IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v251y2016i3p888-903.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A technique to develop simplified and linearised models of complex dynamic supply chain systems

Author

Listed:
  • Spiegler, Virginia L.M.
  • Naim, Mohamed M.
  • Towill, Denis R.
  • Wikner, Joakim

Abstract

There is a need to identify and categorise different types of nonlinearities that commonly appear in supply chain dynamics models, as well as establishing suitable methods for linearising and analysing each type of nonlinearity. In this paper simplification methods to reduce model complexity and to assist in gaining system dynamics insights are suggested. Hence, an outcome is the development of more accurate simplified linear representations of complex nonlinear supply chain models.

Suggested Citation

  • Spiegler, Virginia L.M. & Naim, Mohamed M. & Towill, Denis R. & Wikner, Joakim, 2016. "A technique to develop simplified and linearised models of complex dynamic supply chain systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 251(3), pages 888-903.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:251:y:2016:i:3:p:888-903
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2015.12.004
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221715011121
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2015.12.004?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ivanov, Dmitry & Sokolov, Boris, 2013. "Control and system-theoretic identification of the supply chain dynamics domain for planning, analysis and adaptation of performance under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 224(2), pages 313-323.
    2. Ouyang, Yanfeng & Daganzo, Carlos, 2008. "Robust tests for the bullwhip effect in supply chains with stochastic dynamics," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 185(1), pages 340-353, February.
    3. Saleh, Mohamed & Oliva, Rogelio & Kampmann, Christian Erik & Davidsen, Pål I., 2010. "A comprehensive analytical approach for policy analysis of system dynamics models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 203(3), pages 673-683, June.
    4. Chatfield, Dean C. & Pritchard, Alan M., 2013. "Returns and the bullwhip effect," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 159-175.
    5. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M. & Wang, Jing, 2014. "Exploring the oscillatory dynamics of a forbidden returns inventory system," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(PA), pages 3-12.
    6. John D. Sterman, 1989. "Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 35(3), pages 321-339, March.
    7. Zhang, Xiaolong & Burke, Gerard J., 2011. "Analysis of compound bullwhip effect causes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 210(3), pages 514-526, May.
    8. Zhou, Li & Disney, Stephen & Towill, Denis R., 2010. "A pragmatic approach to the design of bullwhip controllers," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 556-568, December.
    9. Dejonckheere, J. & Disney, S. M. & Lambrecht, M. R. & Towill, D. R., 2003. "Measuring and avoiding the bullwhip effect: A control theoretic approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 147(3), pages 567-590, June.
    10. Gaalman, Gerard & Disney, Stephen M., 2009. "On bullwhip in a family of order-up-to policies with ARMA(2,2) demand and arbitrary lead-times," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 454-463, October.
    11. Poles, Roberto, 2013. "System Dynamics modelling of a production and inventory system for remanufacturing to evaluate system improvement strategies," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(1), pages 189-199.
    12. A A Syntetos & N C Georgantzas & J E Boylan & B C Dangerfield, 2011. "Judgement and supply chain dynamics," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 62(6), pages 1138-1158, June.
    13. Cannella, Salvatore & Framinan, Jose M. & Bruccoleri, Manfredi & Barbosa-Póvoa, Ana Paula & Relvas, Susana, 2015. "The effect of Inventory Record Inaccuracy in Information Exchange Supply Chains," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(1), pages 120-129.
    14. Larsen, Erik R. & Morecroft, John D. W. & Thomsen, Jesper S., 1999. "Complex behaviour in a production-distribution model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 61-74, November.
    15. Disney, S.M. & Towill, D.R., 2005. "Eliminating drift in inventory and order based production control systems," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 331-344, January.
    16. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M. & Wang, Jing, 2012. "Stability analysis of constrained inventory systems with transportation delay," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 223(1), pages 86-95.
    17. Akkermans, H.A. & Voss, C., 2013. "The service bullwhip effect," Other publications TiSEM 94cf4db3-1de0-4b53-897b-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    18. Disney, S.M. & Farasyn, I. & Lambrecht, M. & Towill, D.R. & de Velde, W. Van, 2006. "Taming the bullwhip effect whilst watching customer service in a single supply chain echelon," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 173(1), pages 151-172, August.
    19. Sterman, John D., 1989. "Misperceptions of feedback in dynamic decision making," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 301-335, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Badakhshan, Ehsan & Ball, Peter, 2023. "A simulation-optimization approach for integrating physical and financial flows in a supply chain under economic uncertainty," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 10(C).
    2. Roberto Dominguez & Salvatore Cannella & Borja Ponte & Jose M. Framinan, 2022. "Information sharing in decentralised supply chains with partial collaboration," Flexible Services and Manufacturing Journal, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 263-292, June.
    3. Lin, Junyi & Huang, Hongfu & Li, Shanshan & Naim, Mohamed M., 2023. "On the dynamics of order pipeline inventory in a nonlinear order-up-to system," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    4. Dmitry Ivanov & Maxim Rozhkov, 2020. "Coordination of production and ordering policies under capacity disruption and product write-off risk: an analytical study with real-data based simulations of a fast moving consumer goods company," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 291(1), pages 387-407, August.
    5. Spiegler, Virginia L.M. & Naim, Mohamed M., 2017. "Investigating sustained oscillations in nonlinear production and inventory control models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 261(2), pages 572-583.
    6. Ponte, Borja & Naim, Mohamed M. & Syntetos, Aris A., 2019. "The value of regulating returns for enhancing the dynamic behaviour of hybrid manufacturing-remanufacturing systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 278(2), pages 629-645.
    7. Lin, Junyi & Naim, Mohamed M. & Spiegler, Virginia L.M., 2020. "Delivery time dynamics in an assemble-to-order inventory and order based production control system," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    8. Lin, Junyi & Zhou, Li & Spiegler, Virginia L.M. & Naim, Mohamed M. & Syntetos, Aris, 2022. "Push or Pull? The impact of ordering policy choice on the dynamics of a hybrid closed-loop supply chain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 300(1), pages 282-295.
    9. Sagawa, Juliana Keiko & Mušič, Gašper, 2019. "Towards the use of bond graphs for manufacturing control: Design of controllers," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 53-72.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. V.L.M. Spiegler & A.T. Potter & M.M. Naim & D.R. Towill, 2016. "The value of nonlinear control theory in investigating the underlying dynamics and resilience of a grocery supply chain," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(1), pages 265-286, January.
    2. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M., 2016. "The bullwhip effect: Progress, trends and directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(3), pages 691-701.
    3. Lin, Junyi & Huang, Hongfu & Li, Shanshan & Naim, Mohamed M., 2023. "On the dynamics of order pipeline inventory in a nonlinear order-up-to system," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    4. K. Devika & A. Jafarian & A. Hassanzadeh & R. Khodaverdi, 2016. "Optimizing of bullwhip effect and net stock amplification in three-echelon supply chains using evolutionary multi-objective metaheuristics," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 242(2), pages 457-487, July.
    5. Ponte, Borja & Puche, Julio & Rosillo, Rafael & de la Fuente, David, 2020. "The effects of quantity discounts on supply chain performance: Looking through the Bullwhip lens," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    6. H. Norouzi Nav & M. R. Jahed Motlagh & A. Makui, 2017. "Robust controlling of chaotic behavior in supply chain networks," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(6), pages 711-724, June.
    7. Spiegler, Virginia L.M. & Naim, Mohamed M., 2017. "Investigating sustained oscillations in nonlinear production and inventory control models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 261(2), pages 572-583.
    8. Ahmed Shaban & Mohamed A. Shalaby & Giulio Di Gravio & Riccardo Patriarca, 2020. "Analysis of Variance Amplification and Service Level in a Supply Chain with Correlated Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-27, August.
    9. Ponte, Borja & Costas, José & Puche, Julio & Pino, Raúl & de la Fuente, David, 2018. "The value of lead time reduction and stabilization: A comparison between traditional and collaborative supply chains," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 165-185.
    10. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M. & Ponte, Borja, 2023. "On the stationary stochastic response of an order-constrained inventory system," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(2), pages 543-557.
    11. Lin, J. & Naim, M.M. & Purvis, L. & Gosling, J., 2017. "The extension and exploitation of the inventory and order based production control system archetype from 1982 to 2015," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 135-152.
    12. A. V. Thomas & Biswajit Mahanty, 2021. "Dynamic assessment of control system designs of information shared supply chain network experiencing supplier disruption," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 425-451, March.
    13. Zhu, Tianyuan & Balakrishnan, Jaydeep & da Silveira, Giovani J.C., 2020. "Bullwhip effect in the oil and gas supply chain: A multiple-case study," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    14. Ouyang, Yanfeng & Li, Xiaopeng, 2010. "The bullwhip effect in supply chain networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 799-810, March.
    15. Huang, Shupeng & Potter, Andrew & Eyers, Daniel & Li, Qinyun, 2021. "The influence of online review adoption on the profitability of capacitated supply chains," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    16. Enrique Holgado de Frutos & Juan R Trapero & Francisco Ramos, 2020. "A literature review on operational decisions applied to collaborative supply chains," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-28, March.
    17. Ciancimino, Elena & Cannella, Salvatore & Bruccoleri, Manfredi & Framinan, Jose M., 2012. "On the Bullwhip Avoidance Phase: The Synchronised Supply Chain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 49-63.
    18. Cannella, Salvatore & Framinan, Jose M. & Bruccoleri, Manfredi & Barbosa-Póvoa, Ana Paula & Relvas, Susana, 2015. "The effect of Inventory Record Inaccuracy in Information Exchange Supply Chains," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(1), pages 120-129.
    19. Cannella, Salvatore & Dominguez, Roberto & Ponte, Borja & Framinan, Jose M., 2018. "Capacity restrictions and supply chain performance: Modelling and analysing load-dependent lead times," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 264-277.
    20. Pastore, Erica & Alfieri, Arianna & Zotteri, Giulio, 2019. "An empirical investigation on the antecedents of the bullwhip effect: Evidence from the spare parts industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 121-133.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:251:y:2016:i:3:p:888-903. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.