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Precise large deviations of aggregate claims in a size-dependent renewal risk model

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  • Chen, Yiqing
  • Yuen, Kam C.

Abstract

Consider a renewal risk model in which claim sizes and inter-arrival times correspondingly form a sequence of independent and identically distributed random pairs, with each pair obeying a dependence structure described via the conditional distribution of the inter-arrival time given the subsequent claim size being large. We study large deviations of the aggregate amount of claims. For a heavy-tailed case, we obtain a precise large-deviation formula, which agrees with existing ones in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Yiqing & Yuen, Kam C., 2012. "Precise large deviations of aggregate claims in a size-dependent renewal risk model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 457-461.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:51:y:2012:i:2:p:457-461
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2012.06.010
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Søren Asmussen & Romain Biard, 2011. "Ruin probabilities for a regenerative Poisson gap generated risk process," Post-Print hal-00569254, HAL.
    2. Biard, Romain & Lefèvre, Claude & Loisel, Stéphane, 2008. "Impact of correlation crises in risk theory: Asymptotics of finite-time ruin probabilities for heavy-tailed claim amounts when some independence and stationarity assumptions are relaxed," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 412-421, December.
    3. Romain Biard & Claude Lefèvre & Stéphane Loisel & Haikady N. Nagaraja, 2011. "Asymptotic finite‐time ruin probabilities for a class of path‐dependent heavy‐tailed claim amounts using Poisson spacings," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 27(5), pages 503-518, September.
    4. Liu, Yan, 2007. "Precise large deviations for negatively associated random variables with consistently varying tails," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 181-189, January.
    5. Romain Biard & Claude Lefèvre & Stéphane Loisel, 2008. "Impact of correlation crises in risk theory," Post-Print hal-00308782, HAL.
    6. Tang, Qihe & Tsitsiashvili, Gurami, 2003. "Precise estimates for the ruin probability in finite horizon in a discrete-time model with heavy-tailed insurance and financial risks," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 108(2), pages 299-325, December.
    7. Lin, Jianxi, 2008. "The general principle for precise large deviations of heavy-tailed random sums," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(6), pages 749-758, April.
    8. Kaas, Rob & Tang, Qihe, 2005. "A large deviation result for aggregate claims with dependent claim occurrences," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 251-259, June.
    9. Baltrunas, Aleksandras & Leipus, Remigijus & Siaulys, Jonas, 2008. "Precise large deviation results for the total claim amount under subexponential claim sizes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(10), pages 1206-1214, August.
    10. Yiqing Chen & Kam C. Yuen & Kai W. Ng, 2011. "Precise Large Deviations of Random Sums in Presence of Negative Dependence and Consistent Variation," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 821-833, December.
    11. Liu, Li, 2009. "Precise large deviations for dependent random variables with heavy tails," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(9), pages 1290-1298, May.
    12. Cossette, Hélène & Marceau, Etienne & Marri, Fouad, 2008. "On the compound Poisson risk model with dependence based on a generalized Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern copula," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 444-455, December.
    13. Tang, Qihe & Su, Chun & Jiang, Tao & Zhang, Jinsong, 2001. "Large deviations for heavy-tailed random sums in compound renewal model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 91-100, March.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gao, Qingwu & Liu, Xijun, 2013. "Uniform asymptotics for the finite-time ruin probability with upper tail asymptotically independent claims and constant force of interest," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(6), pages 1527-1538.
    2. Shen, Xinmei & Xu, Menghao & Mills, Ebenezer Fiifi Emire Atta, 2016. "Precise large deviation results for sums of sub-exponential claims in a size-dependent renewal risk model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 6-13.
    3. Bernackaitė, Emilija & Šiaulys, Jonas, 2015. "The exponential moment tail of inhomogeneous renewal process," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 9-15.
    4. Li, Rong & Bi, Xiuchun & Zhang, Shuguang, 2020. "Large deviations for sums of claims in a general renewal risk model with the regression dependent structure," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    5. Gao, Qingwu & Lin, Jia’nan & Liu, Xijun, 2023. "Large deviations of aggregate amount of claims in compound risk model with arbitrary dependence between claim sizes and waiting times," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    6. Yang, Yang & Hashorva, Enkelejd, 2013. "Extremes and products of multivariate AC-product risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 312-319.
    7. Guo, Fenglong, 2022. "Ruin probability of a continuous-time model with dependence between insurance and financial risks caused by systematic factors," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 413(C).
    8. Yuan, Meng & Lu, Dawei, 2022. "Precise large deviation for sums of sub-exponential claims with the m-dependent semi-Markov type structure," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    9. Fu, Ke-Ang & Ng, Cheuk Yin Andrew, 2014. "Asymptotics for the ruin probability of a time-dependent renewal risk model with geometric Lévy process investment returns and dominatedly-varying-tailed claims," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 80-87.
    10. Fu, Ke-Ang & Liu, Yang & Wang, Jiangfeng, 2022. "Precise large deviations in a bidimensional risk model with arbitrary dependence between claim-size vectors and waiting times," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    11. Chen, Yiqing & White, Toby & Yuen, Kam Chuen, 2021. "Precise large deviations of aggregate claims with arbitrary dependence between claim sizes and waiting times," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 1-6.
    12. Li, Jinzhu, 2016. "Uniform asymptotics for a multi-dimensional time-dependent risk model with multivariate regularly varying claims and stochastic return," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 195-204.
    13. Sun, Ying & Wei, Li, 2014. "The finite-time ruin probability with heavy-tailed and dependent insurance and financial risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 178-183.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    IM10; IM11; Aggregate claims; Consistent variation; Dependence; Large deviations; Renewal counting process;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics

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