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Channels of monetary policy transmission in Vietnam

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  • Anwar, Sajid
  • Nguyen, Lan Phi

Abstract

Since the economic reforms launched in 1986, the Vietnamese economy has registered impressive economic growth. While foreign investment is providing much needed capital, through the conduct of monetary policy, the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), which is an integral part of the government of Vietnam, is also playing an important role in nurturing the economic growth. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the success of the SBV policies. Monetary policy actions affect all sectors of real economies with a significant lag. Without a good understanding of the transmission mechanism, monetary policy actions may not achieve the desired outcomes. Using quarterly data from 1995 to 2010, this paper focuses on monetary policy transmission mechanisms in Vietnam. Specifically, we consider the dynamic response of the Vietnamese economy to interest rate, exchange rate and foreign shocks. The estimated results based on structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) methodology suggest that monetary shocks tend to have a strong influence on Vietnam’s output. We find that Vietnam’s monetary policy is relatively more susceptible to foreign shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Anwar, Sajid & Nguyen, Lan Phi, 2018. "Channels of monetary policy transmission in Vietnam," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 709-729.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:40:y:2018:i:4:p:709-729
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2018.02.004
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    6. Pham, Thai-Binh & Sala, Hector, 2019. "The macroeconomic effects of oil price and risk-premium shocks on Vietnam: Evidence from an over-identifying SVAR analysis," MPRA Paper 96873, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jul 2019.
    7. Lan Nguyen, Thi Mai & Papyrakis, Elissaios & van Bergeijk, Peter A.G., 2021. "Publication bias in the price effects of monetary policy: A meta-regression analysis for emerging and developing economies," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 567-583.
    8. Yu Hsing & Minh Q. Huynh, 2019. "Effects of Depreciation and Appreciation of the Vietnamese Dong on Aggregate Output," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 9(2), pages 45-56, June.
    9. Franco, Chiara & Sanfilippo, Marco & Seric, Adnan, 2019. "Investors’ characteristics and the business climate as drivers of backward linkages in Vietnam," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(5), pages 882-904.
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    11. Dang, Van Dan & Dang, Van Cuong, 2020. "The conditioning role of performance on the bank risk-taking channel of monetary policy: Evidence from a multiple-tool regime," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    12. Petrovska Magdalena & Tonovska Jasna & Nikolov Miso & Sulejmani Artan, 2022. "Evaluating Monetary Policy Effectiveness in North Macedonia: Evidence from a Bayesian Favar Framework," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 17(2), pages 67-82, December.
    13. Can, Ufuk & Can, Zeynep Gizem & Bocuoglu, Mehmet Emin & Dogru, Muhammed Erkam, 2021. "The effectiveness of the post-Covid-19 recovery policies: Evidence from a simulated DSGE model for Turkey," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 694-708.
    14. Martin Feldkircher & Helene Schuberth, 2023. "Understanding Monetary Spillovers in Highly Integrated Regions: The Case of Europe," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(4), pages 859-893, August.
    15. Ezeibekwe Obinna Franklin, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Domestic Investment in Nigeria: The Role of the Inflation Rate," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 34(1), pages 139-155, February.
    16. Bac Cong Truong & Phan Quan Viet & Vu Thi Kim Hanh & Ho Thi Phuong Thao & Le Huong Duong & Nguyen Ho Viet Anh, 2020. "Highlights in Managing Monetary Policy of Vietnam in Post-Crisis Period," Journal of Asian Development, Macrothink Institute, vol. 6(1), pages 1-16, April.
    17. Ezeibekwe, Obinna Franklin, 2020. "Monetary Policy and Domestic Investment in Nigeria: The Role of the Inflation Rate," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 34(1), pages 139-155.
    18. Marouane Daoui, 2023. "Econometric assessment of the monetary policy shocks in Morocco: Evidence from a Bayesian Factor-Augmented VAR," Papers 2302.14114, arXiv.org.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Transmission mechanism; Impulse response; Emerging markets; Vietnam;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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