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How the P* Model Rationalizes Monetary Targeting: A Comment on Svensson

Author

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  • Seitz Franz

    (University of Applied Sciences, Amberg-Weiden, Amberg, Germany)

  • Tödter Karl-Heinz

    (University of Applied Sciences, Deutsche Bundesbank, VerbandsgemeindeHachenburg, Germany)

Abstract

In this comment, we answer the question posed in Svensson's (2000) paper `Does the P* Model Provide any Rationale for Monetary Targeting?' - in contrast to him - in the affirmative. We argue that a strategy of monetary targeting can be rationalized within the P* framework. Furthermore, we demonstrate that money growth targeting is a special form of inflation forecast targeting based on a `limited' information set. In contrast to `full information' inflation forecast targeting, monetary growth targeting is likely to be more robust under changing conditions of the real world.

Suggested Citation

  • Seitz Franz & Tödter Karl-Heinz, 2001. "How the P* Model Rationalizes Monetary Targeting: A Comment on Svensson," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 2(3), pages 303-308, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:germec:v:2:y:2001:i:3:p:303-308
    DOI: 10.1111/1468-0475.00040
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kai Leitemo, 2006. "Open-Economy Inflation-Forecast Targeting," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 7, pages 35-64, February.
    2. Orphanides, Athanasios & Porter, Richard D., 2000. "P revisited: money-based inflation forecasts with a changing equilibrium velocity," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 87-100.
    3. Lars E. O. Svensson, 2000. "Does the P* Model Provide Any Rationale for Monetary Targeting?," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 1(1), pages 69-81, February.
    4. Gerlach, Stefan & Svensson, Lars E. O., 2003. "Money and inflation in the euro area: A case for monetary indicators?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(8), pages 1649-1672, November.
    5. Claus Brand & Nuno Cassola, 2004. "A money demand system for euro area M3," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(8), pages 817-838.
    6. Rudebusch, Glenn D. & Svensson, Lars E. O., 2002. "Eurosystem monetary targeting: Lessons from U.S. data," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 417-442, March.
    7. Michael Scharnagl, 1998. "The stability of German money demand: Not just a myth," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 355-370.
    8. Tetlow, Robert J. & von zur Muehlen, Peter, 2001. "Simplicity versus optimality: The choice of monetary policy rules when agents must learn," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(1-2), pages 245-279, January.
    9. Johannes M. Groeneveld, 1998. "Inflation Patterns and Monetary Policy," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 1532.
    10. Karl-Heinz Tödter & Hans-Eggert Reimers, 1994. "P-Star as a link between money and prices in Germany," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 130(2), pages 273-289, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Petri Mäki-Fränti, 2007. "The information content of the divisia monetary aggregates in forecasting inflation in the euro area," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 151-176, July.
    2. Lars E. O. Svensson, 2001. "Response to Seitz and Tödter, ‘How the P* Model Rationalizes Monetary Targeting: A Comment on Svensson’," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 2(3), pages 309-312, August.
    3. Czudaj, Robert, 2011. "P-star in times of crisis - Forecasting inflation for the euro area," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 390-407, September.

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