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Energy consumption analysis and prediction of electric vehicles based on real-world driving data

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  • Zhang, Jin
  • Wang, Zhenpo
  • Liu, Peng
  • Zhang, Zhaosheng

Abstract

With increasing mass-adoption of electric vehicles, the energy consumption has become a key performance index to electric vehicle drivers, automakers and policy-makers. Accurate and real-time energy consumption prediction under real-world driving conditions is essential for alleviating the ‘range anxiety’ and can provide support for optimal battery sizing, energy-efficient route planning and charging infrastructures operation. In this paper, real-world driving data collected from fifty-five electric taxis in Beijing city are obtained and divided into three-level driving fragments. The influencing factors of energy consumption, including vehicle-, environment-, and driver-related factors, are extracted and studied. With the extracted key influencing factors, a novel machine learning-based energy consumption prediction framework integrated with driving condition prediction is proposed and used in actual energy consumption prediction. The real-world trip test results show that a root mean squared error of 0.159kWh (RMSE) and a mean absolute percentage error 12.68% (MAPE) are reached, the RMSE and the MAPE are respectively reduced by 32.05% and by 30.14% compared to the conventional method.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang, Jin & Wang, Zhenpo & Liu, Peng & Zhang, Zhaosheng, 2020. "Energy consumption analysis and prediction of electric vehicles based on real-world driving data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:275:y:2020:i:c:s030626192030920x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115408
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    References listed on IDEAS

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