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Why Is There a Favourite-Longshot Bias in British Racetrack Betting Markets?

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Author Info
Williams, Leighton Vaughan
Paton, David

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Abstract

In this paper, the authors employ a large new data set to examine explanations of the tendency for favorites to be under-bet and longshots over-bet in recent British racetrack betting markets. They demonstrate that both demand-and-supply side factors can explain this favorite-longshot bias and propose new empirical tests to identify the influence of insider trading on the bias. The results suggest that the adverse selection problem faced by bookmakers, in the context of bettors who may possess superior information, is capable of explaining at least some of the observed bias. Copyright 1997 by Royal Economic Society.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Royal Economic Society in its journal The Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 107 (1997)
Issue (Month): 440 (January)
Pages: 150-58
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Handle: RePEc:ecj:econjl:v:107:y:1997:i:440:p:150-58

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  1. David Paton & Leighton Vaughan Williams, 2001. "Monopoly Rents and Price Fixing in Betting Markets," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 265-278, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Alexander K. Koch & Hui-Fai Shing, 2007. "Bookmaker and pari-mutuel betting: Is a (reverse) favourite-longshot bias built-in?," Royal Holloway, University of London: Discussion Papers in Economics 07/04, Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Les Coleman, 2004. "New light on the longshot bias," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(4), pages 315-326, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. John Peirson, 2008. "Expert Analysis and Insider Information in Horse Race Betting: Regulating Informed Market Behaviour," Studies in Economics 0819, Department of Economics, University of Kent. [Downloadable!]
  5. Loreto Llorente, 2006. "A Profitable Strategy in the Pelota Betting Market," Documentos de Trabajo - Lan Gaiak Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra 0606, Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-12.


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