IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v201y2010i2p337-348.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stock interest rate risk and inflation shocks

Author

Listed:
  • Jareño, Francisco
  • Navarro, Eliseo

Abstract

In this paper we proceed to estimate a measure of the flow-through capability of the firms listed on the Spanish Stock Exchange. The flow-through capability is defined as the ability of firms to transmit inflation shocks to the prices of the products and services sold by the company. According to a strand of the literature, this flow-through capability can to some extent explain the so called "stock duration paradox", which is the difference between the theoretical stock duration derived from the DDM model and its empirical estimates. The line of reasoning suggests that if a company can pass on inflation shocks to the prices of its own outputs and then to profits and dividends, nominal interest rate changes due to variations in the expected inflation will have a limited impact on stock prices. So in this paper we first estimate the flow-through capability for different industries and find great differences among them. Then we analyse the link between flow-through capability and stock duration and find a significant negative relationship between them, as claimed by part of the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Jareño, Francisco & Navarro, Eliseo, 2010. "Stock interest rate risk and inflation shocks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 337-348, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:201:y:2010:i:2:p:337-348
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377-2217(09)00186-6
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter Oertmann* & Christel Rendu & Heinz Zimmermann, 2000. "Interest Rate Risk of European Financial Corporations," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 6(4), pages 459-478, December.
    2. H. A. Benink & C. C. P. Wolff, 2000. "Survey Data and the Interest Rate Sensitivity of US Bank Stock Returns," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 29(2), pages 201-213, July.
    3. Dumitru, Ionut & Jianu, Ionela, 2009. "The Balassa-Samuelson effect in Romania - The role of regulated prices," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 194(3), pages 873-887, May.
    4. Foort Hamelink & Bryan MacGregor & Nanda Nanthakumaran & Allison Orr, 2002. "A comparison of UK equity and property duration," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 61-80.
    5. Froot, Kenneth A, 1989. " New Hope for the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 44(2), pages 283-305, June.
    6. Stone, Bernell K., 1974. "Systematic Interest-Rate Risk in a Two-Index Model of Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(5), pages 709-721, November.
    7. Sharma, Sanjay, 2008. "On the flexibility of demand and production rate," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 190(2), pages 557-561, October.
    8. Lynge, Morgan J. & Zumwalt, J. Kenton, 1980. "An Empirical Study of the Interest Rate Sensitivity of Commercial Bank Returns: A Multi-Index Approach," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 731-742, September.
    9. Flannery, Mark J & James, Christopher M, 1984. "The Effect of Interest Rate Changes on the Common Stock Returns of Financial Institutions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(4), pages 1141-1153, September.
    10. Roll, Richard & Ross, Stephen A, 1980. "An Empirical Investigation of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(5), pages 1073-1103, December.
    11. Sweeney, Mary Elizabeth, 1998. "Interest rate hedging and equity duration: Australian evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 277-298.
    12. Hevert, Kathleen T. & McLaughlin, Robyn M. & Taggart, Robert A., 1998. "Interest Rates, Inflation and the Value of Growth Options," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(3, Part 2), pages 599-613.
    13. Francisco Jareno, 2008. "Spanish stock market sensitivity to real interest and inflation rates: an extension of the Stone two-factor model with factors of the Fama and French three-factor model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(24), pages 3159-3171.
    14. Miller, Naomi & Ruszczynski, Andrzej, 2008. "Risk-adjusted probability measures in portfolio optimization with coherent measures of risk," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 193-206, November.
    15. Myron J. Gordon & Eli Shapiro, 1956. "Capital Equipment Analysis: The Required Rate of Profit," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 3(1), pages 102-110, October.
    16. Sweeney, Richard J & Warga, Arthur D, 1986. "The Pricing of Interest-Rate Risk: Evidence from the Stock Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(2), pages 393-410, June.
    17. Bordoloi, Sanjeev K. & Matsuo, Hirofumi, 2001. "Human resource planning in knowledge-intensive operations: A model for learning with stochastic turnover," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 130(1), pages 169-189, April.
    18. Diaz, Antonio & Merrick, John Jr. & Navarro, Eliseo, 2006. "Spanish Treasury bond market liquidity and volatility pre- and post-European Monetary Union," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1309-1332, April.
    19. Mishkin, Frederic S, 1982. "Monetary Policy and Short-Term Interest Rates: An Efficient Markets-Rational Expectations Approach," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 37(1), pages 63-72, March.
    20. Söhnke Bartram, 2002. "The Interest Rate Exposure of Nonfinancial Corporations," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 6(1), pages 101-125.
    21. Donald R. Fraser & Jeff Madura & Robert A. Weigand, 2002. "Sources of Bank Interest Rate Risk," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 37(3), pages 351-367, August.
    22. Edward J. Kane & Haluk Unal, 1988. "Change in Market Assessments of Deposit-Institution Riskiness," NBER Working Papers 2530, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Hsieh, Tsu-Pang & Dye, Chung-Yuan & Ouyang, Liang-Yuh, 2008. "Determining optimal lot size for a two-warehouse system with deterioration and shortages using net present value," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 182-192, November.
    24. Francisco Jareño, 2005. "Flow-through capability: The Spanish case," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 6(3), pages 191-205, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Francisco JAREÑO & Marta TOLENTINO & María de la O GONZÁLEZ, 2018. "The Us Stock Market At Sector Level: Inflation News, 1990-2013," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 18(1), pages 73-86.
    2. Natalia Campos & Francisco Jareño & Marta Tolentino, 2016. "Interest Rate Risk Analysis with Multifactor Model: The US case," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 14-22, March.
    3. M. Caridad SEVILLANO & Francisco JAREÑO, 2017. "The Impact of Relevant International Factors on the Returns of IBEX 35 Companies, 2000-2016," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 17(1), pages 37-56.
    4. Peiró, Amado, 2016. "Stock prices and macroeconomic factors: Some European evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 287-294.
    5. María de la O & Francisco JAREÑO, Francisco & SKINNER, Frank S., 2017. "The Financial Crisis Impact: An Industry Level Analysis Of The Us Stock Market González," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 17(2), pages 61-74.
    6. González, María de la O & Jareño, Francisco, 2019. "Testing extensions of Fama & French models: A quantile regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 188-204.
    7. Antonio Díaz & Francisco Jareño, 2013. "Inflation news and stock returns: market direction and flow-through ability," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 775-798, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Francisco Jareno, 2008. "Spanish stock market sensitivity to real interest and inflation rates: an extension of the Stone two-factor model with factors of the Fama and French three-factor model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(24), pages 3159-3171.
    2. Laura Ferrando & Román Ferrer & Francisco Jareño, 2017. "Interest Rate Sensitivity of Spanish Industries: A Quantile Regression Approach," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 85(2), pages 212-242, March.
    3. Zaghum Umar & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Román Ferrer & Francisco Jareño, 2018. "Does Shariah compliance make interest rate sensitivity of Islamic equities lower? An industry level analysis under different market states," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(42), pages 4500-4521, September.
    4. Pariyada Sukcharoensin, 2013. "Time-Varying Market, Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Risks of Thai Commercial Banks," Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance (AAMJAF), Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, vol. 9(1), pages 25-45.
    5. María de la O & Francisco JAREÑO, Francisco & SKINNER, Frank S., 2017. "The Financial Crisis Impact: An Industry Level Analysis Of The Us Stock Market González," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 17(2), pages 61-74.
    6. Gloria M. Soto Pacheco & Cristóbal González & Laura Ballester & Román Ferrer, 2009. "Determinants of interest rate exposure of Spanish banking industry," Working Papers. Serie EC 2009-07, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
    7. Elyasiani, Elyas & Mansur, Iqbal, 1998. "Sensitivity of the bank stock returns distribution to changes in the level and volatility of interest rate: A GARCH-M model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 535-563, May.
    8. Adjaoud, Fodil & Rahman, Abdul, 1996. "A note on the temporal variability of Canadian financial services stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 165-177, January.
    9. Söhnke Bartram, 2002. "The Interest Rate Exposure of Nonfinancial Corporations," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 6(1), pages 101-125.
    10. Papadamou, Stephanos & Tzivinikos, Trifon, 2013. "The risk relevance of International Financial Reporting Standards: Evidence from Greek banks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 43-54.
    11. Korkeamäki, Timo, 2011. "Interest rate sensitivity of the European stock markets before and after the euro introduction," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 811-831.
    12. González, María de la O & Jareño, Francisco, 2019. "Testing extensions of Fama & French models: A quantile regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 188-204.
    13. Brian Du, 2020. "Securitized banking and interest rate sensitivity," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 851-876, April.
    14. Marc†Gregor Czaja & Hendrik Scholz & Marco Wilkens, 2010. "Interest Rate Risk Rewards in Stock Returns of Financial Corporations: Evidence from Germany," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 16(1), pages 124-154, January.
    15. Susan Ryan & Andrew C. Worthington, 2002. "Time-Varying Market, Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Risk in Australian Bank Portfolio Stock Returns: A Garch-M Approach," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 112, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.
    16. Xiangnan Meng & Xin Deng, 2013. "Interest Rate and Foreign Exchange Sensitivity of Bank Stock Returns: Evidence from China," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 17(1-2), pages 77-106, March - J.
    17. Délèze, Frédéric & Korkeamäki, Timo, 2018. "Interest rate risk management with debt issues: Evidence from Europe," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 1-11.
    18. PRITI Verma, 2016. "The Impact Of Exchange Rates And Interest Rates On Bank Stock Returns: Evidence From U.S. Banks," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 11(1), pages 124-139, April.
    19. Kiran Batool, 2021. "Impact of Interest Rates on Stock Index: Case of Pakistan Stock Exchange," International Journal of Business and Economic Affairs (IJBEA), Sana N. Maswadeh, vol. 6(1), pages 1-12.
    20. Schüler, Martin & Schröder, Michael, 2003. "Systemic Risk in European Banking: Evidence from Bivariate GARCH Models," ZEW Discussion Papers 03-11, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:201:y:2010:i:2:p:337-348. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.