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Irreversible investment with Cox-Ingersoll-Ross type mean reversion

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  • Ewald, Christian-Oliver
  • Wang, Wen-Kai

Abstract

We solve a Dixit and Pindyck type irreversible investment problem in continuous time under the assumption that the project value follows a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. This setup works well for modeling foreign direct investment in the framework of real options, when the exchange rate is uncertain and the project value fixed in a foreign currency. We indicate how the solution qualitatively differs from the two classical cases: geometric Brownian motion and geometric mean reversion. Furthermore, we discuss analytical properties of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process and demonstrate potential advantages of this process as a model for the project value with regard to the classical ones.

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  • Ewald, Christian-Oliver & Wang, Wen-Kai, 2010. "Irreversible investment with Cox-Ingersoll-Ross type mean reversion," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 59(3), pages 314-318, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:matsoc:v:59:y:2010:i:3:p:314-318
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Carmona, Julio & Leon, Angel, 2007. "Investment option under CIR interest rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 242-253, December.
    2. Christian-Oliver Ewald & Zhaojun Yang, 2008. "Utility based pricing and exercising of real options under geometric mean reversion and risk aversion toward idiosyncratic risk," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 68(1), pages 97-123, August.
    3. John C. Cox & Jonathan E. Ingersoll Jr. & Stephen A. Ross, 2005. "A Theory Of The Term Structure Of Interest Rates," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 5, pages 129-164, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    Cited by:

    1. Tim Leung & Xin Li & Zheng Wang, 2014. "Optimal Starting-Stopping and Switching of a CIR Process with Fixed Costs," Papers 1411.6080, arXiv.org.
    2. Tim Leung & Zheng Wang, 2016. "Optimal Risk-Averse Timing of an Asset Sale: Trending vs Mean-Reverting Price Dynamics," Papers 1610.08143, arXiv.org.
    3. Bouasker, O. & Letifi, N. & Prigent, J.-L., 2016. "Optimal funding and hiring/firing policies with mean reverting demand," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 569-579.
    4. Ting, Sai Hung Marten & Ewald, Christian-Oliver & Wang, Wen-Kai, 2013. "On the investment–uncertainty relationship in a real option model with stochastic volatility," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 22-32.
    5. Marcel Philipp Müller & Sebastian Stöckl & Steffen Zimmermann & Bernd Heinrich, 2016. "Decision Support for IT Investment Projects," Business & Information Systems Engineering: The International Journal of WIRTSCHAFTSINFORMATIK, Springer;Gesellschaft für Informatik e.V. (GI), vol. 58(6), pages 381-396, December.
    6. Tim Leung & Zheng Wang, 2019. "Optimal risk-averse timing of an asset sale: trending versus mean-reverting price dynamics," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 1-28, March.
    7. Glover, Kristoffer J. & Hambusch, Gerhard, 2016. "Leveraged investments and agency conflicts when cash flows are mean reverting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1-21.
    8. Junkee Jeon & Geonwoo Kim, 2020. "An Integral Equation Approach to the Irreversible Investment Problem with a Finite Horizon," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-10, November.

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