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A DCC-GARCH multi-population mortality model and its applications to pricing catastrophic mortality bonds

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  • Wang, Zihe
  • Li, Johnny Siu-Hang

Abstract

This paper considers the pricing problem of catastrophic mortality bonds, which have been traded among financial institutions since about 10 years ago. We first use a DCC-GARCH model to capture the evolution of the aggregate mortality rates for five developed countries jointly. We then utilize the estimated model to price an illustrative catastrophic mortality bond, which, similar to most of the existing catastrophic mortality bonds, is linked to the mortality of multiple populations. We also study the impact of various features of the DCC-GARCH model on the pricing results.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Zihe & Li, Johnny Siu-Hang, 2016. "A DCC-GARCH multi-population mortality model and its applications to pricing catastrophic mortality bonds," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 103-111.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:16:y:2016:i:c:p:103-111
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2015.10.004
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Actuarial science; Non-linear time-series; Mortality/longevity risk; Securitization; Risk-cubic pricing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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