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The Importance of Calculating the Potential Gross Domestic Product in the Context of the Taylor Rule

Author

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  • Anna Michalek

    (Nicolaus Copernicus University in Torun)

Abstract

Taylor stated humorously that his rule was so easy that it could be written down on the back of a business card. The reality shows that the practical use of this type of rule implies accepting many assumptions about its final shape. The article mentions only the matter of influence of calculating the potential GDP and output gap on the empirical relevance of the Taylor rule. Two ways of calculating potential GDP were presented, i.e. the HP filter and linear trend of the current and the real GDP both seasonally adjusted (an additive model with seasonal dummies; TRAMO/SEATS procedure).

Suggested Citation

  • Anna Michalek, 2010. "The Importance of Calculating the Potential Gross Domestic Product in the Context of the Taylor Rule," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 10, pages 131-143.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpn:umkdem:v:10:y:2010:p:131-143
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Taylor, John B, 2000. "Alternative Views of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism: What Difference Do They Make for Monetary Policy?," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 16(4), pages 60-73, Winter.
    2. Taylor, John B., 1993. "Discretion versus policy rules in practice," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 195-214, December.
    3. Gradzewicz, Michal & Kolasa, Marcin, 2004. "Estimating the output gap in the Polish economy: the VECM approach," MPRA Paper 28227, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Keywords

    Taylor rule; output gap.;

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