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T+1 trading mechanism causes negative overnight return

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  • Zhang, Bing

Abstract

The T+1 trading mechanism is unique in the Chinese stock market, thus providing a natural experimental field to study the trading mechanism and price behaviors. This paper proposes and proves that T+1 trading mechanism causes negative overnight return, the overnight return can serve as a proxy of the T+1 trading mechanism. The paper finds that the overnight return of the Chinese stock market is significantly negative, whereas those under the T+0 trading mechanism, such as China’s stock index futures, Hong Kong stocks, and major international indices, all have around 0 or positive overnight returns. T+1 trading mechanism has greater impacts on stocks with more divergent investor opinions, higher risk, more individual investor percentages, higher arbitrage restrictions, and less liquidity. The T+1 trading mechanism distorts the price generation mechanism of stocks. The paper contributes to the understanding of impact of trading mechanism on stock prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Bing, 2020. "T+1 trading mechanism causes negative overnight return," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 55-71.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:89:y:2020:i:c:p:55-71
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2019.10.013
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lou, Dong & Polk, Christopher & Skouras, Spyros, 2019. "A tug of war: overnight versus intraday expected returns," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87481, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Lou, Dong & Polk, Christopher & Skouras, Spyros, 2019. "A tug of war: Overnight versus intraday expected returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 192-213.
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    5. Riedel, Christoph & Wagner, Niklas, 2015. "Is risk higher during non-trading periods? The risk trade-off for intraday versus overnight market returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 53-64.
    6. Gu, Ming & Kang, Wenjin & Xu, Bu, 2018. "Limits of arbitrage and idiosyncratic volatility: Evidence from China stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 240-258.
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    Cited by:

    1. Liao, Cunfei & Luo, Qianlin & Tang, Guohao, 2021. "Aggregate liquidity premium and cross-sectional returns: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    2. Lin, Chaonan & Chang, Hui-Wen & Chou, Robin K., 2023. "Overnight versus intraday returns of anomalies in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    3. Chen, Zhiyu & Xu, Yun & Wang, Yu, 2023. "Can convertible bond trading predict stock returns? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Su, Zhi & Lyu, Tongtong & Yin, Libo, 2022. "Are conditional illiquidity risks priced in China? A cross-sectional test," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    5. Xiong, Xiong & Meng, Yongqiang & Joseph, Nathan Lael & Shen, Dehua, 2020. "Stock mispricing, hard-to-value stocks and the influence of internet stock message boards," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).

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