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Future increases in irrigation water requirement challenge the water-food nexus in the northeast farming region of China

Author

Listed:
  • Xu, Hanqing
  • Tian, Zhan
  • He, Xiaogang
  • Wang, Jun
  • Sun, Laixiang
  • Fischer, Günther
  • Fan, Dongli
  • Zhong, Honglin
  • Wu, Wei
  • Pope, Edward
  • Kent, Chris
  • Liu, Junguo

Abstract

Northeast Farming Region of China (NFR) produces about one-third of the national maize output. Shortage of crop irrigation water is one of the main threat to the stable level of maize production in the NFR. Previous studies on the sensitivity of maize production to drought are typically based on field experiments and treat the maize growing season as a whole, with rare attention to the varying impacts of drought across different maize growth stages. Given the importance of NFR on China’s food security, it is crucial to optimize the irrigation schedule to mitigate the adverse effects of drought. In this study, we employ Agro-ecological Zone (AEZ) model to investigate how climate change affects irrigation water requirement (IWR) of maize during different growth stages and under different climate change scenarios. Results indicate that the NFR would experience a substantial increase in the probability of extremely shortage of crop irrigation water under future climate change. The ensemble simulation under future climate projections indicates more frequent demands for irrigation with substantially increased amount in the mid-season stage (G3) when maize is more sensitive to water deficit compared with other stages. These findings indicate that earlier planning of irrigation infrastructure and development of more efficient irrigation scheme and technologies is of great importance to secure maize production in the region.

Suggested Citation

  • Xu, Hanqing & Tian, Zhan & He, Xiaogang & Wang, Jun & Sun, Laixiang & Fischer, Günther & Fan, Dongli & Zhong, Honglin & Wu, Wei & Pope, Edward & Kent, Chris & Liu, Junguo, 2019. "Future increases in irrigation water requirement challenge the water-food nexus in the northeast farming region of China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 594-604.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:213:y:2019:i:c:p:594-604
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2018.10.045
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    3. Song, Zengzhen & Peng, Yuxing & Li, Zizhong & Zhang, Shuai & Liu, Xiaotong & Tan, Senwen, 2022. "Two irrigation events can achieve relatively high, stable corn yield and water productivity in aeolian sandy soil of northeast China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    4. Li, Zhi & Fang, Gonghuan & Chen, Yaning & Duan, Weili & Mukanov, Yerbolat, 2020. "Agricultural water demands in Central Asia under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    5. He, Guohua & Geng, Chenfan & Zhao, Yong & Wang, Jianhua & Jiang, Shan & Zhu, Yongnan & Wang, Qingming & Wang, Lizhen & Mu, Xing, 2021. "Food habit and climate change impacts on agricultural water security during the peak population period in China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    6. Yang, Jia & Ren, Wei & Ouyang, Ying & Feng, Gary & Tao, Bo & Granger, Joshua J. & Poudel, Krishna P., 2019. "Projection of 21st century irrigation water requirement across the Lower Mississippi Alluvial Valley," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 60-72.
    7. Zhang, Ziya & Li, Yi & Chen, Xinguo & Wang, Yanzi & Niu, Ben & Liu, De Li & He, Jianqiang & Pulatov, Bakhtiyor & Hassan, Ishtiaq & Meng, Qingtao, 2023. "Impact of climate change and planting date shifts on growth and yields of double cropping rice in southeastern China in future," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
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