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Transitory and Permanent Volatility Components: The Case of the Middle East Stock Markets

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  • Zarour Bashar Abu

    (University of Patras)

  • Siriopoulos Costas P

    (University of Patras)

Abstract

Recent research has suggested that returns volatility may contain both short-run and long-run components due to the existence of heterogeneous information flows or heterogeneous agents (Andersen and Bollerslev 1997a, 1997b; Müller et al., 1997). This paper investigates the existence of such volatility decomposition in daily index returns data for nine emerging markets in the Middle East region using the permanent-transitory component variance model of Engle and Lee (1993). The existence of a component structure to volatility is supported by the existence of a transitory component to volatility and a permanent volatility that decays over a much longer horizon in three markets in the Middle East, namely Jordan, Oman, and Saudi Arabia. The component model was able to capture all structure within the data for Saudi Arabia on the basis of residual tests. However, some structure in the residuals remains in the Oman and Jordan markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Zarour Bashar Abu & Siriopoulos Costas P, 2008. "Transitory and Permanent Volatility Components: The Case of the Middle East Stock Markets," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 4(2), pages 80-92, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:rmeecf:v:4:y:2008:i:2:n:3
    DOI: 10.2202/1475-3693.1060
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hammoudeh, Shawkat M. & Yuan, Yuan & McAleer, Michael, 2009. "Shock and volatility spillovers among equity sectors of the Gulf Arab stock markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 829-842, August.
    2. Kaehler Juergen & Weber Christoph S. & Aref Haider Salahal-Din, 2014. "The Iraqi Stock Market: Development and Determinants," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 10(2), pages 1-25, August.
    3. Dinesh Gajurel & Akhila Chawla, 2022. "The oil price crisis and contagion effects on the Canadian economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(13), pages 1527-1543, March.

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