, 2014. "Cointegration-based financial networks study in Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 402(C), pages 245-254.
    12. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Julius Ruseckas, 2018. "Order book model with herd behavior exhibiting long-range memory," Papers 1809.02772, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2019.
    13. Kiran Sharma & Subhradeep Das & Anirban Chakraborti, 2017. "Global Income Inequality and Savings: A Data Science Perspective," Papers 1801.00253, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2018.
    14. A. O. Glekin & A. Lykov & K. L. Vaninsky, 2014. "On Simulation of Various Effects in Consolidated Order Book," Papers 1402.4150, arXiv.org.
    15. Hong Guo & Jianwu Lin & Fanlin Huang, 2023. "Market Making with Deep Reinforcement Learning from Limit Order Books," Papers 2305.15821, arXiv.org.
    16. Pierre Gosselin & Aïleen Lotz & Marc Wambst, 2019. "A Statistical Field Approach to Capital Accumulation," Working Papers hal-02280634, HAL.
    17. repec:hal:wpaper:hal-00777941 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. T. T. Chen & B. Zheng & Y. Li & X. F. Jiang, 2017. "New approaches in agent-based modeling of complex financial systems," Papers 1703.06840, arXiv.org.
    19. Ben Hambly & Renyuan Xu & Huining Yang, 2021. "Recent Advances in Reinforcement Learning in Finance," Papers 2112.04553, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    20. Christopher L. Gilbert & Duo Qin, 2005. "The First Fifty Years of Modern Econometrics," Working Papers 544, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    21. Julius Bonart & Martin D. Gould, 2017. "Latency and liquidity provision in a limit order book," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(10), pages 1601-1616, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:507:y:2018:i:c:p:89-98. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.