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Efficient Iv Estimation For Autoregressive Models With Conditional Heteroskedasticity

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Author Info
Kuersteiner, Guido M.

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Abstract

This paper analyzes autoregressive time series models where the errors are assumed to be martingale difference sequences that satisfy an additional symmetry condition on their fourth-order moments. Under these conditions quasi maximum likelihood estimators of the autoregressive parameters are no longer efficient in the generalized method of moments (GMM) sense. The main result of the paper is the construction of efficient semiparametric instrumental variables estimators for the autoregressive parameters. The optimal instruments are linear functions of the innovation sequence.It is shown that a frequency domain approximation of the optimal instruments leads to an estimator that only depends on the data periodogram and an unknown linear filter. Semiparametric methods to estimate the optimal filter are proposed.The procedure is equivalent to GMM estimators where lagged observations are used as instruments. As a result of the additional symmetry assumption on the fourth moments the number of instruments is allowed to grow at the same rate as the sample. No lag truncation parameters are needed to implement the estimator, which makes it particularly appealing from an applied point of view.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Cambridge University Press in its journal Econometric Theory.

Volume (Year): 18 (2002)
Issue (Month): 03 (June)
Pages: 547-583
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Handle: RePEc:cup:etheor:v:18:y:2002:i:03:p:547-583_18

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  1. Ke-Li Xu & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2006. "Adaptive Estimation of Autoregressive Models with Time-Varying Variances," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1585, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Douglas Hodgson, 2002. "Semiparametric Efficient Estimation of the Mean of a Time Series in the Presence of Conditional Heterogeneity of Unknown Form," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 146, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal. [Downloadable!]
  3. Stanislav Anatolyev, 2005. "Optimal Instruments in Time Series: A Survey," Working Papers w0069, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. repec:att:wimass:1920120 is not listed on IDEAS
  5. Kenneth D. West, 2000. "On Optimal Instrumental Variables Estimation of Stationary Time Series Models," NBER Technical Working Papers 0249, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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