IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jaitra/v17y2011i2p143-147.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Airline overbooking models with misspecification

Author

Listed:
  • Amaruchkul, Kannapha
  • Sae-Lim, Patipan

Abstract

This paper looks at static overbooking models. In theory, a random show demand follows a binomial distribution with each reservation showing up independently and with the same probability. However, in practice, some overbooking models assume that the show demand is the product of the overbooking level and the random show-up rate. The decision model embedded in a commercial revenue management system is misspecified. We explore the consequences of the modeling error and find that the performance of the model with misspecification decreases as show-up probability decreases. Among our three choices of show-up rate distributions, normal, beta and deterministic, the beta model performs best. We also identify situations in which an airline might prefer the deterministic model to the normal model.

Suggested Citation

  • Amaruchkul, Kannapha & Sae-Lim, Patipan, 2011. "Airline overbooking models with misspecification," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 143-147.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:17:y:2011:i:2:p:143-147
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2010.06.003
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0969699710000682
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2010.06.003?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barry C. Smith & John F. Leimkuhler & Ross M. Darrow, 1992. "Yield Management at American Airlines," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 22(1), pages 8-31, February.
    2. Luo, Sirong & Çakany?ld?r?m, Metin & Kasilingam, Raja G., 2009. "Two-dimensional cargo overbooking models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 197(3), pages 862-883, September.
    3. Andreea Popescu & Pinar Keskinocak & Ellis Johnson & Mariana LaDue & Raja Kasilingam, 2006. "Estimating Air-Cargo Overbooking Based on a Discrete Show-Up-Rate Distribution," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 36(3), pages 248-258, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Guo, Xiaolong & Dong, Yufeng & Ling, Liuyi, 2016. "Customer perspective on overbooking: The failure of customers to enjoy their reserved services, accidental or intended?," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 65-72.
    2. Fukui, Hideki & Nagata, Koki, 2020. "How do passengers react to airlines’ overbooking strategies? Evidence from the US airlines," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 242-255.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Masato Wada & Felipe Delgado & Bernardo K. Pagnoncelli, 2017. "A risk averse approach to the capacity allocation problem in the airline cargo industry," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(6), pages 643-651, June.
    2. Michael F. Gorman & John-Paul Clarke & Amir Hossein Gharehgozli & Michael Hewitt & René de Koster & Debjit Roy, 2014. "State of the Practice: A Review of the Application of OR/MS in Freight Transportation," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 44(6), pages 535-554, December.
    3. Yingjie Lan & Michael O. Ball & Itir Z. Karaesmen, 2011. "Regret in Overbooking and Fare-Class Allocation for Single Leg," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 13(2), pages 194-208, December.
    4. Luo, Sirong & Çakany?ld?r?m, Metin & Kasilingam, Raja G., 2009. "Two-dimensional cargo overbooking models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 197(3), pages 862-883, September.
    5. Dalalah, Doraid & Ojiako, Udechukwu & Chipulu, Maxwell, 2020. "Voluntary overbooking in commercial airline reservations," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    6. Tatsiana Levina & Yuri Levin & Jeff McGill & Mikhail Nediak, 2011. "Network Cargo Capacity Management," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 59(4), pages 1008-1023, August.
    7. Dominik Schreyer, 2019. "Football spectator no-show behaviour in the German Bundesliga," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(45), pages 4882-4901, September.
    8. Chatwin, Richard E., 2000. "Optimal dynamic pricing of perishable products with stochastic demand and a finite set of prices," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 125(1), pages 149-174, August.
    9. Ali Hortacsu & Olivia R. Natan & Hayden Parsley & Timothy Schwieg & Kevin R. Williams, 2021. "Organizational Structure and Pricing: Evidence from a Large U.S. Airline," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2312R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Mar 2022.
    10. Ma, Jie & Tse, Ying Kei & Wang, Xiaojun & Zhang, Minhao, 2019. "Examining customer perception and behaviour through social media research – An empirical study of the United Airlines overbooking crisis," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 192-205.
    11. Chen, Lijian, 2020. "Determine the cost of denying boarding to passengers: An optimization-based approach," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    12. Feng, Youyi & Xiao, Baichun, 2006. "A continuous-time seat control model for single-leg flights with no-shows and optimal overbooking upper bound," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 174(2), pages 1298-1316, October.
    13. Naragain Phumchusri & Phatsakorn Sangsukiam & Nannapat Chariyasethapong, 2020. "Optimal overbooking model for car rental business with two levels of prices having stochastic joint booking and show-up levels," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(3), pages 190-209, June.
    14. Benjamin Marcus & Chris K. Anderson, 2006. "Online Low-Price Guarantees---A Real Options Analysis," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 54(6), pages 1041-1050, December.
    15. Barut, M. & Sridharan, V, 2004. "Design and evaluation of a dynamic capacity apportionment procedure," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 155(1), pages 112-133, May.
    16. Wei Shi Lim, 2009. "Overselling in a Competitive Environment: Boon or Bane?," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 28(6), pages 1129-1143, 11-12.
    17. Alavi Fard, Farzad & Sy, Malick & Ivanov, Dmitry, 2019. "Optimal overbooking strategies in the airlines using dynamic programming approach in continuous time," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 384-399.
    18. Zhang, Michael & Bell, Peter C., 2007. "The effect of market segmentation with demand leakage between market segments on a firm's price and inventory decisions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 182(2), pages 738-754, October.
    19. Jeffrey I. McGill & Garrett J. van Ryzin, 1999. "Revenue Management: Research Overview and Prospects," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 33(2), pages 233-256, May.
    20. Bodily, S. E. & Weatherford, L. R., 1995. "Perishable-asset revenue management: Generic and multiple-price yield management with diversion," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 173-185, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:17:y:2011:i:2:p:143-147. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-air-transport-management/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.