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The European Union and its new neighbors: an estimation of migration potentials

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  • Nicolas Péridy

    ()
    (University of Nantes (France))

Abstract

This paper provides a first quantitative assessment of the migration potential involving the enlarged EU and its new neighbors. Based on new theoretical developments in migration theories, it develops an empirical model which highlights the main migration determinants in the EU. As a next step, the model is estimated with the Hausman and Taylor as well as the GMM panel data estimators. The observed/fitted migration ratios are subsequently calculated from an out-sample technique. Results show that there is still a significant migration potential from Maghreb countries towards Southern European countries. A second significant potential concerns the new Eastern neighbors with regard to Germany and Eastern EU countries.

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File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/pubs/EB/2006/Volume6/EB-05F20010A.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.

Volume (Year): 6 (2006)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 1-11

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Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-05f20010

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  1. Pedersen, Peder J. & Pytlikova, Mariola & Smith, Nina, 2004. "Selection or Network Effects? Migration Flows into 27 OECD Countries, 1990-2000," IZA Discussion Papers 1104, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  2. Gary L. Hunt & Richard E. Mueller, 2004. "North American Migration: Returns to Skill, Border Effects, and Mobility Costs," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(4), pages 988-1007, November.
  3. George J. Borjas, 1998. "Immigration and Welfare Magnets," NBER Working Papers 6813, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Egger, Peter, 2004. "On the Problem of Endogenous Unobserved Effects in the Estimation of Gravity Models," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 19, pages 182-191.
  5. Borjas, George J, 1987. "Self-Selection and the Earnings of Immigrants," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 77(4), pages 531-53, September.
  6. Ximena Clark & Timothy J. Hatton & Jeffrey G. Williamson, 2002. "Where Do U.S. Immigrants Come From, and Why?," NBER Working Papers 8998, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Cited by:
  1. Efraim Sadka & Ben Suwankiri & Assaf Razin, 2010. "The Welfare State and the Skill Mix of Migration: Dynamic Policy Formation," 2010 Meeting Papers 13, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  2. Assaf Razin & Efraim Sadka & Benjarong Suwankiri, 2009. "Migration and the Welfare State: A Dynamic Political-Economy Theory," NBER Working Papers 15597, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Assaf Razin, 2013. "MIGRATION into the WELFARE STATE: tax and migration competition," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 548-563, August.
  4. Cohen, Alon & Razin, Assaf, 2008. "The Skill Composition of Immigrants and the Generosity of the Welfare State: Free vs. Policy-Controlled Migration," CEPR Discussion Papers 7034, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  5. Assaf Razin & Alon Cohen, 2009. "International migration and the generosity of the welfare state: free vs policy-controlled migration," 2009 Meeting Papers 200, Society for Economic Dynamics.

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