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El trilema de la política monetaria en Colombia no se cumple

Author

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  • Gustavo Adolfo Díaz Valencia

Abstract

Resumen El artículo hace una presentación de la política monetaria y cambiaria en Colombia durante la última década con énfasis en el posible cumplimiento del trilema monetario, el cual establece que la principal implicación de la política monetaria es determinar una tasa de cambio deseable para lograr los propósitos del comercio internacional; una tasa de interés apetecible para incentivar la actividad productiva, y una mayor movilidad de capitales compatible con el funcionamiento de la meta inflación objetivo. De otra parte, se verificará la imposibilidad del trilema considerando la paridad descubierta de las tasas de interés en un ambiente macroeconómico caracterizado por una tasa de cam- bio flexible, pero revaluada, una baja tasa de interés doméstica y una incertidumbre del mercado financiero internacional, lo cual se ha reflejado en un aumento de los saldos de la cuenta de capital y financiera, especialmente los pasivos, y en un mayor déficit de la cuenta corriente.

Suggested Citation

  • Gustavo Adolfo Díaz Valencia, 2013. "El trilema de la política monetaria en Colombia no se cumple," Revista CIFE, Universidad Santo Tomás, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000195:012366
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    File URL: http://revistas.usantotomas.edu.co/index.php/cife/article/view/1415
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dominick Stephens, 2004. "The equilibrium exchange rate according to PPP and UIP," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP 2004/03, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    2. Aarón Garavito A. & Ana María Iregui B. & María Teresa Ramírez G., 2012. "Inversión Extranjera Directa en Colombia: Evolución reciente y marco normativo," Borradores de Economia 713, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Aarón Garavito A. & Ana María Iregui & María Teresa Ramírez G., 2012. "Inversión Extranjera Directa en Colombia: Evolución reciente y marco normativo," Borradores de Economia 9655, Banco de la Republica.
    4. Corrinne Ho & Robert N. McCauley, 2003. "Living with flexible exchange rates: issues and recent experience in inflation targeting emerging market economies," BIS Working Papers 130, Bank for International Settlements.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trilema monetario; revaluación; política monetaria; paridad descubierta; tasa de interés.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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