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La macroeconomía de la bonanza económica latinoamericana

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  • Ocampo, José Antonio

Abstract

Este ensayo argumenta que el auge reciente de las economías latinoamericanas se explica por la coincidencia de dos factores externos que no se daban simultáneamente desde los años 1970: buenos precios de materias primas (de hidrocarburos y productos mineros, más que agrícolas); y condiciones de financiamiento externo excepcionales. En este último caso, la característica sobresaliente ha sido la entrada masiva de capital durante dos períodos de "exuberancia" en los mercados financieros internacionales (entre mediados de 2004 y abril de 2006, y entre mediados de 2006 y mediados del 2007);, particularmente en el segundo. Señala, además, la importancia de generalizar y consolidar las dos grandes innovaciones de la política macroeconómica latinoamericana de los últimos años, que se complementan entre sí: el manejo fiscal anticíclico (concentrado todavía en pocos países); y la intervención activa en los mercados cambiarios. Esta última debe evolucionar hacia reconocer que el tipo de cambio real debe ser un objetivo explícito de la política macroeconómica.

Suggested Citation

  • Ocampo, José Antonio, 2007. "La macroeconomía de la bonanza económica latinoamericana," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col070:11219
    Note: Incluye Bibliografía
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    File URL: http://repositorio.cepal.org/handle/11362/11219
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    Cited by:

    1. Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 30(69), pages 14-66, December.
    2. Renato De Souza Rosa & André Martins Biancarelli, 2018. "Determinantes Do Processo De ?Desdolarização? Do Passivo Externo Brasileiro," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 38, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    3. Rhenals Monterrosa, Remberto & Gómez, Wilman, 2013. "La coyuntura macroeconómica reciente," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 22, pages 9-38, July.
    4. Ffrench-Davis, Ricardo., 2010. "Macroeconomía para el empleo decente en América Latina y el Caribe," ILO Working Papers 994590693402676, International Labour Organization.
    5. Óscar Hernán Munoz Goyes & Jéssica Natalia Páez Cortés, 2014. "Efectos en el mercado de trabajo como consecuencia de la aplicación de choques específicos en la producción del sector cafetero, 2014-2020," Revista IB 12991, Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística - DANE.
    6. Andersson, Martin & Palacio, Andrés & von Borries, Alvaro, 2022. "Why has economic shrinking receded in Latin America? A social capability approach," Lund Papers in Economic History 236, Lund University, Department of Economic History.
    7. Luis Hernando Portillo Riascos, 2021. "The Cyclical Position of The Fiscal Policy in Colombia During the Period 1990-2015," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 95, pages 45-83, July-Dece.
    8. Ricardo Ffrench-Davis, 2008. "From Financieristic To Real Macroeconomics: Seeking Development Convergence In Ees," Working Papers wp272, University of Chile, Department of Economics.
    9. Stephany Griffith-Jones & José Antonio Ocampo, 2009. "Sovereign Wealth Funds : a Developing Country Perspective," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 9(1), pages 241-254.
    10. Alejandro Jara & Camilo Tovar, 2008. "Monetary and financial stability implications of capital flows in Latin America and the Caribbean," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 43.
    11. Yilmaz Akyüz, 2012. "The Staggering Rise of the South?," Working Papers 2012/3, Turkish Economic Association.
    12. Carlos Andrés BALLESTEROS RUIZ & Javier Andrés ROJAS AGUILERA, 2015. "International shocks and the Colombian economy: A Global VAR Approach," Archivos de Economía 13012, Departamento Nacional de Planeación.
    13. John Tsalikis & Bruce Seaton & Phillip Shepherd, 2014. "Business Ethics Index: Latin America," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 119(2), pages 209-218, January.
    14. Rivera-Basques, Luisa & Duarte, Rosa & Sánchez-Chóliz, Julio, 2021. "Unequal ecological exchange in the era of global value chains: The case of Latin America," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    15. Sergio Tezanos Vázquez & Rogelio Madrueño Aguilar & Marta Guijarro Garví, 2009. "Impacto de la ayuda sobre el crecimiento económico. El caso de América Latina y el Caribe," Documentos de trabajo sobre cooperación y desarrollo 200904, Cátedra de Cooperación Internacional y con Iberoamérica (COIBA), Universidad de Cantabria.
    16. Sandoval Paucar, Giovanny, 2018. "Efectos de desbordamiento sobre los mercados financieros de Colombia. Identificación a través de la heterocedasticidad [Spillovers effects on financial markets of Colombia. Identification through h," MPRA Paper 90422, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Stephany Griffith Jones & José Antonio Ocampo, 2009. "Les fonds souverains du point de vue des pays en développement," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 9(1), pages 259-274.
    18. repec:ilo:ilowps:459069 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Lavan Mahadeva & Javier Gómez Pineda, 2009. "The international cycle and Colombian monetary policy," Borradores de Economia 5406, Banco de la Republica.
    20. Jaime Bonet-Morón & Gerson Javier Pérez-Valbuena & Lucas Marín-Llanes, 2019. "Oil booms and subnational public investment: a case-study for Colombia," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 283, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    21. Portillo Riascos, Luis Hernando, 2021. "La posición cíclica de la política fiscal en Colombia durante el periodo 1990-2015," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue No. 95, pages 42-83, July.
    22. Carlos Aguiar de Medeiros, 2011. "The Political Economy of the Rise and Decline of Developmental States," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 58(1), pages 43-56, March.
    23. Jorge Katz & Gonzalo Bernat, 2013. "Macroeconomic Adjustment and Structural Change: The Experience of Argentina, Brazil and Chile in 2000-2010," Institutions and Economies (formerly known as International Journal of Institutions and Economies), Faculty of Economics and Administration, University of Malaya, vol. 5(2), pages 37-58, July.

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