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Bayesian modeling of several covariance matrices and some results on propriety of the posterior for linear regression with correlated and/or heterogeneous errors

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  • Daniels, Michael J.

Abstract

We explore simultaneous modeling of several covariance matrices across groups using the spectral (eigenvalue) decomposition and modified Cholesky decomposition. We introduce several models for covariance matrices under different assumptions about the mean structure. We consider 'dependence' matrices, which tend to have many parameters, as constant across groups and/or parsimoniously modeled via a regression formulation. For 'variances', we consider both unrestricted across groups and more parsimoniously modeled via log-linear models. In all these models, we explore the propriety of the posterior when improper priors are used on the mean and 'variance' parameters (and in some cases, on components of the 'dependence' matrices). The models examined include several common Bayesian regression models, whose propriety has not been previously explored, as special cases. We propose a simple approach to weaken the assumption of constant dependence matrices in an automated fashion and describe how to compute Bayes factors to test the hypothesis of constant 'dependence' across groups. The models are applied to data from two longitudinal clinical studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniels, Michael J., 2006. "Bayesian modeling of several covariance matrices and some results on propriety of the posterior for linear regression with correlated and/or heterogeneous errors," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(5), pages 1185-1207, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:97:y:2006:i:5:p:1185-1207
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Michael J. Daniels & Robert E. Kass, 2001. "Shrinkage Estimators for Covariance Matrices," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 57(4), pages 1173-1184, December.
    2. Bollerslev, Tim, 1990. "Modelling the Coherence in Short-run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized ARCH Model," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(3), pages 498-505, August.
    3. Michael J. Daniels, 2002. "Bayesian analysis of covariance matrices and dynamic models for longitudinal data," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 89(3), pages 553-566, August.
    4. M. Pourahmadi & M. J. Daniels, 2002. "Dynamic Conditionally Linear Mixed Models for Longitudinal Data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 225-231, March.
    5. David J. Spiegelhalter & Nicola G. Best & Bradley P. Carlin & Angelika Van Der Linde, 2002. "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(4), pages 583-639, October.
    6. Robert J. Boik, 2002. "Spectral models for covariance matrices," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 89(1), pages 159-182, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zongliang Hu & Zhishui Hu & Kai Dong & Tiejun Tong & Yuedong Wang, 2021. "A shrinkage approach to joint estimation of multiple covariance matrices," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 84(3), pages 339-374, April.
    2. Wang, Y. & Daniels, M.J., 2013. "Bayesian modeling of the dependence in longitudinal data via partial autocorrelations and marginal variances," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 130-140.
    3. Paolo Giordani & Xiuyan Mun & Robert Kohn, 2012. "Efficient Estimation of Covariance Matrices using Posterior Mode Multiple Shrinkage," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(1), pages 154-192, December.

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