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Investigating tail-risk dependence in the cryptocurrency markets: A LASSO quantile regression approach

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  • Nguyen, Linh Hoang
  • Chevapatrakul, Thanaset
  • Yao, Kai

Abstract

We construct the complete network of tail risk spillovers among major cryptocurrencies using the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) quantile regression. We capture important features of the network, including major risk-driving and major risk-receiving currencies, and the evolution of the tail dependence among the currencies over time. Importantly, we reveal a striking finding that the right tail dependence among the cryptocurrencies is significantly stronger than the left tail counterpart. This unique characteristic may have contributed to the rise in popularity of cryptocurrencies over the last few years. Our portfolio analysis reveals that diversification in cryptocurrency investment can be accomplished simply by employing the naïve equal-weighted scheme even when transaction costs are taken into account.

Suggested Citation

  • Nguyen, Linh Hoang & Chevapatrakul, Thanaset & Yao, Kai, 2020. "Investigating tail-risk dependence in the cryptocurrency markets: A LASSO quantile regression approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 333-355.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:empfin:v:58:y:2020:i:c:p:333-355
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2020.06.006
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tail risk; Spillovers; Cryptocurrency; Network;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C20 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - General
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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