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Statistical characteristics of dynamics for population migration driven by the economic interests

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  • Huo, Jie
  • Wang, Xu-Ming
  • Zhao, Ning
  • Hao, Rui

Abstract

Population migration typically occurs under some constraints, which can deeply affect the structure of a society and some other related aspects. Therefore, it is critical to investigate the characteristics of population migration. Data from the China Statistical Yearbook indicate that the regional gross domestic product per capita relates to the population size via a linear or power-law relation. In addition, the distribution of population migration sizes or relative migration strength introduced here is dominated by a shifted power-law relation. To reveal the mechanism that creates the aforementioned distributions, a dynamic model is proposed based on the population migration rule that migration is facilitated by higher financial gains and abated by fewer employment opportunities at the destination, considering the migration cost as a function of the migration distance. The calculated results indicate that the distribution of the relative migration strength is governed by a shifted power-law relation, and that the distribution of migration distances is dominated by a truncated power-law relation. These results suggest the use of a power-law to fit a distribution may be not always suitable. Additionally, from the modeling framework, one can infer that it is the randomness and determinacy that jointly create the scaling characteristics of the distributions. The calculation also demonstrates that the network formed by active nodes, representing the immigration and emigration regions, usually evolves from an ordered state with a non-uniform structure to a disordered state with a uniform structure, which is evidenced by the increasing structural entropy.

Suggested Citation

  • Huo, Jie & Wang, Xu-Ming & Zhao, Ning & Hao, Rui, 2016. "Statistical characteristics of dynamics for population migration driven by the economic interests," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 451(C), pages 123-134.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:451:y:2016:i:c:p:123-134
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.01.054
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