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Principales Determinantes Económicos del Consumo en Colombia 2000 - 2015

Author

Listed:
  • Cabrera Valverde, Diana Gisell

    (Universidad de Nariño)

  • Rosero Oliveros, Tania Marcela

    (Universidad de Nariño)

  • Riascos Hermosa, Julio César

    (Universidad de Nariño)

Abstract

El propósito de este estudio reside en explicar las causas que han afectado el consumo en Colombia durante el periodo comprendido entre los anos 2000 y 2015, esto de acuerdo con los modelos keynesianos, ciclo de vida e ingreso permanente de Milton Friedman. Así, con base en la revisión de la literatura teórica y empírica, se analizaron dos variables relevantes: el ingreso a partir del PIB y la inflación tomada como el IPC, obteniendo como resultado que la variable más significativa para el estudio del consumo en Colombia es el ingreso, conclusión alcanzada mediante el uso de un modelo estadístico de aplicación multivariada no complejo. En consecuencia, se recomienda aliviar las cargas tributarias, dinamizar los subsidios y las inversiones en educación, al tiempo que controlar la tasa de interés para propiciar mejores niveles de consumo en el país.

Suggested Citation

  • Cabrera Valverde, Diana Gisell & Rosero Oliveros, Tania Marcela & Riascos Hermosa, Julio César, 2019. "Principales Determinantes Económicos del Consumo en Colombia 2000 - 2015," Revista Tendencias, Universidad de Narino, vol. 20(1), pages 77-106, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000520:018696
    DOI: 10.22267/rtend.192001.109
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    3. Sergio Clavijo V. & Javier Fernández R., 1989. "Consumo privado e ingreso permanente: Nueva evidencia para Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 8(16), pages 3-44, December.
    4. Franco Modigliani, 1949. "Fluctuations in the Saving-Income Ratio: A Problem in Economic Forecasting," NBER Chapters, in: Studies in Income and Wealth, Volume 11, pages 369-444, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Morettini, Mariano, 2002. "Principales teorías macroeconómicas sobre el Consumo," Nülan. Deposited Documents 1887, Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales, Centro de Documentación.
    6. George A. Akerlof & William R. Dickens & George L. Perry, 1996. "The Macroeconomics of Low Inflation," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 27(1), pages 1-76.
    7. Ana María Iregui B. & Ligia Alba Melo B., 2009. "La transmisión de la política monetaria sobre el consumo en presencia de restricciones de liquidez," Borradores de Economia 547, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consumo; Ingreso; Índice de precios al consumidor (IPC); Inflación; Producto Interno Bruto (PIB); Devaluación; Tasa de Cambio;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E25 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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