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The effect of climate change on optimal wetlands and waterfowl management in Western Canada

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  • Withey, Patrick
  • van Kooten, G. Cornelis

Abstract

Warmer temperatures and a decrease in precipitation in the 21st century could severely deplete wetlands in the prairie pothole region of western Canada. In this study, we employ linear regression analysis to determine the casual effect of climate change on wetlands in this region, with temperature, precipitation and the standardized precipitation index (SPI) used to predict the effect of potential climate change on wetlands. We then use a waterfowl-wetlands bioeconomic model to solve for socially optimal levels of duck harvests and wetlands retention under current climate conditions and various climate change scenarios. The model maximizes benefits to hunters plus the amenity values of ducks to non hunters and the non-market ecosystem benefits of wetlands. Results indicate that climate change could decrease wetlands by between 7 and 47%, and that the optimal number of wetlands to retain could decrease by as much as 38% from the baseline climate.

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  • Withey, Patrick & van Kooten, G. Cornelis, 2011. "The effect of climate change on optimal wetlands and waterfowl management in Western Canada," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(4), pages 798-805, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:70:y:2011:i:4:p:798-805
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    3. Juan Carlos Carrasco Baquero & Verónica Lucía Caballero Serrano & Fernando Romero Cañizares & Daisy Carolina Carrasco López & David Alejandro León Gualán & Rufino Vieira Lanero & Fernando Cobo-Gradín, 2023. "Water Quality Determination Using Soil and Vegetation Communities in the Wetlands of the Andes of Ecuador," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-18, August.
    4. Wong, Linda & van Kooten, G. Cornelis & Clarke, Judith A., 2012. "The Impact of Agriculture on Waterfowl Abundance: Evidence from Panel Data," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-14, August.
    5. Wang, Tong & Luri, Moses & Janssen, Larry & Hennessy, David A. & Feng, Hongli & Wimberly, Michael C. & Arora, Gaurav, 2017. "Determinants of Motives for Land Use Decisions at the Margins of the Corn Belt," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 227-237.
    6. Antoine Adde & Diana Stralberg & Travis Logan & Christine Lepage & Steven Cumming & Marcel Darveau, 2020. "Projected effects of climate change on the distribution and abundance of breeding waterfowl in Eastern Canada," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(4), pages 2339-2358, October.
    7. Yang Cao & Siyu Wang & Guohang Tian & Nalin Dong & Yakai Lei, 2023. "Coupling Biodiversity and Human Pressures to Indicate Conservation Priorities for Threatened Waterfowl Species: A Case in the Henan Yellow River Wetland National Nature Reserve," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-20, June.
    8. Gallant, Kirsten & Withey, Patrick & Risk, Dave & van Kooten, G. Cornelis & Spafford, Lynsay, 2020. "Measurement and economic valuation of carbon sequestration in Nova Scotian wetlands," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    9. Wang, Tong & Luri, Moses & Janssen, Larry & Hennessy, David & Feng, Hongli & Wimberly, Michael & Arora, Gaurav, 2016. "Farmers’ Rankings of the Determinants of Land Use Decisions at the Margins of the Corn Belt," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235109, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Yanlin Tian & Zongming Wang & Dehua Mao & Lin Li & Mingyue Liu & Mingming Jia & Weidong Man & Chunyan Lu, 2019. "Remote Observation in Habitat Suitability Changes for Waterbirds in the West Songnen Plain, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-21, March.
    11. Xu, Xibao & Jiang, Bo & Tan, Yan & Costanza, Robert & Yang, Guishan, 2018. "Lake-wetland ecosystem services modeling and valuation: Progress, gaps and future directions," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 33(PA), pages 19-28.
    12. Min Wang & Qing Gu & Guihua Liu & Jingwei Shen & Xuguang Tang, 2019. "Hydrological Condition Constrains Vegetation Dynamics for Wintering Waterfowl in China’s East Dongting Lake Wetland," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-16, September.

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