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Evaluating VPIN as a trigger for single-stock circuit breakers

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  • Abad, David
  • Massot, Magdalena
  • Pascual, Roberto

Abstract

We study if VPIN (Easley et al., 2012a) is an efficient advance indicator of toxicity-induced liquidity crises and related sharp price movements. We find that high VPIN readings rarely signal abnormal illiquidity, and very occasionally anticipate large intraday price changes leading to actual trading halts. We find significant differences in illiquidity and price impact between VPIN-identified toxic and non-toxic halts, but they tend to vanish when we control for ex ante realized volatility. We conclude that the capacity of VPIN to anticipate truly toxic events is limited.

Suggested Citation

  • Abad, David & Massot, Magdalena & Pascual, Roberto, 2018. "Evaluating VPIN as a trigger for single-stock circuit breakers," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 21-36.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:86:y:2018:i:c:p:21-36
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2017.08.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jangkoo Kang & Kyung Yoon Kwon & Wooyeon Kim, 2020. "Flow toxicity of high‐frequency trading and its impact on price volatility: Evidence from the KOSPI 200 futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 164-191, February.
    2. Prodromou, Tina & Westerholm, P. Joakim, 2022. "Are high frequency traders responsible for extreme price movements?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 94-111.
    3. Yildiz, Serhat & Van Ness, Bonnie & Van Ness, Robert, 2020. "VPIN, liquidity, and return volatility in the U.S. equity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    4. Ulze, Markus & Stadler, Johannes & Rathgeber, Andreas W., 2021. "No country for old distributions? On the comparison of implied option parameters between the Brownian motion and variance gamma process," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 163-184.
    5. Dinabandhu Bag, 2019. "Information Content Of Stocks In Call Auction Of Shorter Duration In Emerging Market," Copernican Journal of Finance & Accounting, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 8(4), pages 113-132.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    VPIN; BVC; Circuit breakers; Trading halts; Price limits; Order flow toxicity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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