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ETFs’ high overnight returns: The early liquidity provider gets the worm

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  • Lachance, Marie-Eve

Abstract

I examine the extent to which exchange-traded funds’ (ETFs) unusually high overnight returns are distorted by market microstructure effects; specifically, positive order imbalances and overnight increases in bid-ask spreads. Introducing a model that isolates these effects, I show that they artificially increase ETFs’ overnight returns by an average of over 6% annually. I find that the ETF market is prone to these distortions because its rapid growth is accompanied by order imbalances exceeding 10%. I provide detailed intraday statistics on order imbalances and spreads, and an example of an overnight investment strategy selecting ETFs susceptible to overnight biases.

Suggested Citation

  • Lachance, Marie-Eve, 2021. "ETFs’ high overnight returns: The early liquidity provider gets the worm," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finmar:v:52:y:2021:i:c:s138641812030032x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2020.100563
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    Cited by:

    1. Kallinterakis, Vasileios & Karaa, Rabaa, 2023. "From dusk till dawn (and vice versa): Overnight-versus-daytime reversals and feedback trading," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    2. Yun‐Huan Lee & Tzu‐Hsiang Liao & Hsiu‐Chuan Lee, 2022. "Overnight returns of industry exchange‐traded funds, investor sentiment, and futures market returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 1114-1134, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange-traded funds; Overnight returns; Order imbalances; Bid-ask spreads;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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