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Understanding churn: Predictors of reentry among families who leave the child care subsidy program in Maryland

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  • Davis, Elizabeth E.
  • Krafft, Caroline
  • Forry, Nicole D.

Abstract

Child care subsidies provide an important work support for low-income families, yet children often receive subsidies for only a short period of time and may cycle on and off the program. Much of the research to date on patterns of subsidy participation has focused on the duration of participation, and less attention has been paid to the dynamics of how often and how quickly children return to the program. This paper uses administrative data from Maryland to analyze the patterns of returns to the subsidy program after a break in subsidized care. We find that half of children who exited the program return to subsidy within five years, and most of those return within a few months. Returns to subsidized care are related to family circumstances, type of care, child age, and program policies related to eligibility redetermination. These factors have differential effects on the probability of returning to the same provider or a different provider, which may have important implications for the stability of children's care.

Suggested Citation

  • Davis, Elizabeth E. & Krafft, Caroline & Forry, Nicole D., 2017. "Understanding churn: Predictors of reentry among families who leave the child care subsidy program in Maryland," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 34-45.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:cysrev:v:77:y:2017:i:c:p:34-45
    DOI: 10.1016/j.childyouth.2017.03.014
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Deana Grobe & Elizabeth E. Davis & Ellen K. Scott & Roberta B. Weber, 2017. "Using Policy-Relevant Administrative Data in Mixed Methods: A Study of Employment Instability and Parents’ Use of Child Care Subsidies," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 38(1), pages 146-162, March.
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    3. Ha, Yoonsook & Meyer, Daniel R., 2010. "Child care subsidy patterns: Are exits related to economic setbacks or economic successes?," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 346-355, March.
    4. Weber, Roberta B. & Grobe, Deana & Davis, Elizabeth E., 2014. "Does policy matter? The effect of increasing child care subsidy policy generosity on program outcomes," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 135-144.
    5. Akin, Becci A., 2011. "Predictors of foster care exits to permanency: A competing risks analysis of reunification, guardianship, and adoption," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 999-1011, June.
    6. Deana Grobe & Roberta Weber & Elizabeth Davis, 2008. "Why Do They Leave? Child Care Subsidy Use in Oregon," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 110-127, March.
    7. Pilarz, Alejandra Ros & Claessens, Amy & Gelatt, Julia, 2016. "Patterns of child care subsidy use and stability of subsidized care arrangements: Evidence from Illinois and New York," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 231-243.
    8. Vincenzo Coviello & May Boggess, 2004. "Cumulative incidence estimation in the presence of competing risks," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 4(2), pages 103-112, June.
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