Can security analyst forecasts predict gold returns?
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2015.03.012
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Womack, Kent L, 1996. "Do Brokerage Analysts' Recommendations Have Investment Value?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 137-167, March.
- Chan, Kalok & Hameed, Allaudeen, 2006. "Stock price synchronicity and analyst coverage in emerging markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 115-147, April.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Halbert White, 2006.
"Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(6), pages 1545-1578, November.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Halbert White, 2003. "Tests of conditional predictive ability," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 572, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Giacomini, Raffaella & White, Halbert, 2003. "Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt5jk0j5jh, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Halbert White, 2003. "Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability," Econometrics 0308001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002.
"Comparing Predictive Accuracy,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
- Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 1995. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(3), pages 253-263, July.
- Francis X. Diebold & Roberto S. Mariano, 1994. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," NBER Technical Working Papers 0169, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bhushan, Ravi, 1989. "Firm characteristics and analyst following," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 11(2-3), pages 255-274, July.
- Brown, Lawrence D. & Hagerman, Robert L. & Griffin, Paul A. & Zmijewski, Mark E., 1987. "Security analyst superiority relative to univariate time-series models in forecasting quarterly earnings," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 61-87, April.
- O'brien, Patricia C., 1988. "Analysts' forecasts as earnings expectations," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 53-83, January.
- Tully, Edel & Lucey, Brian M., 2007. "A power GARCH examination of the gold market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 316-325, June.
- Ulrich Fritsche & Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph R�lke & Georg Stadtmann, 2013. "On the directional accuracy of survey forecasts: the case of gold and silver," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(12), pages 1127-1129, August.
- Narasimhan Jegadeesh & Joonghyuk Kim & Susan D. Krische & Charles M. C. Lee, 2004. "Analyzing the Analysts: When Do Recommendations Add Value?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 59(3), pages 1083-1124, June.
- Shafiee, Shahriar & Topal, Erkan, 2010. "An overview of global gold market and gold price forecasting," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 178-189, September.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Raza, Naveed & Jawad Hussain Shahzad, Syed & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2016.
"Asymmetric impact of gold, oil prices and their volatilities on stock prices of emerging markets,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 290-301.
- Naveed Raza & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2016. "Asymmetric impact of gold, oil prices and their volatilities on stock prices of emerging markets," Post-Print hal-02013747, HAL.
- Lahiani, Amine & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Vasbieva, Dinara G., 2021. "The safe-haven property of precious metal commodities in the COVID-19 era," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Auer, Benjamin R., 2016. "On the performance of simple trading rules derived from the fractal dynamics of gold and silver price fluctuations," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 255-267.
- O'Connor, Fergal A. & Lucey, Brian M. & Batten, Jonathan A. & Baur, Dirk G., 2015.
"The financial economics of gold — A survey,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 186-205.
- O'Connor, Fergal & Lucey, Brian & Batten, Jonathan & Baur, Dirk, 2015. "The Financial Economics of Gold - a survey," MPRA Paper 65484, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Apergis, Nicholas & Eleftheriou, Sofia, 2016. "Gold returns: Do business cycle asymmetries matter? Evidence from an international country sample," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 164-170.
- Pattnaik, Debidutta & Hassan, M. Kabir & DSouza, Arun & Ashraf, Ali, 2023. "Investment in gold: A bibliometric review and agenda for future research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Baur, Dirk G. & Dichtl, Hubert & Drobetz, Wolfgang & Wendt, Viktoria-Sophie, 2020. "Investing in gold – Market timing or buy-and-hold?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Xidonas, Panos & Doukas, Haris & Hassapis, Christis, 2021. "Grouped data, investment committees & multicriteria portfolio selection," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 205-222.
- Shang, Yue & Wei, Yu & Chen, Yongfei, 2022. "Cryptocurrency policy uncertainty and gold return forecasting: A dynamic Occam's window approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Allaudeen Hameed & Randall Morck & Jianfeng Shen & Bernard Yeung, 2015.
"Information, Analysts, and Stock Return Comovement,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(11), pages 3153-3187.
- Allaudeen Hameed & Randall Morck & Jianfeng Shen & Bernard Yeung, 2010. "Information, analysts, and stock return comovement," NBER Working Papers 15833, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Xuelian Bai & Fangjun Wang & Junrui Zhang, 2016. "Analyst coverage and stock return synchronicity: evidence from regulation changes in China’s IPO market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(47), pages 4538-4557, October.
- Andrikopoulos, Athanasios & Zheng, Min, 2023. "A dynamic analysis of the neglected firm effect," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Kai Wai Hui & P. Eric Yeung, 2013. "Underreaction to Industry‐Wide Earnings and the Post‐Forecast Revision Drift," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(4), pages 701-737, September.
- Lee, Charles M.C. & So, Eric C., 2017.
"Uncovering expected returns: Information in analyst coverage proxies,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 331-348.
- Lee, Charles M. C. & So, Eric C., 2016. "Uncovering Expected Returns: Information in Analyst Coverage Proxies," Research Papers 3367, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
- Beuselinck, C.A.C. & Joos, P.P.M. & Khurana, I.K. & van der Meulen, S., 2010.
"Mandatory IFRS Reporting and Stock Price Informativeness,"
Discussion Paper
2010-82, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Beuselinck, C.A.C. & Joos, P.P.M. & Khurana, I.K. & van der Meulen, S., 2010. "Mandatory IFRS Reporting and Stock Price Informativeness," Other publications TiSEM ef72d273-639c-41d8-9c5c-5, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Fargher, Neil & Wee, Marvin, 2019. "The impact of Ball and Brown (1968) on generations of research," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 55-72.
- Oya Altınkılıç & Vadim S. Balashov & Robert S. Hansen, 2013. "Are Analysts' Forecasts Informative to the General Public?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(11), pages 2550-2565, November.
- Altınkılıç, Oya & Hansen, Robert S. & Ye, Liyu, 2016. "Can analysts pick stocks for the long-run?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 371-398.
- Marco Navone & Fernando Zapatero, 2014. "Why Do Financial Analysts Strive to Be Irrelevant? Career Concerns and Endogenous Coverage Termination," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1507, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Yezegel, Ari, 2015. "Why do analysts revise their stock recommendations after earnings announcements?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(2), pages 163-181.
- Lin, Mei-Chen, 2023. "Analyst coverage and the idiosyncratic skewness effect in the Taiwan stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Jincheol Bae & Wonchang Hur & Jaehong Lee & Jaimin Goh, 2017. "Patent Citations and Financial Analysts’ Long-Term Growth Forecasts," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-15, May.
- Hansen, Robert S., 2015. "What is the value of sell-side analysts? Evidence from coverage changes – A discussion," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(2), pages 58-64.
- Jiang, George J. & Lu, Liangliang & Zhu, Dongming, 2014. "The information content of analyst recommendation revisions — Evidence from the Chinese stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 1-17.
- Beyer, Anne & Cohen, Daniel A. & Lys, Thomas Z. & Walther, Beverly R., 2010. "The financial reporting environment: Review of the recent literature," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2-3), pages 296-343, December.
- Nicolau, Mihaela & Palomba, Giulio, 2015. "Dynamic relationships between spot and futures prices. The case of energy and gold commodities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 130-143.
- Corredor, Pilar & Ferrer, Elena & Santamaria, Rafael, 2019. "The role of sentiment and stock characteristics in the translation of analysts’ forecasts into recommendations," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 252-272.
- Moshirian, Fariborz & Ng, David & Wu, Eliza, 2009. "The value of stock analysts' recommendations: Evidence from emerging markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(1-2), pages 74-83, March.
- Cevheroğlu-Açar, Merve G. & Karahan, Cenk C. & Yılmaz, Neslihan, 2022. "Is there an analyst (un)coverage premium?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
More about this item
Keywords
Gold price; Forecasting; Stock return synchronicity; Analyst coverage;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
- G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:41:y:2015:i:c:p:237-246. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620166 .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.