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Potential and Development Prospects Assessment of Electric Power Integration of the Eurasian Economic Union Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Natalya Yuryevna Sopilko

    (Russian State Social University, Moscow, Russia,)

  • Natalia Anatolyevna Navrotskaia

    (Saint Petersburg University, Saint Petersburg, Russia,)

  • Olga Yuryevna Myasnikova

    (Peoples Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University), Moscow, Russia)

  • Nataliya Vital evna Bondarchuk

    (Nataliya Vital evna Bondarchuk, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation; Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia)

Abstract

Existing approaches to the analysis of countries economic integration processes in international practice are investigated in the paper. Evaluating methodology of the long-term integration processes in the electric power sector is offered for the EAEU countries in three scenarios: high, low and medium, based on the synergy of various economic and mathematical methods. The actual methodology is formed in accordance with special macroeconomic scenario conditions and includes the final energy consumption forecast with division by the types of energy sources in the context of consumers categories of the EAEU countries based on generated scenario conditions using econometric methods (growth curves, Cobb-Douglas production function, regression analysis, simulation methods), as well as the development forecast of electric power industry concerning the EAEU countries reasoning from perspective dynamics of generating capacities of these countries. Project growth of electric power sector development founded on suggested method was made for the EAEU countries for the period of 2018-2040, specifically, electricity consumption projection, electricity consumption increasing, as well as capacity increasing of NPGS, HEP and RER in these countries. The necessity of further efforts to develop the common electric power market in the EAEU countries in order to obtain possible long-term integration effects are emphasized.

Suggested Citation

  • Natalya Yuryevna Sopilko & Natalia Anatolyevna Navrotskaia & Olga Yuryevna Myasnikova & Nataliya Vital evna Bondarchuk, 2020. "Potential and Development Prospects Assessment of Electric Power Integration of the Eurasian Economic Union Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 37-44.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2020-03-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Natalya Yuryevna Sopilko & Olga Yuryevna Myasnikova & Nataliya Vital evna Bondarchuk & Natalia Anatolyevna Navrotskaia & Tatyana Evgenyevna Migaleva, 2020. "Analysis and Prospects for the Development of Regional Energy Integration of the Eurasian Economic Union Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 13-20.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Economic Integration; Electric Power Market Development; Electric Power Integration; The Eurasian Economic Union;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order and Integration
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products

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