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Teoría y empírica de los espíritus animales e incidencia en la inversión: caso Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • María Isabel Rojas-Triana
  • Jeisson Gabriel Parra-Mariño
  • Jhancarlos Gutierrez-Ayala

Abstract

El presente artículo muestra un enfoque de la racionalidad desde la perspectiva de Keynes, ampliado en el concepto de espíritus animales y su interacción con las expectativas de los inversores. Asimismo, tal concepto se ilustra mediante un modelo econométrico VEC, en el que se determina que las expectativas de inversión, en particular para Colombia, se tornan positivas ante choques de la inversión de periodospasados y del ingreso; y negativas, ante choques del índice de confianza y la tasa de interés. Además, sugiere cambios para la economía del comportamiento a favor del bienestar financiero proyectado en políticas públicas.

Suggested Citation

  • María Isabel Rojas-Triana & Jeisson Gabriel Parra-Mariño & Jhancarlos Gutierrez-Ayala, 2020. "Teoría y empírica de los espíritus animales e incidencia en la inversión: caso Colombia," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 12(2), pages 523-552, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000443:019650
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    File URL: https://revfinypolecon.ucatolica.edu.co/article/view/3130
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. George A. Akerlof & Robert J. Shiller, 2015. "Phishing for Phools: The Economics of Manipulation and Deception," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 10534.
    2. Bidder, R.M. & Smith, M.E., 2012. "Robust animal spirits," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(8), pages 738-750.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    confianza; espíritus animales; expectativas; inversión.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A13 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Social Values
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • B16 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought through 1925 - - - Quantitative and Mathematical
    • B23 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Econometrics; Quantitative and Mathematical Studies
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • E70 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - General

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