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Comptabilité générationnelle appliquée à la France : quelques facteurs d'instabilité des résultats

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  • Carole Bonnet

Abstract

Use of generational accounting methodology for France indicates the existence of a generational imbalance. Continuation of current fiscal and social policies would lead to a net payment by future generations that was larger than that of current generations. However, this paper indicates how the size of this imbalance is sensitive to the various assumptions adopted. The imbalance varies by a factor of 1 to 4 depending on the individualisation of the various taxes and social security contributions, treatment of debt interest, apportionment of education spending, recognition of public-sector investment, measurement of government wealth, and changes in tax profiles and transfers by age.

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  • Carole Bonnet, 2002. "Comptabilité générationnelle appliquée à la France : quelques facteurs d'instabilité des résultats," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 154(3), pages 59-78.
  • Handle: RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_154_0059
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    1. Didier Blanchet & Jean-Alain Monfort, 2002. "Croissance, transferts et inégalités entre générations," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 154(3), pages 79-94.
    2. Mr. Ousmane Dore & Mr. Joaquim Vieira Ferreira Levy, 1998. "Generational Accounting for France," IMF Working Papers 1998/014, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Laurence J. Kotlikoff & Willi Leibfritz & Willi Leibfritz, 1999. "An International Comparison of Generational Accounts," NBER Chapters, in: Generational Accounting around the World, pages 73-102, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Jagadeesh Gokhale & Benjamin R. Page & John R. Sturrock, 1997. "Generational accounts for the United States: an update," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Q IV, pages 2-23.
    5. Marceline Bodier, 1999. "Les effets d'âge et de génération sur le niveau et la structure de la consommation," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 324(1), pages 163-180.
    6. John Ablett, 1996. "Generational Accounting—An Australian Perspective," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 42(1), pages 91-105, March.
    7. Fabrice Lenseigne & Pierre Ricordeau, 1997. "Assurance maladie : un bilan par génération," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 307(1), pages 59-76.
    8. Robert Haveman, 1994. "Should Generational Accounts Replace Public Budgets and Deficits?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 95-111, Winter.
    9. Laurent Caussat & Michel Glaude, 1993. "Dépenses médicales et couverture sociale," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 265(1), pages 31-43.
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    Cited by:

    1. d’Albis, Hippolyte & Bonnet, Carole & Navaux, Julien & Pelletan, Jacques & Toubon, Hector & Wolff, François-Charles, 2015. "The lifecycle deficit in France, 1979–2005," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 79-85.
    2. Xavier Timbeau, 2011. "Solidarité intergénérationnelle et dette publique," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(1), pages 191-212.
    3. André Masson, 2002. "Méthodes et usages des comptes générationnels : un regard décalé," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 154(3), pages 1-24.
    4. Xavier Chojnicki, 2006. "Vieillissement démographique et immigration : un modèle de comptabilité générationnelle appliqué à la France," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 174(3), pages 39-57.
    5. Christian Hagist & Norbert Klusen & Andreas Plate & Bernd Raffelhüschen, 2005. "Social Health Insurance - the Major Driver of Unsustainable Fiscal Policy?," CESifo Working Paper Series 1574, CESifo.
    6. Hippolyte d’Albis & Carole Bonnet & Julien Navaux & Jacques Pelletan & François-Charles Wolff, 2017. "Lifecycle deficit in France: an assessment for the period 1979-2011," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 491-492, pages 47-70.
    7. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5l6uh8ogmqildh09h61kh4poj is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Hagist, Christian & Klusen, Norbert & Plate, Andreas & Raffelhüschen, Bernd, 2005. "Social health insurance: The major driver of unsustainable fiscal policy?," FZG Discussion Papers 1, University of Freiburg, Research Center for Generational Contracts (FZG).
    9. Hippolyte d'Albis & Carole Bonnet & Julien Navaux & Jacques Pelletan & François-­charles Wolff, 2017. "Le déficit de cycle de vie en France : une évaluation pour la période 1979-2001," Post-Print halshs-01599680, HAL.

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