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Pricing currency derivatives under the benchmark approach

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  • Baldeaux, Jan
  • Grasselli, Martino
  • Platen, Eckhard

Abstract

This paper considers the realistic modelling of derivative contracts on exchange rates. We propose a stochastic volatility model that recovers not only the typically observed implied volatility smiles and skews for short dated vanilla foreign exchange options but allows one also to price payoffs in foreign currencies, lower than possible under classical risk neutral pricing, in particular, for long dated derivatives. The main reason for this important feature is the strict supermartingale property of benchmarked savings accounts under the real world probability measure, which the calibrated parameters identify under the proposed model. Using a real dataset on vanilla option quotes, we calibrate our model on a triangle of currencies and find that the risk neutral approach fails for the calibrated model, while the benchmark approach still works.

Suggested Citation

  • Baldeaux, Jan & Grasselli, Martino & Platen, Eckhard, 2015. "Pricing currency derivatives under the benchmark approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 34-48.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:53:y:2015:i:c:p:34-48
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.11.018
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    Cited by:

    1. Alessandro Gnoatto, 2017. "Coherent Foreign Exchange Market Models," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(01), pages 1-29, February.
    2. Yuyang Cheng & Marcos Escobar-Anel & Zhenxian Gong, 2019. "Generalized Mean-Reverting 4/2 Factor Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-21, October.
    3. Dietmar P.J. Leisen & Eckhard Platen, 2017. "Investing for the Long Run," Research Paper Series 381, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    4. Alessandro Gnoatto & Martino Grasselli & Eckhard Platen, 2022. "Calibration to FX triangles of the 4/2 model under the benchmark approach," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 45(1), pages 1-34, June.
    5. Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto & Guillaume Szulda, 2021. "CBI-time-changed L\'evy processes for multi-currency modeling," Papers 2112.02440, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    6. Eckhard Platen & David Taylor, 2016. "Loading Pricing of Catastrophe Bonds and Other Long-Dated, Insurance-Type Contracts," Papers 1610.09875, arXiv.org.
    7. Alessandro Gnoatto & Martino Grasselli & Eckhard Platen, 2016. "A Penny Saved is a Penny Earned: Less Expensive Zero Coupon Bonds," Papers 1608.04683, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.
    8. Mathias Barkhagen & Jörgen Blomvall & Eckhard Platen, 2016. "Recovering the real-world density and liquidity premia from option data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(7), pages 1147-1164, July.
    9. Kevin Fergusson & Eckhard Platen, 2017. "Less-Expensive Valuation of Long Term Annuities Linked to Mortality, Cash and Equity," Papers 1711.02808, arXiv.org.
    10. Baldeaux, Jan & Ignatieva, Katja & Platen, Eckhard, 2018. "Detecting money market bubbles," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 369-379.
    11. Martino Grasselli, 2017. "The 4/2 Stochastic Volatility Model: A Unified Approach For The Heston And The 3/2 Model," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 1013-1034, October.
    12. Kevin John Fergusson, 2018. "Less-Expensive Pricing and Hedging of Extreme-Maturity Interest Rate Derivatives and Equity Index Options Under the Real-World Measure," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 3-2018.
    13. Антонова Любовь Александровна & Шиндина Татьяна Александровна, 2015. "Анализ Результатов Организации Валютного Контроля На Примере Челябинской Области," Bulletin of the South Ural State University. Series: Economics and management Вестник Южно-Уральского государственного университета. Серия: Экономика и менеджмент, CyberLeninka;Государственное образовательное учреждение высшего профессионального образования «Южно-Уральский государственный университет», vol. 9(1), pages 81-87.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Forex market; Smile and skew of vanilla options; 3/2 Stochastic volatility model; Strict local martingale; Model calibration; Benchmark approach;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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