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Interdependence between the bond markets of CEEC-3 and Germany: A wavelet coherence analysis

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  • Yang, Lu
  • Hamori, Shigeyuki

Abstract

In this study, we investigate the interdependence between the bond markets of CEEC-3 (Poland, the Czech Republic, and Hungary) and Germany by using wavelet transform analysis. First, we find that contagion occurred in these markets during the global financial crisis and European debt crisis, at different degrees and in different directions. Second, we show that the degree of bond market integration was relatively high before 2004 for Poland and Hungary and very high for the Czech Republic throughout the sample period. Finally, we find that the interest rate movements in Poland and the Czech Republic mirrored those in Germany for the entire sample period. Implications for investors and policymakers are also suggested.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Lu & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2015. "Interdependence between the bond markets of CEEC-3 and Germany: A wavelet coherence analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 124-138.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:32:y:2015:i:c:p:124-138
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2015.02.003
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    5. Lu Yang & Jason Z. Ma & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2018. "Dependence Structures and Systemic Risk of Government Securities Markets in Central and Eastern Europe: A CoVaR-Copula Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-23, January.
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    8. Stoupos, Nikolaos & Kiohos, Apostolos, 2022. "Bond markets integration in the EU: New empirical evidence from the Eastern non-euro member-states," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
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    10. Karkowska, Renata & Urjasz, Szczepan, 2021. "Connectedness structures of sovereign bond markets in Central and Eastern Europe," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
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    12. Shabeer Khan & Niaz Ahmed Bhutto & Uzair Abdullah Khan & Mohd Ziaur Rehman & Wadi B. Alonazi & Abdullah Ludeen, 2022. "Ṣukūk or Bond, Which Is More Sustainable during COVID-19? Global Evidence from the Wavelet Coherence Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-20, August.
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    16. Funashima Yoshito, 2021. "Time–Frequency Regression," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 21-32, January.
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