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Currency The present paper analyzes the role of imports in the occurrence of a currency crisis. For this, it extends a third generation model with balance sheet effects by introducing imports as foreign inputs in the production function. The results show that when imported inputs are financed by foreign debt the probability of a currency crisis increases for two reasons. First, the currency depreciation creates negative balance sheet effects if the price elasticity of imports is low. Second, the currency depreciation lowers the capital available for production and hence implies a direct negative effect on output. Moreover, in order to avoid a crisis monetary policy must be more aggressive compared to the case without foreign inputs.crises and monetary policy: the role of foreign inputs

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  • Irem Zeyneloglu

    (Galatasaray University)

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  • Irem Zeyneloglu, 2018. "Currency The present paper analyzes the role of imports in the occurrence of a currency crisis. For this, it extends a third generation model with balance sheet effects by introducing imports as forei," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(4), pages 2008-2015.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-18-00644
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Aghion, Philippe & Bacchetta, Philippe & Banerjee, Abhijit, 2000. "A simple model of monetary policy and currency crises," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(4-6), pages 728-738, May.
    2. Nakatani, Ryota, 2017. "Structural vulnerability and resilience to currency crisis: Foreign currency debt versus export," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 132-143.
    3. Aghion, Philippe & Bacchetta, Philippe & Banerjee, Abhijit, 2004. "A corporate balance-sheet approach to currency crises," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 6-30, November.
    4. Ryota Nakatani, 2016. "Twin Banking and Currency Crises and Monetary Policy," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 747-767, September.
    5. U. Michael Bergman & Shakill Hassan, 2008. "Currency Crises and Monetary Policy in an Economy with Credit Constraints: The No Interest Parity Case," EPRU Working Paper Series 08-01, Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    6. Paul Krugman, 1999. "Balance Sheets, the Transfer Problem, and Financial Crises," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 6(4), pages 459-472, November.
    7. Aghion, Philippe & Bacchetta, Philippe & Banerjee, Abhijit, 2001. "Currency crises and monetary policy in an economy with credit constraints," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(7), pages 1121-1150.
    8. Bergman, U. Michael & Jellingsø, Mads, 2010. "Monetary policy during speculative attacks: Are there adverse medium term effects?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 5-18, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Currency Crises; Monetary Policy; Foreign Inputs; Exchange Rate;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

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