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Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Conditions and Outlook

Author

Listed:
  • Torben M. Andersen
  • Giuseppe Bertola
  • John Driffill
  • Clemens Fuest
  • Harold James
  • Jan-Egbert Sturm
  • Branko Uroševic

Abstract

The global economy has moved from recovery mode into a strong upturn. Supported by the robust development of private consumption and a marked increase in investment, in particular advanced economies made a major contribution to the current wave of global economic expansion. Output gaps in the euro area and the United States are expected to close soon or have already done so. Strong contributions are also coming from East and Southeast Asia. The Chinese economy and the Japanese economy expanded strongly, both fuelled by economic stimuli. In Latin America, the recovery was dampened by the sluggish economic recovery in Brazil and the aftermath of the devastating earthquakes in Mexico. In India, the economy is regaining its footing after a banknote demonetisation and a VAT system reform.

Suggested Citation

  • Torben M. Andersen & Giuseppe Bertola & John Driffill & Clemens Fuest & Harold James & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Branko Uroševic, 2018. "Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Conditions and Outlook," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 10-34, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:eeagre:v::y:2018:i::p:10-34
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    Cited by:

    1. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2023. "Evaluating Policy Institutions -150 Years of US Monetary Policy-," Working Papers 1410, Barcelona School of Economics.
    2. Regis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2020. "Identifying Modern Macro Equations with Old Shocks," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 135(4), pages 2255-2298.
    3. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2020. "Optimal policy perturbations," Economics Working Papers 1716, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    4. Koh, Rachel & Kern, Jordan & Galelli, Stefano, 2022. "Hard-coupling water and power system models increases the complementarity of renewable energy sources," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
    5. Prakash, Kushneel & Kumar, Sanjesh, 2021. "“Smoking your child’s job away”: Parental smoking during one’s childhood and the probability of being employed in adulthood," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 86-98.
    6. Budi, Rizki Firmansyah Setya & Sarjiya, & Hadi, Sasongko Pramono, 2021. "Multi-level game theory model for partially deregulated generation expansion planning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    7. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2020. "A Sufficient Statistics Approach for Macro Policy Evaluation," Working Papers 1171, Barcelona School of Economics.
    8. Régis Barnichon & Geert Mesters, 2023. "Evaluating policy institutions -150 years of US monetary policy-," Economics Working Papers 1873, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.

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